- The Red Sox are -125 favorites vs the Rays
- Rays vs Red Sox Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Rays / Red Sox TV Channel: NESN | BSUN
The Tampa Bay Rays (-105) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-115) on Tuesday, May 14, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Boston, MA.
This season, the Rays are 21-21 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 20-21 ATS.
Rays vs Red Sox Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rays starting pitcher: Aaron Civale 2-3, 5.88 ERA
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Nick Pivetta 1-2, 3.60 ERA
Rays vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | -1.5 +155 | O 9 -115 | -105 |
| Red Sox | +1.5 -190 | U 9 -105 | -115 |
Rays vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 16 games (+13.00 Units / 81% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Total Bases Over in 24 of his last 34 games (+12.45 Units / 25% ROI)
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+12.10 Units / 39% ROI)
- Jose Caballero has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 13 away games (+10.85 Units / 57% ROI)
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Runs Under in 26 of his last 39 games (+10.80 Units / 22% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jarren Duran has hit the Hits Under in 21 of his last 28 games (+10.95 Units / 20% ROI)
- Tyler O’Neill has hit the Singles Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 69% ROI)
- Jarren Duran has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 28 games (+9.90 Units / 29% ROI)
- Garrett Cooper has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.15 Units / 38% ROI)
- Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Total Bases Under in 21 of his last 35 games (+8.80 Units / 21% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 23 of their last 31 away games (+13.85 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 30 away games (+13.60 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 47 games (+12.85 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 20 of their last 30 away games (+9.75 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 30 away games (+8.30 Units / 23% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 19 games (+10.60 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games (+5.49 Units / 34% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 18-24 against the Run Line (-6.8 Units / -12.64% ROI).
- 21-21 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.1 Units / -14.29% ROI
- 23-19 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.1 Units / 4.55% ROI
- 19-23 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.35 Units / -13.73% ROI
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 20-21 against the Run Line (-4.85 Units / -8.49% ROI).
- 21-20 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.2 Units / -0.41% ROI
- 14-25 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.05 Units / -29.23% ROI
- 25-14 when betting on the total runs Under for +9.55 Units / 20.94% ROI
Red Sox vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -450 |
| Tyler O'Neill (BOS) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Randy Arozarena (TB) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -650 |
| Isaac Paredes (TB) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Wilyer Abreu (BOS) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Red Sox vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Vaughn Grissom (BOS) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Harold Ramirez (TB) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Connor Wong (BOS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Tyler O'Neill (BOS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
Red Sox vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Isaac Paredes (TB) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Tyler O'Neill (BOS) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Wilyer Abreu (BOS) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Connor Wong (BOS) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Red Sox vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Civale (TB) | 5.5 +120 | 5.5 -160 |
| Nick Pivetta (BOS) | 5.5 +130 | 5.5 -175 |
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of 32% (40/124) against Aaron Civale this season — 2nd highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 23% — fourth Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 32% (39/124) against Aaron Civale this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — third Percentile.
Aaron Civale has allowed an OPS of 1.156 (32 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .694 — first Percentile.
Opponents have a first pitch chase rate of 26% (23/88) against Aaron Civale this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 15% — 97th Percentile.
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Nick Pivetta has allowed an OBP of just .179 (391 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: .247 — 98th Percentile.
Nick Pivetta has a strikeout rate of 40% (34 SO in 85 PAs) in late innings since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Nick Pivetta has struck out 32% (85/270) of left-handed batters he faced since last season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 96th Percentile.
Nick Pivetta has a strikeout rate of 31% (73 SO in 238 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: 21% — 96th Percentile.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Rays are 18-7 (.720) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rays are 44-14 (.759) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .573.
The Rays are 19-7 (.731) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rays are just 14-32 (.304) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .413.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Red Sox are just 3-157 (.019) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Red Sox are just 1-91 (.011) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .053.
The Red Sox are 78-7 (.918) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .856.
The Red Sox are 82-5 (.943) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .898.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters have an OBP of .314 (261 PA’s) with two-strikes over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: .243.
Rays hitters are slugging just .321 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .419.
Rays hitters have put just 31% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
The Rays scored first in 71% of their games against division opponents in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
Red Sox hitters have 131 strikeouts in 435 PA’s (30%) against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Red Sox hitters have put just 31% of their swings in play against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
The Red Sox are batting .272 with two outs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .229.
Red Sox hitters have 869 strikeouts in 3,560 PA’s (24%) against LHP since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
The Rays pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Rays pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 29% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays pitchers have walked 952 of 13,535 batters (7%) since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 36% against Rays pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Red Sox pitchers have walked 103 of 1,501 batters (7%) this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Red Sox pitchers have walked 18 of 367 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Red Sox pitchers have an ERA of 2.83 (366.1 IP) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 3.98.
Red Sox pitchers have an ERA of 2.21 (183.1 IP) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.06.
Red Sox vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Wyatt Mills (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Vaughn Grissom (Boston Red Sox): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
- Michael Fulmer (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Zack Kelly (Boston Red Sox): Oblique, Day-To-Day
- Bryan Mata (Boston Red Sox): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Chris Murphy (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Kenley Jansen (Boston Red Sox): Back, Day-To-Day
- Brandon Walter (Boston Red Sox): Shoulder, 7-Day IL
- Lucas Giolito (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Rob Refsnyder (Boston Red Sox): Toe, 10-Day IL
- Yu Chang (Boston Red Sox): Oblique, Out
- Taylor Walls (Tampa Bay Rays): Hip, 10-Day IL
- Jonny DeLuca (Tampa Bay Rays): Hand, 10-Day IL
- Jeffrey Springs (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane Baz (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Jonathan Aranda (Tampa Bay Rays): Finger, 10-Day IL
- Taj Bradley (Tampa Bay Rays): Pectoral, 15-Day IL
- Josh Lowe (Tampa Bay Rays): Oblique, 10-Day IL
- Junior Caminero (Tampa Bay Rays): Quadriceps, Day-To-Day
- Garrett Acton (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, Out
- Drew Rasmussen (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane McClanahan (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wander Franco (Tampa Bay Rays): Personal, Suspension
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