- The Cardinals are -125 favorites vs the Rays
- Rays vs Cardinals Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Rays / Cardinals TV Channel: BSUN | BSMW
The Tampa Bay Rays (+105) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-125) on Thursday, August 8, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in St. Louis, MO.
This season, the Rays are 57-56 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 57-58 ATS.
Rays vs Cardinals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rays starting pitcher: Shane Baz 0-1, 3.60 ERA
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Kyle Gibson 7-4, 4.03 ERA
Rays vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | +1.5 -210 | O 8 -105 | +105 |
| Cardinals | -1.5 +170 | U 8 -115 | -125 |
Rays vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 52.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Brandon Lowe has hit the Home Runs Over in 9 of his last 25 away games (+22.20 Units / 89% ROI)
- Alex Jackson has hit the Hits Under in 26 of his last 35 games (+13.70 Units / 29% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 21 away games (+12.15 Units / 45% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 21 away games (+9.60 Units / 26% ROI)
- Brandon Lowe has hit the Total Bases Over in 27 of his last 44 games (+8.85 Units / 15% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Alec Burleson has hit the RBIs Over in 24 of his last 40 games (+27.00 Units / 68% ROI)
- Masyn Winn has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 21 games (+22.00 Units / 105% ROI)
- Pedro Pages has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 23 games (+11.85 Units / 51% ROI)
- Pedro Pages has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 21 games (+11.15 Units / 34% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 35 games (+9.05 Units / 21% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 68 of their last 110 games (+22.65 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 61 of their last 104 games (+13.95 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 42 games (+12.70 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 37 games (+10.15 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 37 away games (+5.65 Units / 15% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 45 games (+6.80 Units / 14% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+4.25 Units / 57% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+3.00 Units / 51% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 40 games at home (+2.05 Units / 4% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 57-56 against the Run Line (-3.05 Units / -2.01% ROI).
- 57-56 when betting on the Moneyline for -9 Units / -6.42% ROI
- 52-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.35 Units / -9.14% ROI
- 58-52 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.2 Units / 0.96% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 57-58 against the Run Line (-5.3 Units / -3.44% ROI).
- 59-56 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.65 Units / -5.45% ROI
- 54-56 when betting on the total runs Over for -8 Units / -6.37% ROI
- 56-54 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.5 Units / -2.79% ROI
Cardinals vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (STL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Christopher Morel (TB) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Nolan Gorman (STL) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
Cardinals vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alec Burleson (STL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (STL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Cardinals vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Paul Goldschmidt (STL) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Christopher Morel (TB) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -225 |
| Josh Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Cardinals vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Gibson (STL) | 5.5 +100 | 5.5 -130 |
| Shane Baz (TB) | 4.5 +120 | 4.5 -155 |
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Shane Baz has not allowed a home run in any of the last 16.2 innings he’s appeared — Cionel Perez has the longest active streak at 70.2.
Shane Baz has not allowed a HR in any of his last three starts dating back to July 21st — Shawn Armstrong has the longest active streak at 14.
Shane Baz has thrown off-speed pitches 58% of the time (26/45) on the first pitch of at-bats over the last 14 days — 2nd highest among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 41% — 97th Percentile.
Shane Baz has allowed an OBP of just .167 (18 PA’s) versus the top of the order in his last two starts — tied for 6th best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .321 — 93rd Percentile.
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kyle Gibson allowed a batting average of just .136 vs right-handed batters (tied for eighth best)– 90th Percentile and .333 vs left-handed batters over the last two weeks (tied for sixth worst among qualified SPs)– 12th Percentile.
Kyle Gibson has walked 21 of 120 batters (17%) with runners in scoring position this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.
Kyle Gibson has a strike rate of just 55% (255/464) with runners in scoring position this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of just 29% (72/248) against Kyle Gibson on elevated fastballs this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 45 total IP; League Avg: 49% — 0 Percentile.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Rays are 31-57 (.352) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .259.
The Rays are 9-46 (.164) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .104.
The Rays are 11-104 (.096) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .053.
The Rays are 17-100 (.145) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .102.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Cardinals are just 23-36 (.390) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .572.
The Cardinals are 34-18 (.654) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are 15-11 (.577) after a road loss this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .487.
The Cardinals are 14-10 (.583) after a loss as underdogs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .443.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rays are batting .265 against LHP since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .251.
Rays hitters have put just 31% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Rays hitters have put just 32% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
The Rays scored first in 71% of their games against division opponents in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters are slugging just .352 against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .402.
The Cardinals are batting just .238 against LHP since last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .251.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of just .683 (2,896 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .732.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of just .643 (1,336 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .718.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
The Rays pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Rays pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rays pitchers have walked 251 of 3,899 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have walked 750 of 10,240 batters (7%) since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Keynan Middleton (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Zack Thompson (St. Louis Cardinals): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Drew Rom (St. Louis Cardinals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Steven Matz (St. Louis Cardinals): Back, 60-Day IL
- Riley O’Brien (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Tommy Edman (St. Louis Cardinals): Wrist, 60-Day IL
- Jeffrey Springs (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jonathan Aranda (Tampa Bay Rays): Oblique, 7-Day IL
- Ryan Pepiot (Tampa Bay Rays): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Yandy Diaz (Tampa Bay Rays): Personal, Out
- Garrett Acton (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Drew Rasmussen (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane McClanahan (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wander Franco (Tampa Bay Rays): Personal, Out
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