- The Twins are -160 favorites vs the Rays
- Rays vs Twins Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Rays / Twins TV Channel: BSNO | BSUN
The Tampa Bay Rays (+135) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-160) on Tuesday, June 18, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Minneapolis, MN.
This season, the Rays are 34-38 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 33-39 ATS.
Rays vs Twins Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rays starting pitcher: Aaron Civale 2-5, 5.21 ERA
- Twins starting pitcher: Pablo Lopez 6-6, 5.36 ERA
Rays vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | +1.5 -155 | O 8 +100 | +135 |
| Twins | -1.5 +125 | U 8 -120 | -160 |
Rays vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 58.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Josh Lowe has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+14.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 28 games (+12.00 Units / 32% ROI)
- Jose Siri has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 14 games (+11.40 Units / 81% ROI)
- Josh Lowe has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+10.80 Units / 60% ROI)
- Alex Jackson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+10.70 Units / 54% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Max Kepler has hit the Hits Over in 28 of his last 37 games (+13.35 Units / 17% ROI)
- Royce Lewis has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 6 games (+12.15 Units / 203% ROI)
- Carlos Correa has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 23 games (+11.95 Units / 40% ROI)
- Christian Vazquez has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 24 games (+10.30 Units / 33% ROI)
- Willi Castro has hit the Total Bases Under in 26 of his last 40 games (+9.65 Units / 17% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 47 of their last 69 games (+23.90 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 37 of their last 63 games (+8.40 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in their last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 88% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 15 away games (+4.30 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 away games (+3.80 Units / 28% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 34 of their last 55 games (+9.55 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 52 games (+8.95 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 33 games (+6.60 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 26 of their last 44 games (+6.19 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 8 games (+2.10 Units / 21% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 30-42 against the Run Line (-14.75 Units / -15.75% ROI).
- 34-38 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.45 Units / -14.66% ROI
- 37-34 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.2 Units / -0.25% ROI
- 34-37 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.75 Units / -8.5% ROI
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 33-39 against the Run Line (-9.7 Units / -10.34% ROI).
- 40-32 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 32-36 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.7 Units / -9.85% ROI
- 36-32 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.55 Units / 0.7% ROI
Twins vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Max Kepler (MIN) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Carlos Santana (MIN) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
Twins vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Max Kepler (MIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Trevor Larnach (MIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Amed Rosario (TB) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
| Josh Lowe (TB) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Twins vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Max Kepler (MIN) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Trevor Larnach (MIN) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Carlos Santana (MIN) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Twins vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Pablo Lopez (MIN) | 6.5 +115 | 6.5 -155 |
| Aaron Civale (TB) | 5.5 +135 | 5.5 -175 |
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of 29% (64/217) against Aaron Civale this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — fifth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .294 (35-for-119) against Aaron Civale when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 6th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .223 — seventh Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .263 (31-for-118) against Aaron Civale’s non-fastballs this season — tied for 6th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .214 — 10th Percentile.
Aaron Civale has thrown elevated pitches 51% of the time (284/559) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Pablo Lopez has walked 2 of 126 batters (2%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Pablo Lopez has allowed an OPS of .910 (125 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .640 — fifth Percentile.
Pablo Lopez has a strikeout rate of 40% (23 SO in 57 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — 95th Percentile.
Pablo Lopez’s K:BB ratio is 7.3 (44/6) vs left-handed batters this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 2.9 — 97th Percentile.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Rays are just 16-37 (.302) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .410.
The Rays are just 9-23 (.281) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .417.
The Rays are 20-10 (.667) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rays are 11-88 (.111) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .053.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Twins are 50-16 (.758) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .617.
The Twins are 22-76 (.224) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .143.
The Twins are just 20-31 (.392) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins are 12-22 (.353) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .193.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rays scored first in 64% of their games in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Rays are batting .263 against LHP since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .252.
Rays hitters have 175 strikeouts in 684 PA’s (26%) against LHP this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Rays hitters have 180 strikeouts in 550 PA’s (33%) in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
The Twins are batting .251 with two-strikes this month (15 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .172.
Twins hitters have drawn 41 walks in 685 PA’s (6%) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins hitters have 35 extra-base hits out of 79 total hits (44%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
The Twins are batting .356 at home this month (7 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .250.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Rays pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Rays pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Rays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 33% of their games on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
The Rays pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 29% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Twins pitchers have walked 631 of 8,695 batters (7%) since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Twins pitchers have walked 1,099 of 14,737 batters (7%) since the 2022 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Twins vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Zack Weiss (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Jhoan Duran (Minnesota Twins): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Anthony DeSclafani (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Matt Canterino (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 7-Day IL
- Trevor Larnach (Minnesota Twins): Toe, 7-Day IL
- Royce Lewis (Minnesota Twins): Quadriceps, 10-Day IL
- Max Kepler (Minnesota Twins): Leg, Day-To-Day
- Jovani Moran (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Josh Staumont (Minnesota Twins): Calf, 15-Day IL
- Caleb Thielbar (Minnesota Twins): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Justin Topa (Minnesota Twins): Kneecap, 15-Day IL
- Jose De Leon (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, Out
- Josh Winder (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Taylor Walls (Tampa Bay Rays): Hip, 10-Day IL
- Jonny DeLuca (Tampa Bay Rays): Hand, 10-Day IL
- Jeffrey Springs (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane Baz (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Jonathan Aranda (Tampa Bay Rays): Finger, 10-Day IL
- Taj Bradley (Tampa Bay Rays): Pectoral, 15-Day IL
- Josh Lowe (Tampa Bay Rays): Oblique, 10-Day IL
- Junior Caminero (Tampa Bay Rays): Quadriceps, Day-To-Day
- Garrett Acton (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, Out
- Drew Rasmussen (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane McClanahan (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wander Franco (Tampa Bay Rays): Personal, Suspension
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