- The Orioles are -140 favorites vs the Rays
- Rays vs Orioles Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Rays / Orioles TV Channel: MASN | BSUN
The Tampa Bay Rays (+120) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-140) on Friday, September 6, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Baltimore, MD.
This season, the Rays are 69-71 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 77-64 ATS.
Rays vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rays starting pitcher: Shane Baz 2-2, 3.49 ERA
- Orioles starting pitcher: Dean Kremer 6-9, 4.49 ERA
Rays vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | +1.5 -190 | O 8.5 -115 | +120 |
| Orioles | -1.5 +155 | U 8.5 -105 | -140 |
Rays vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Friday‘s MLB game with 55.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jose Siri has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 away games (+18.90 Units / 315% ROI)
- Josh Lowe has hit the Singles Over in 23 of his last 40 games (+10.25 Units / 26% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+9.60 Units / 28% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+9.35 Units / 20% ROI)
- Brandon Lowe has hit the RBIs Under in his last 9 away games (+9.00 Units / 40% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 12 games at home (+24.10 Units / 201% ROI)
- Colton Cowser has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 33 of his last 46 games (+20.05 Units / 37% ROI)
- Colton Cowser has hit the Total Bases Over in 31 of his last 44 games (+19.20 Units / 34% ROI)
- Colton Cowser has hit the Hits Over in 33 of his last 44 games (+12.30 Units / 15% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the Walks Over in 12 of his last 18 games at home (+12.10 Units / 67% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 82 of their last 137 games (+22.85 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 74 of their last 131 games (+12.20 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 42 of their last 69 games (+11.20 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 36 of their last 64 games (+9.85 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 48 away games (+5.70 Units / 11% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 73 of their last 132 games (+20.15 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 53 of their last 94 games (+14.95 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 40 of their last 66 games (+11.95 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.80 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 71 of their last 126 games (+5.65 Units / 4% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 71-69 against the Run Line (-4.55 Units / -2.4% ROI).
- 69-71 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.2 Units / -6.63% ROI
- 64-71 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.1 Units / -8.54% ROI
- 71-64 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.9 Units / 0.58% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 77-64 against the Run Line (+20 Units / 11.87% ROI).
- 81-60 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.7 Units / -0.82% ROI
- 76-53 when betting on the total runs Over for +18.3 Units / 11.92% ROI
- 53-76 when betting on the total runs Under for -30.7 Units / -19.86% ROI
Orioles vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Christopher Morel (TB) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
| Colton Cowser (BAL) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
Orioles vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Josh Lowe (TB) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Orioles vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Josh Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Christopher Morel (TB) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Orioles vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Dean Kremer (BAL) | 4.5 -130 | 4.5 +100 |
| Shane Baz (TB) | 4.5 +110 | 4.5 -145 |
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Shane Baz has limited playing time.
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Dean Kremer has allowed an OPS of just .418 (110 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: .710 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .129 (13-for-101) against Dean Kremer when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: .244 — 100th Percentile.
Dean Kremer has not allowed a hit in the first inning in any of his last four games dating back to August 14th — JP Sears has the longest active streak at 6.
Dean Kremer has allowed a slugging percentage of just .218 (22 Total Bases / 101 ABs) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: .408 — 99th Percentile.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Rays are 12-115 (.094) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .052.
The Rays are 81-10 (.890) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .797.
The Rays are 16-55 (.225) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .142.
The Rays are 59-4 (.937) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .795.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Orioles are 60-47 (.561) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .414.
The Orioles are 19-10 (.655) after a road loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .483.
The Orioles are 91-29 (.758) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .638.
The Orioles are 23-18 (.561) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .425.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters have put just 32% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Rays hitters have 206 strikeouts in 631 PA’s (33%) in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
The Rays are batting .263 against LHP since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .250.
Rays hitters have put just 31% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters have an OPS of .761 (3,216 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .729.
The Orioles are batting .358 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .332.
Orioles hitters have grounded into 64 double plays in 989 opportunities (7%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
The Orioles have a winning percentage of 61% on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
The Rays pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Rays pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rays pitchers have walked 1,218 of 17,191 batters (7%) since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Rays pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 29% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
The Orioles have won 42% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Orioles pitchers have walked 1 of 53 batters (2%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the past seven days (6 games) — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Orioles pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games on the road this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .212 against Orioles pitchers with the shift since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Orioles vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Baltimore Orioles – No Injuries Reported
- Tampa Bay Rays – No Injuries Reported
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