- The Rays are +110 favorites vs the Astros
- Rays vs Astros Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Rays / Astros TV Channel: FSUN | SCHN
The Tampa Bay Rays (+118) visit Daikin Park to take on the Houston Astros (-140) on Saturday, May 31, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Houston, TX.
This season, the Rays are 29-28 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 31-26 ATS.
Rays vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rays starting pitcher: Zack Littell 4-5, 3.98 ERA
- Astros starting pitcher: Colton Gordon 0-0, 5.53 ERA
Rays vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | +1.5 -175 | O 8.5 -110 | +118 |
| Astros | -1.5 +145 | U 8.5 -110 | -140 |
Rays vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 51.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Curtis Mead has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+14.10 Units / 353% ROI)
- Jonathan Aranda has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+12.75 Units / 64% ROI)
- Curtis Mead has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.80 Units / 34% ROI)
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 away games (+9.20 Units / 28% ROI)
- Jose Caballero has hit the Hits Over in his last 9 away games (+9.00 Units / 73% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+20.80 Units / 44% ROI)
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Singles Over in 22 of his last 25 games at home (+18.05 Units / 54% ROI)
- Jose Altuve has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games (+14.60 Units / 183% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+10.05 Units / 50% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+9.20 Units / 35% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 27 of their last 41 games (+11.15 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games (+10.90 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 9 games (+8.55 Units / 76% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 16 away games (+8.00 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 33 of their last 57 games (+6.90 Units / 10% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 49 games (+11.42 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 24 games at home (+11.10 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 19 of their last 27 games at home (+10.10 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 24 games (+7.40 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 57 games (+7.15 Units / 11% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 28-29 against the Run Line (-1.35 Units / -1.92% ROI).
- 29-28 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.77 Units / -2.5% ROI
- 21-33 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.5 Units / -24.43% ROI
- 33-21 when betting on the total runs Under for +10.5 Units / 16.92% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 31-26 against the Run Line (+6.77 Units / 9.3% ROI).
- 31-26 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.3 Units / -0.41% ROI
- 23-32 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.15 Units / -19.41% ROI
- 32-23 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.65 Units / 10.57% ROI
Astros vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Walker (HOU) | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -350 |
| Yandy Diaz (TB) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Christopher Morel (TB) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
Astros vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jake Mangum (TB) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Christian Walker (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Jose Altuve (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Isaac Paredes (HOU) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Astros vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Walker (HOU) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Yandy Diaz (TB) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Astros vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Zack Littell (TB) | 3.5 -118 | 3.5 -110 |
| Colton Gordon (HOU) | 4.5 +120 | 4.5 -160 |
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zack Littell has walked 3% of batters when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 10% (8/78) against Zack Littell on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.
Zack Littell has a strike rate of 74% (193/261) in two strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.
Zack Littell has thrown breaking pitches 56% of the time (109/195) when behind in the count this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — 97th Percentile.
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Colton Gordon has thrown 62% of his pitches in the strike zone (157/252) this month (3 games) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 51% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 15% (18/121) against Colton Gordon this month (3 games) — 8th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 24% — fourth Percentile.
Colton Gordon has a strike rate of 71% (180/252) this month (3 games) — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 99th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 28% (12/43) against Colton Gordon this month (3 games) — 7th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 43% — fifth Percentile.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Rays are 15-150 (.090) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Rays are 3-23 (.115) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .041.
The Rays were 70-1 (.986) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .949.
The Rays are 92-2 (.979) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .951.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Astros were just 0-56 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Astros are 18-7 (.720) after a loss this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .488.
The Astros were 65-10 (.867) when they scored 5 or more runs in the 2024 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .804.
The Astros were just 5-13 (.278) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters have an OPS of just .671 (6,088 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .714.
Rays hitters slugged just .358 against RHP in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .400.
Rays hitters put just 31% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Rays hitters slugged .445 against RHP in the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .413.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters averaged just 3.65 pitches per plate appearance against RHP in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Astros hitters have put just 29% of balls in play to the right side of the field this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Astros hitters have put 46% of balls in play to the left side of the field this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
The Astros are batting .333 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .255.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 58 double plays in 360 opportunities (16%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rays pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rays pitchers walked 439 of 5,994 batters (7%) in 2023 — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Rays pitchers since last season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against Astros pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Astros pitchers since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Astros pitchers since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
More MLB Reading:
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