- The Cardinals are -145 favorites vs the Rays
- Rays vs Cardinals Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Rays / Cardinals TV Channel: BSUN | BSMW
The Tampa Bay Rays (+125) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-155) on Tuesday, August 6, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:45pm EDT in St. Louis, MO.
This season, the Rays are 57-54 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 56-57 ATS.
Rays vs Cardinals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rays starting pitcher: Jeffrey Springs 0-0, 4.91 ERA
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Sonny Gray 10-6, 3.72 ERA
Rays vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | +1.5 -185 | O 7.5 -110 | +125 |
| Cardinals | -1.5 +150 | U 7.5 -110 | -155 |
Rays vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 55.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Brandon Lowe has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 23 away games (+17.60 Units / 77% ROI)
- Alex Jackson has hit the Hits Under in 26 of his last 34 games (+14.95 Units / 32% ROI)
- Alex Jackson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 21 of his last 29 games (+12.95 Units / 40% ROI)
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Runs Under in 34 of his last 50 games (+12.25 Units / 18% ROI)
- Josh Lowe has hit the Walks Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+10.00 Units / 26% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Alec Burleson has hit the RBIs Over in 23 of his last 38 games (+25.85 Units / 68% ROI)
- Masyn Winn has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 19 games (+24.00 Units / 126% ROI)
- Pedro Pages has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 22 games (+10.65 Units / 48% ROI)
- Pedro Pages has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.15 Units / 33% ROI)
- Brendan Donovan has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 23 games (+9.05 Units / 21% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 67 of their last 108 games (+22.85 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 40 games (+13.75 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 59 of their last 102 games (+11.90 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 35 games (+8.15 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 35 away games (+7.65 Units / 21% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 43 games (+8.90 Units / 19% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.45 Units / 20% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 38 games at home (+1.30 Units / 3% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+1.00 Units / 18% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 56-55 against the Run Line (-2 Units / -1.35% ROI).
- 57-54 when betting on the Moneyline for -7 Units / -5.07% ROI
- 52-56 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.25 Units / -7.58% ROI
- 56-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.8 Units / -0.65% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 56-57 against the Run Line (-6.05 Units / -3.98% ROI).
- 57-56 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.65 Units / -7.01% ROI
- 54-54 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.9 Units / -4.78% ROI
- 54-54 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.5 Units / -4.47% ROI
Cardinals vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -650 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (STL) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Christopher Morel (TB) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -800 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
Cardinals vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tommy Pham (STL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Masyn Winn (STL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (STL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Alec Burleson (STL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Cardinals vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (STL) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Tommy Pham (STL) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Christopher Morel (TB) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
Cardinals vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Sonny Gray (STL) | 6.5 -155 | 6.5 +120 |
| Jeffrey Springs (TB) | 4.5 +115 | 4.5 -150 |
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jeffrey Springs has limited playing time.
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Sonny Gray has a strikeout rate of 34% (61 SO in 180 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 98th Percentile.
Sonny Gray has a strikeout rate of 54% (79 SO in 147 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 98th Percentile.
Sonny Gray has a strikeout rate of 60% (147 SO in 244 PAs) with two-strikes this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 38% (110/289) against Sonny Gray this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 44 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Rays are 56-4 (.933) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .796.
The Rays are 44-14 (.759) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .573.
The Rays are 75-38 (.664) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .577.
The Rays are 73-44 (.624) after a loss since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .495.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Cardinals are just 23-36 (.390) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .573.
The Cardinals are 34-18 (.654) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are 15-11 (.577) after a road loss this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .483.
The Cardinals are 14-10 (.583) after a loss as underdogs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .441.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rays scored first in 64% of their games in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays hitters have put just 32% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Rays hitters have put just 31% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Rays hitters have an OBP of .333 (2,366 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .320.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters are slugging just .374 against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .412.
Cardinals hitters have an OBP of just .289 (1,309 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of just .635 (1,309 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .718.
The Cardinals are just 42-65 (.382) against the run line (-29.7% ROI) after a road win since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
The Rays pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Rays pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Rays pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 29% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays pitchers have walked 19 of 377 batters (5%) over the last 14 days — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Keynan Middleton (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Zack Thompson (St. Louis Cardinals): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Drew Rom (St. Louis Cardinals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Steven Matz (St. Louis Cardinals): Back, 60-Day IL
- Riley O’Brien (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Tommy Edman (St. Louis Cardinals): Wrist, 60-Day IL
- Jeffrey Springs (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jonathan Aranda (Tampa Bay Rays): Oblique, 7-Day IL
- Ryan Pepiot (Tampa Bay Rays): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Yandy Diaz (Tampa Bay Rays): Personal, Out
- Garrett Acton (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Drew Rasmussen (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane McClanahan (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wander Franco (Tampa Bay Rays): Personal, Out
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