- The Rays are -165 favorites vs the Rockies
- Rays vs Rockies Over / Under today: 12.5 Runs
- Rays / Rockies TV Channel: ROTV | MLBN | BSUN
The Tampa Bay Rays (-165) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+140) on Friday, April 5, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Denver, CO.
This season, the Rays are 3-4 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 2-5 ATS.
Rays vs Rockies Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rays starting pitcher: Zack Littell 1-0, 0.00 ERA
- Rockies starting pitcher: Austin Gomber 0-0, 7.72 ERA
Rays vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | -1.5 -115 | O 12.5 -115 | -165 |
| Rockies | +1.5 -105 | U 12.5 -105 | +140 |
Rays vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Friday‘s MLB game with 63.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Curtis Mead has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 22 games (+15.70 Units / 35% ROI)
- Wander Franco has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+11.60 Units / 50% ROI)
- Curtis Mead has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 22 games (+11.20 Units / 45% ROI)
- Manuel Margot has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 away games (+10.85 Units / 31% ROI)
- Wander Franco has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.15 Units / 47% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Cal Quantrill has hit the Strikeouts Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+13.60 Units / 46% ROI)
- Alan Trejo has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 16 games (+9.55 Units / 52% ROI)
- Dakota Hudson has hit the Strikeouts Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.75 Units / 57% ROI)
- Alan Trejo has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 19 games (+8.65 Units / 31% ROI)
- Kyle Freeland has hit the Strikeouts Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.45 Units / 49% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 23 of their last 31 away games (+13.85 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 30 away games (+13.60 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 47 games (+12.85 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 20 of their last 30 away games (+9.75 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 30 away games (+8.30 Units / 23% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 69 games at home (+12.00 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 69 games at home (+11.30 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 82 of their last 150 games (+9.05 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in their last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 85% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 2 of their last 4 games (+1.27 Units / 32% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 3-4 against the Run Line (-0.05 Units / -0.66% ROI).
- 3-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -2 Units / -22.1% ROI
- 4-3 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.7 Units / 9.15% ROI
- 3-4 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.45 Units / -18.71% ROI
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 2-5 against the Run Line (-3.65 Units / -45.06% ROI).
- 1-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.4 Units / -62.86% ROI
- 5-2 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.8 Units / 35% ROI
- 2-5 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.2 Units / -43.24% ROI
Rockies vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Toglia | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Siri | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Diaz | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Doyle | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Rosario | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
Rockies vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Littell | 4.5 +110 | 4.5 -145 |
| Gomber | 3.5 +115 | 3.5 -150 |
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zack Littell threw breaking pitches away 88% of the time (83/94) in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 49% — 100th Percentile.
Zack Littell has thrown elevated sliders68% of the time (27/40) this season — highest among in AL; League Avg: 20% — 100th Percentile.
Zack Littell has thrown his slider 55% of the time (12/22) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Zack Littell has thrown elevated pitches 65% of the time (31/48) vs left-handed batters this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 32% — 98th Percentile.
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .426 (29-for-68) against Austin Gomber in late innings since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 131 total IP; League Avg: .248 — first Percentile.
Austin Gomber has allowed a slugging percentage of .647 (255 Total Bases / 394 ABs) on fastballs since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 131 total IP; League Avg: .435 — 0 Percentile.
Hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order are hitting .332 (122-for-368) against Austin Gomber since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 66 total IP; League Avg: .249 — first Percentile.
Austin Gomber has allowed a slugging percentage of .670 (150 Total Bases / 224 ABs) on fastballs since last season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 66 total IP; League Avg: .455 — third Percentile.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Rays were 16-6 (.727) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rays are just 11-27 (.289) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .414.
The Rays were 20-27 (.426) when allowing 10 or more hits in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .271.
The Rays were 17-6 (.739) when tied entering the 8th inning in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Rockies were just 15-14 (.517) when they had 5 or more XBH in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .790.
The Rockies are just 38-26 (.594) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .796.
The Rockies were just 45-13 (.776) when leading entering the 8th inning in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .899.
The Rockies were just 41-20 (.672) when leading entering the 7th inning in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .859.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters have put none of their swings in play in lefty-lefty matchups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
The Rays scored first in 64% of their games in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays hitters have 1 strikeout in 1 PA’s (100%) in lefty-lefty matchups this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Rays hitters have a groundball batting average of .280 since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies have an average HR distance of 411.3 feet since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.6.
The Rockies have won just 53% of games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 75%.
The Rockies are batting .276 at home since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
The Rockies have won just 50% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
The Rays pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Rays pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 29% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Rays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Rays pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 30% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Rockies pitchers since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 18% in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 37% with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rockies vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- German Marquez (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Lucas Gilbreath (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Antonio Senzatela (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Daniel Bard (Colorado Rockies): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Taylor Walls (Tampa Bay Rays): Hip, 10-Day IL
- Jonny DeLuca (Tampa Bay Rays): Hand, 10-Day IL
- Jeffrey Springs (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane Baz (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Jonathan Aranda (Tampa Bay Rays): Finger, 10-Day IL
- Taj Bradley (Tampa Bay Rays): Pectoral, 15-Day IL
- Josh Lowe (Tampa Bay Rays): Oblique, 10-Day IL
- Junior Caminero (Tampa Bay Rays): Quadriceps, Day-To-Day
- Garrett Acton (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, Out
- Drew Rasmussen (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane McClanahan (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wander Franco (Tampa Bay Rays): Personal, Suspension
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