- The Rays are +100 favorites vs the Cardinals
- Rays vs Cardinals Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Rays / Cardinals TV Channel: BSUN | BSMW
The Tampa Bay Rays (+100) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-120) on Wednesday, August 7, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:45pm EDT in St. Louis, MO.
This season, the Rays are 57-55 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 56-58 ATS.
Rays vs Cardinals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rays starting pitcher: Taj Bradley 6-5, 2.70 ERA
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Erick Fedde 7-5, 3.33 ERA
Rays vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | -1.5 +170 | O 7.5 -105 | +100 |
| Cardinals | +1.5 -210 | U 7.5 -115 | -120 |
Rays vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 52.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Brandon Lowe has hit the Home Runs Over in 9 of his last 24 away games (+23.20 Units / 97% ROI)
- Alex Jackson has hit the Hits Under in 26 of his last 34 games (+14.95 Units / 32% ROI)
- Alex Jackson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 21 of his last 29 games (+12.95 Units / 40% ROI)
- Alex Jackson has hit the Total Bases Under in 21 of his last 29 games (+9.90 Units / 25% ROI)
- Jonny Deluca has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 28 games (+9.40 Units / 15% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Alec Burleson has hit the RBIs Over in 23 of his last 39 games (+24.85 Units / 64% ROI)
- Masyn Winn has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 20 games (+23.00 Units / 115% ROI)
- Pedro Pages has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 23 games (+11.85 Units / 51% ROI)
- Pedro Pages has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 21 games (+11.15 Units / 34% ROI)
- Alec Burleson has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.65 Units / 44% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 67 of their last 109 games (+21.65 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 41 games (+14.75 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 60 of their last 103 games (+12.90 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 36 games (+9.15 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 36 away games (+6.65 Units / 18% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 44 games (+7.90 Units / 16% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+3.25 Units / 54% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+2.00 Units / 28% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 39 games at home (+0.30 Units / 1% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 57-55 against the Run Line (-1 Units / -0.67% ROI).
- 57-55 when betting on the Moneyline for -8 Units / -5.75% ROI
- 52-57 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.25 Units / -8.33% ROI
- 57-52 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.2 Units / 0.16% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 56-58 against the Run Line (-7.05 Units / -4.61% ROI).
- 58-56 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.65 Units / -6.22% ROI
- 54-55 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.9 Units / -5.54% ROI
- 55-54 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.5 Units / -3.62% ROI
Cardinals vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christopher Morel (TB) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -650 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (STL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Jose Siri (TB) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
Cardinals vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Masyn Winn (STL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Alec Burleson (STL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Brendan Donovan (STL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Josh Lowe (TB) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Cardinals vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christopher Morel (TB) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (STL) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Yandy Diaz (TB) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
Cardinals vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Erick Fedde (STL) | 4.5 -190 | 4.5 +140 |
| Taj Bradley (TB) | 4.5 -190 | 4.5 +140 |
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .123 (8-for-65) against Taj Bradley when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 44 total IP; League Avg: .260 — 100th Percentile.
Hitters have chased 96 of Taj Bradley’s 272 fastballs out of the zone (35%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 44 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 99th Percentile.
Opposing hitters have a groundball rate of just 22% (27/121) against Taj Bradley when he’s behind in the count since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 109 total IP; League Avg: 39% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 16% (47/286) against Taj Bradley on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 109 total IP; League Avg: 26% — third Percentile.
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Erick Fedde has a strike rate of just 50% (376/756) when ahead in the count this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 61% — first Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a chase rate of just 22% (122/561) against Erick Fedde this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — second Percentile.
Erick Fedde has a strike rate of just 58% (377/645) in two strike counts this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — third Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 51% (68/134) against Erick Fedde in two-strike counts this season — 9th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 87th Percentile.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Rays are just 16-31 (.340) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .423.
The Rays are 116-5 (.959) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .898.
The Rays are 44-14 (.759) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .573.
The Rays are 52-24 (.684) after a loss as favorites since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .576.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Cardinals are just 23-36 (.390) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .572.
The Cardinals are 14-10 (.583) after a loss as underdogs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .444.
The Cardinals are just 26-60 (.302) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .380.
The Cardinals are 15-11 (.577) after a road loss this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .486.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rays are batting .266 against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .251.
Rays hitters have 196 strikeouts in 602 PA’s (33%) in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
The Rays scored first in 64% of their games in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays hitters have an OBP of .333 (2,366 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .320.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of just .643 (1,336 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .717.
Cardinals hitters have an OBP of just .291 (1,336 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of just .683 (2,896 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .732.
Cardinals hitters are slugging just .376 against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .412.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
The Rays pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Rays pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 29% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Rays pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rays pitchers have walked 308 of 4,210 batters (7%) this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Keynan Middleton (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Zack Thompson (St. Louis Cardinals): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Drew Rom (St. Louis Cardinals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Steven Matz (St. Louis Cardinals): Back, 60-Day IL
- Riley O’Brien (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Tommy Edman (St. Louis Cardinals): Wrist, 60-Day IL
- Jeffrey Springs (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jonathan Aranda (Tampa Bay Rays): Oblique, 7-Day IL
- Ryan Pepiot (Tampa Bay Rays): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Yandy Diaz (Tampa Bay Rays): Personal, Out
- Garrett Acton (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Drew Rasmussen (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane McClanahan (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wander Franco (Tampa Bay Rays): Personal, Out
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