- The Mets are -170 favorites vs the Rays
- Rays vs Mets Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Rays / Mets TV Channel: FSUN | SNY | WTOG
The Tampa Bay Rays (+145) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-175) on Friday, June 13, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Flushing, Queens, NY.
This season, the Rays are 36-32 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 39-30 ATS.
Rays vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rays starting pitcher: Taj Bradley 4-5, 4.56 ERA
- Mets starting pitcher: Clay Holmes 7-3, 2.95 ERA
Rays vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | +1.5 -155 | O 8.5 -118 | +145 |
| Mets | -1.5 +130 | U 8.5 -102 | -175 |
Rays vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Friday‘s MLB game with 59.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Brandon Lowe has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+12.90 Units / 63% ROI)
- Taylor Walls has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 4 games (+11.00 Units / 275% ROI)
- Brandon Lowe has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.75 Units / 37% ROI)
- Brandon Lowe has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+10.00 Units / 20% ROI)
- Jonathan Aranda has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+9.65 Units / 47% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jeff McNeil has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+16.30 Units / 326% ROI)
- Brandon Nimmo has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+14.05 Units / 54% ROI)
- Tyrone Taylor has hit the Runs Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 56% ROI)
- Juan Soto has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+8.75 Units / 31% ROI)
- Juan Soto has hit the RBIs Over in 13 of his last 25 games at home (+8.60 Units / 34% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 51 games (+13.45 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 21 away games (+11.85 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 52 games (+11.30 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 21 games (+8.85 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 20 games (+5.75 Units / 22% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 34 games at home (+14.55 Units / 22% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 42 of their last 69 games (+14.40 Units / 19% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 18 games (+12.00 Units / 58% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 31 of their last 49 games (+12.00 Units / 20% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 55 games (+11.99 Units / 16% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 33-35 against the Run Line (-1.45 Units / -1.73% ROI).
- 36-32 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.68 Units / 0.8% ROI
- 25-40 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.45 Units / -25.68% ROI
- 40-25 when betting on the total runs Under for +13.05 Units / 17.65% ROI
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mets are 39-30 against the Run Line (+9.19 Units / 10.12% ROI).
- 45-24 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.45 Units / 10.91% ROI
- 25-42 when betting on the total runs Over for -21.55 Units / -28.21% ROI
- 42-25 when betting on the total runs Under for +14.4 Units / 19.09% ROI
Mets vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| Juan Soto (NYM) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Brandon Nimmo (NYM) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Mets vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +160 |
| Yandy Diaz (TB) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +170 |
| Josh Lowe (TB) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Brandon Nimmo (NYM) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Mets vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Juan Soto (NYM) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Yandy Diaz (TB) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Brandon Nimmo (NYM) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
Mets vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Taj Bradley (TB) | 4.5 -160 | 4.5 +125 |
| Clay Holmes (NYM) | 5.5 +120 | 5.5 -160 |
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 13% (12/94) against Taj Bradley this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 12% (6/48) against Taj Bradley with runners in scoring position this season — tied for 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 98th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 56% (53/94) against Taj Bradley this season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 92nd Percentile.
Taj Bradley has walked 9% of right-handed batters this season — 9th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 11th Percentile.
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of 70% (54/77) against Clay Holmes in two-strike counts in the 2024 season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 66% (225/343) against Clay Holmes since the 2023 season — 3rd highest among AL Relievers; League Avg: 44% — 97th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters had a groundball rate of 75% (56/75) against Clay Holmes in 2023 — 2nd highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 98th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters had a groundball rate of 75% (56/75) against Clay Holmes in 2023 — highest among AL Relievers; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Rays are 4-26 (.133) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .043.
The Rays are 16-153 (.094) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Rays were 70-1 (.986) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .949.
The Rays are 88-25 (.779) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .702.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Mets were 8-60 (.118) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Mets are 27-7 (.794) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .553.
The Mets are 8-80 (.091) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .048.
The Mets were 11-52 (.175) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .100.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters struck out 343 times in 1,369 PA’s (25%) against LHP in the 2024 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rays hitters had a groundball batting average of .311 with runners on base in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .259.
Rays hitters had a groundball batting average of .283 in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Rays hitters were successful in 90% of their bunt for hit attempts in 2023 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mets batted just .238 against LHP in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Mets hitters have struck out in just 20% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Mets hitters have a groundball batting average of just .167 with runners on base this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .257.
Mets hitters have a groundball batting average of just .220 with runners on base since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .261.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Batters facing the Rays pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 52% of the time since the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 49%. since the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Opponents have a swing rate of 50% against the Rays pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Rays pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 64 double plays in 426 opportunities (15%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 45% against Rays pitchers in 2023 — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Mets pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Mets pitchers walked 586 of 6,098 batters (10%) in the 2024 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Batters facing the Mets pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 33% of the time over the past seven days (6 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 51%. over the past seven days (6 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 51%.
Mets pitchers have an ERA of 2.83 (616.1 IP) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.03.
More MLB Reading:
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