- The Twins are -165 favorites vs the Rays
- Rays vs Twins Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Rays / Twins TV Channel: BSNO | BSUN
The Tampa Bay Rays (+140) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-165) on Wednesday, June 19, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Minneapolis, MN.
This season, the Rays are 34-39 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 33-40 ATS.
Rays vs Twins Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rays starting pitcher: Taj Bradley 2-4, 4.19 ERA
- Twins starting pitcher: Joe Ryan 5-5, 3.26 ERA
Rays vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | +1.5 -150 | O 7.5 -120 | +140 |
| Twins | -1.5 +125 | U 7.5 +100 | -165 |
Rays vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 56.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Josh Lowe has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+13.00 Units / 73% ROI)
- Brandon Lowe has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 away games (+10.70 Units / 214% ROI)
- Alex Jackson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+10.70 Units / 54% ROI)
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 29 games (+10.70 Units / 28% ROI)
- Alex Jackson has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+9.65 Units / 41% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Max Kepler has hit the Hits Over in 29 of his last 38 games (+14.35 Units / 18% ROI)
- Carlos Correa has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 24 games (+12.95 Units / 41% ROI)
- Royce Lewis has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 7 games (+11.15 Units / 159% ROI)
- Christian Vazquez has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 24 games (+10.30 Units / 33% ROI)
- Carlos Correa has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 26 games (+9.95 Units / 36% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 47 of their last 70 games (+22.80 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 37 of their last 64 games (+7.25 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in their last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 88% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 16 away games (+5.30 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 14 away games (+2.80 Units / 19% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 35 of their last 56 games (+10.55 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 53 games (+9.95 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 34 games (+5.50 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 26 of their last 45 games (+4.99 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 9 games (+1.10 Units / 10% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 31-42 against the Run Line (-13.75 Units / -14.47% ROI).
- 34-39 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.45 Units / -15.58% ROI
- 38-34 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.8 Units / 1% ROI
- 34-38 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.85 Units / -9.75% ROI
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 33-40 against the Run Line (-10.7 Units / -11.29% ROI).
- 41-32 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 0.98% ROI
- 33-36 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.7 Units / -8.45% ROI
- 36-33 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.55 Units / -0.69% ROI
Twins vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Max Kepler (MIN) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Trevor Larnach (MIN) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
Twins vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Carlos Correa (MIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Max Kepler (MIN) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Willi Castro (MIN) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
Twins vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Max Kepler (MIN) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Carlos Correa (MIN) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
Twins vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Taj Bradley (TB) | 5.5 -160 | 5.5 +125 |
| Joe Ryan (MIN) | 7.5 +125 | 7.5 -160 |
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Taj Bradley has struck out 33% (105/315) of left-handed batters he faced since last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 92 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 98th Percentile.
Taj Bradley has struck out 44% (11/25) of left-handed batters he faced — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 21% — 100th Percentile.
Opposing hitters have a groundball rate of just 20% (19/94) against Taj Bradley when he’s behind in the count since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 92 total IP; League Avg: 39% — first Percentile.
Taj Bradley has allowed a slugging percentage of .913 (84 Total Bases / 92 ABs) when behind in the count since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 92 total IP; League Avg: .614 — first Percentile.
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 34% (33/98) against Joe Ryan in two-strike counts this season — tied for 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — sixth Percentile.
Joe Ryan has allowed an OBP of just .245 (335 PA’s) this season — 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .294 — 93rd Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 19% (24/126) against Joe Ryan on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 8th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 10th Percentile.
Joe Ryan has a strike rate of 69% (415/603) vs left-handed batters this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — 98th Percentile.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Rays are just 9-24 (.273) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .417.
The Rays are 11-88 (.111) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .054.
The Rays are just 16-38 (.296) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .410.
The Rays are 22-80 (.216) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .144.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Twins are 50-16 (.758) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .617.
The Twins are 41-27 (.603) after a home win since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .531.
The Twins are 17-89 (.160) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .104.
The Twins are 104-1 (.990) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .946.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters are slugging just .349 against RHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .390.
Rays hitters have 180 strikeouts in 550 PA’s (33%) in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Rays hitters have 175 strikeouts in 684 PA’s (26%) against LHP this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Rays hitters are slugging just .352 at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .396.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
The Twins are batting .280 with two-strikes over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: .170.
The Twins are batting .354 at home this month (8 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .250.
Twins hitters have an OPS of .765 (691 PA’s) against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .705.
The Twins are batting .271 against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Rays pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Rays pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays pitchers have walked 203 of 2,812 batters (7%) this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Rays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 37% of their games on the road since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers have walked 189 of 2,703 batters (7%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% since the 2022 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Twins pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Twins vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Zack Weiss (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Jhoan Duran (Minnesota Twins): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Anthony DeSclafani (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Matt Canterino (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 7-Day IL
- Trevor Larnach (Minnesota Twins): Toe, 7-Day IL
- Royce Lewis (Minnesota Twins): Quadriceps, 10-Day IL
- Max Kepler (Minnesota Twins): Leg, Day-To-Day
- Jovani Moran (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Josh Staumont (Minnesota Twins): Calf, 15-Day IL
- Caleb Thielbar (Minnesota Twins): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Justin Topa (Minnesota Twins): Kneecap, 15-Day IL
- Jose De Leon (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, Out
- Josh Winder (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Taylor Walls (Tampa Bay Rays): Hip, 10-Day IL
- Jonny DeLuca (Tampa Bay Rays): Hand, 10-Day IL
- Jeffrey Springs (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane Baz (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Jonathan Aranda (Tampa Bay Rays): Finger, 10-Day IL
- Taj Bradley (Tampa Bay Rays): Pectoral, 15-Day IL
- Josh Lowe (Tampa Bay Rays): Oblique, 10-Day IL
- Junior Caminero (Tampa Bay Rays): Quadriceps, Day-To-Day
- Garrett Acton (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, Out
- Drew Rasmussen (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane McClanahan (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wander Franco (Tampa Bay Rays): Personal, Suspension
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