- The Mets are -145 favorites vs the Rays
- Rays vs Mets Over / Under today: 7 Runs
- Rays / Mets TV Channel: FSUN | SNY
The Tampa Bay Rays (+120) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-145) on Saturday, June 14, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Flushing, NY.
This season, the Rays are 37-32 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 39-31 ATS.
Rays vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rays starting pitcher: Drew Rasmussen 5-4, 2.22 ERA
- Mets starting pitcher: Tylor Megill 5-4, 3.74 ERA
Rays vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | +1.5 -185 | O 7 +100 | +120 |
| Mets | -1.5 +155 | U 7 -120 | -145 |
Rays vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 52.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Brandon Lowe has hit the Runs Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+14.95 Units / 59% ROI)
- Danny Jansen has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+13.30 Units / 333% ROI)
- Brandon Lowe has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.75 Units / 37% ROI)
- Brandon Lowe has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+10.00 Units / 20% ROI)
- Jonathan Aranda has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+9.65 Units / 47% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jeff McNeil has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 games (+15.30 Units / 255% ROI)
- Juan Soto has hit the RBIs Over in 12 of his last 20 games at home (+10.80 Units / 54% ROI)
- Brandon Nimmo has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+10.20 Units / 38% ROI)
- Tyrone Taylor has hit the Runs Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 54% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 25 games at home (+8.50 Units / 29% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 22 away games (+12.85 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 52 games (+12.35 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 22 games (+10.30 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 53 games (+10.10 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 39 of their last 69 games (+5.50 Units / 7% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 42 of their last 70 games (+13.30 Units / 17% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 16 of their last 19 games (+13.05 Units / 60% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 32 of their last 50 games (+13.00 Units / 21% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 35 games at home (+12.90 Units / 19% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 56 games (+10.99 Units / 15% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 34-35 against the Run Line (-0.45 Units / -0.53% ROI).
- 37-32 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.13 Units / 2.47% ROI
- 26-40 when betting on the total runs Over for -18.45 Units / -24.01% ROI
- 40-26 when betting on the total runs Under for +11.95 Units / 15.92% ROI
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mets are 39-31 against the Run Line (+8.19 Units / 8.92% ROI).
- 45-25 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.8 Units / 9.33% ROI
- 26-42 when betting on the total runs Over for -20.55 Units / -26.52% ROI
- 42-26 when betting on the total runs Under for +13.3 Units / 17.37% ROI
Mets vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| Juan Soto (NYM) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Mets vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Yandy Diaz (TB) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Brandon Nimmo (NYM) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Jeff McNeil (NYM) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Mets vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Juan Soto (NYM) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
| Brandon Nimmo (NYM) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Yandy Diaz (TB) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -250 |
Mets vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Drew Rasmussen (TB) | 4.5 -115 | 4.5 -115 |
| Tylor Megill (NYM) | 6.5 +120 | 6.5 -155 |
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .144 (15-for-104) against Drew Rasmussen when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .237 — 98th Percentile.
Drew Rasmussen has thrown inside pitches 52% of the time (112/214) with runners in scoring position this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 32% — 100th Percentile.
Drew Rasmussen has thrown inside pitches 42% of the time (139/327) with two-strikes this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 29% — 98th Percentile.
Drew Rasmussen has allowed an OPS of just .439 (103 PA’s) versus the top of the order this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .737 — 100th Percentile.
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .403 (29 GB hits out of 72 GBs) against Tylor Megill with runners in scoring position since the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 156 total IP; League Avg: .243 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .600 (12 GB hits out of 20 GBs) against Tylor Megill with runners in scoring position this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 26 total IP; League Avg: .237 — first Percentile.
Tylor Megill has allowed an OBP of .440 (141 PA’s) with runners in scoring position since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 91 total IP; League Avg: .314 — 0 Percentile.
Tylor Megill allowed a slugging percentage of just .159 (10 Total Bases / 63 ABs) on elevated fastballs in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .369 — 99th Percentile.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Rays are 4-26 (.133) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .043.
The Rays are 16-153 (.094) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Rays are 68-10 (.872) when scoring 5 or more runs since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .805.
The Rays are 9-99 (.083) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .048.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Mets were 8-60 (.118) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Mets are 15-73 (.170) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .098.
The Mets were just 65-13 (.833) when leading entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .899.
The Mets are 43-16 (.729) when they’ve scored in the first inning since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .636.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rays scored first in 71% of their games against division opponents in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays hitters had an OPS of just .669 (6,006 PA’s) in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .712.
Rays hitters had a groundball batting average of .311 with runners on base in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .259.
Rays hitters slugged just .358 against RHP in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .400.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
Mets hitters have a groundball batting average of just .167 with runners on base this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .257.
Mets hitters are slugging .428 against LHP since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .391.
Mets hitters have struck out in just 21% of their PA’s against LHP this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Mets have a winning percentage of 64% this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers did not pick-off any runners from first base in 2023 — lowest in MLB.
Rays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 35% with runners in scoring position over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Rays pitchers walked 103 of 1,444 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in 2023 — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 40% against Rays pitchers in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers walked 586 of 6,098 batters (10%) in the 2024 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Mets pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Batters facing the Mets pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 32% of the time over the past seven days (6 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 51%. over the past seven days (6 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 51%.
Mets pitchers have an ERA of 2.89 (625.1 IP) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.03.
More MLB Reading:
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