- The Rays are -105 favorites vs the Astros
- Rays vs Astros Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Rays / Astros TV Channel: FSUN | SCHN
The Tampa Bay Rays (-105) visit Daikin Park to take on the Houston Astros (-115) on Thursday, May 29, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Houston, TX, TX.
This season, the Rays are 28-27 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 31-24 ATS.
Rays vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rays starting pitcher: Shane Baz 4-3, 4.97 ERA
- Astros starting pitcher: Ryan Gusto 3-2, 4.50 ERA
Rays vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | -1.5 +155 | O 8 -105 | -105 |
| Astros | +1.5 -190 | U 8 -115 | -115 |
Rays vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Rays vs Astros and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Brandon Lowe has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 7 games (+15.90 Units / 227% ROI)
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 away games (+11.75 Units / 36% ROI)
- Jonathan Aranda has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+10.45 Units / 52% ROI)
- Jonathan Aranda has hit the RBIs Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+10.45 Units / 116% ROI)
- Brandon Lowe has hit the Hits Over in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 55% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+19.70 Units / 41% ROI)
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Singles Over in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+15.90 Units / 48% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games (+14.70 Units / 147% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+12.50 Units / 60% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+12.40 Units / 62% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 39 games (+11.15 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 38 games (+10.90 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 14 away games (+8.00 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 32 of their last 55 games (+6.90 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 7 games (+6.25 Units / 72% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 47 games (+13.92 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 22 games at home (+11.20 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 18 of their last 25 games at home (+10.10 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 22 games (+7.40 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games at home (+5.20 Units / 24% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 26-29 against the Run Line (-3.65 Units / -5.4% ROI).
- 28-27 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.77 Units / -2.58% ROI
- 20-32 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.4 Units / -25.18% ROI
- 32-20 when betting on the total runs Under for +10.5 Units / 17.51% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 31-24 against the Run Line (+9.27 Units / 13.19% ROI).
- 30-25 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.2 Units / -0.28% ROI
- 22-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.05 Units / -19.98% ROI
- 31-22 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.65 Units / 10.94% ROI
Astros vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Christian Walker (HOU) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Jonathan Aranda (TB) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| Yandy Diaz (TB) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
Astros vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Pena (HOU) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Yandy Diaz (TB) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Josh Lowe (TB) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +160 |
Astros vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Walker (HOU) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Yandy Diaz (TB) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Isaac Paredes (HOU) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Astros vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shane Baz (TB) | 4.5 -135 | 4.5 +100 |
| Ryan Gusto (HOU) | 4.5 -120 | 4.5 -105 |
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Shane Baz has an ERA of 7.82 (25.1 IP)this month (5 games) — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 3.26 — second Percentile.
Shane Baz has allowed a slugging percentage of .744 (29 Total Bases / 39 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (5 games) — 2nd highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: .403 — third Percentile.
Shane Baz has a strike rate of 72% (190/263) in two strike counts this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 98th Percentile.
Shane Baz has allowed a slugging percentage of .612 (63 Total Bases / 103 ABs) this month (5 games) — 2nd highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: .381 — third Percentile.
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Ryan Gusto has thrown fastballs up 65% of the time (217/334) this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 21 total IP; League Avg: 44% — 98th Percentile.
47% of Ryan Gusto’s fastball strikeouts are located out of the zone this season — 10th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 21 total IP; League Avg: 34% — 90th Percentile.
Ryan Gusto has thrown elevated pitches 45% of the time (69/155) with runners in scoring position this season — 7th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 21 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 94th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .480 (12-for-25) against Ryan Gusto when he’s behind in the count this season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 21 total IP; League Avg: .320 — fourth Percentile.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Rays are 3-23 (.115) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .041.
The Rays are 15-150 (.090) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Rays are 17-1 (.944) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .811.
The Rays are 98-72 (.573) after a loss since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .493.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Astros were just 0-56 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Astros were just 5-13 (.278) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Astros were 50-37 (.575) after a win in the 2024 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .496.
The Astros are 5-1 (.833) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rays scored first in 71% of their games against division opponents in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays hitters had a groundball batting average of .283 in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Rays hitters are slugging just .369 since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .398.
Rays hitters had an OPS of just .657 (4,637 PA’s) against RHP in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .711.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters averaged just 3.65 pitches per plate appearance against RHP in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Astros hitters have put just 29% of balls in play to the right side of the field this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Astros hitters have struck out in just 8% of it’s PA’s against LHP over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros hitters averaged just 3.66 pitches per plate appearance in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 56 double plays in 356 opportunities (16%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 40% against Rays pitchers in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Batters facing the Rays pitchers have struck out in the zone 52% of the time since the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 49%. since the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Rays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 44% with two-strikes since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against Astros pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Astros pitchers since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents had a miss rate of 27% against Astros pitchers in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
More MLB Reading:
Bet now on Rays vs Astros and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
