- The Diamondbacks are -135 favorites vs the Rays
- Rays vs Diamondbacks Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Rays / Diamondbacks TV Channel: DBTV | MLBN | FDFL
The Tampa Bay Rays (+115) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-135) on Thursday, April 24, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Phoenix, AZ, AZ.
This season, the Rays are 10-14 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 13-11 ATS.
Rays vs Diamondbacks Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rays starting pitcher: Drew Rasmussen 1-1, 0.87 ERA
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Corbin Burnes 0-1, 4.79 ERA
Rays vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | +1.5 -200 | O 8 +100 | +115 |
| Diamondbacks | -1.5 +165 | U 8 -120 | -135 |
Rays vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 54.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Junior Caminero has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+13.90 Units / 44% ROI)
- Junior Caminero has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 away games (+13.40 Units / 28% ROI)
- Kameron Misner has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.90 Units / 47% ROI)
- Kameron Misner has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.90 Units / 46% ROI)
- Jonathan Aranda has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games (+7.60 Units / 95% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Tim Tawa has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 games (+17.10 Units / 285% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the RBIs Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.85 Units / 41% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+11.05 Units / 30% ROI)
- Corbin Carroll has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.85 Units / 35% ROI)
- Tim Tawa has hit the Runs Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+9.85 Units / 141% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 15 of their last 24 games (+5.40 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.75 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 14 games (+3.60 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.10 Units / 17% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 24 games (+6.95 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+3.95 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 23 games (+3.95 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+3.80 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.65 Units / 39% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 9-15 against the Run Line (-7.1 Units / -24.78% ROI).
- 10-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.2 Units / -19.53% ROI
- 10-12 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.15 Units / -11.84% ROI
- 12-10 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.25 Units / 4.77% ROI
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 13-11 against the Run Line (+2.95 Units / 10.24% ROI).
- 14-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.45 Units / 4.55% ROI
- 11-10 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.05 Units / 0.19% ROI
- 10-11 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.4 Units / -9.01% ROI
Diamondbacks vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Corbin Carroll (ARI) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Jonathan Aranda (TB) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Danny Jansen (TB) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Diamondbacks vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yandy Diaz (TB) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Corbin Carroll (ARI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Chandler Simpson (TB) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr (ARI) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Jake Mangum (TB) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +160 |
Diamondbacks vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Corbin Carroll (ARI) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Pavin Smith (ARI) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
| Yandy Diaz (TB) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -235 |
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Josh Naylor (ARI) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Diamondbacks vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Drew Rasmussen (TB) | 4.5 -115 | 4.5 -115 |
| Corbin Burnes (ARI) | 5.5 +120 | 5.5 -155 |
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Drew Rasmussen has thrown inside pitches 47% of the time (148/313) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.
Opposing hitters have no hits in their last 29 ABs ending on a two-strike breaking pitch from Drew Rasmussen. — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.
Drew Rasmussen has allowed an OBP of just .105 (19 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: .312 — 100th Percentile.
Drew Rasmussen has not allowed a HR in any of his last 10 starts dating back to May 6th, 2023 — Shawn Armstrong has the longest active streak at 14.
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Corbin Burnes has located his fastball inside 76% of the time (194/257) since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes located his fastball inside 59% of the time (156/262) in 2023 — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes located his fastball inside 75% of the time (175/234) in the 2024 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes has located his fastballs down 67% of the time (172/257) since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — 100th Percentile.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Rays are 127-21 (.858) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .794.
The Rays are 78-47 (.619) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season They play the Diamondbacks (first best runs scored) today.
The Rays are 54-8 (.871) when scoring 5 or more runs since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .808.
The Rays are 13-138 (.086) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .049.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Diamondbacks are 3-9 (.250) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .081.
The Diamondbacks are 145-35 (.801) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .727.
The Diamondbacks are 6-68 (.080) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .048.
The Diamondbacks are 12-2 (.857) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .710.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rays have not won a game in which they have scored first on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 55%.
The Rays have scored first in just 20% of their road games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Rays hitters had a groundball batting average of .283 in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Rays hitters have put just 31% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks are batting .279 against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of .344 (2,220 PA’s) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Diamondbacks hitters have struck out in just 14% of it’s PA’s against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
The Diamondbacks batted .284 against LHP in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers walked 439 of 5,994 batters (7%) in 2023 — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Rays pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rays pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rays pitchers have walked 7% of batters since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a miss rate of just 24% against Diamondbacks pitchers in the 2024 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Diamondbacks pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 21% in the 2024 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have walked 8% of batters this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Diamondbacks pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of 89.5 MPH (4,288 batted balls) in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 88.8.
More MLB Reading:
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