- The Yankees are -190 favorites vs the Rays
- Rays vs Yankees Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
- Rays / Yankees TV Channel: YES | FSUN | MLBN
The Tampa Bay Rays (+154) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-190) on Saturday, May 3, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05pm EDT in Bronx, NY, NY.
This season, the Rays are 14-18 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 17-15 ATS.
Rays vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rays starting pitcher: Zack Littell 1-5, 5.03 ERA
- Yankees starting pitcher: Clarke Schmidt 0-1, 5.53 ERA
Rays vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | +1.5 -120 | O 9.5 -105 | +154 |
| Yankees | -1.5 +100 | U 9.5 -115 | -190 |
Rays vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 60.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Junior Caminero has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+11.70 Units / 38% ROI)
- Junior Caminero has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+10.45 Units / 22% ROI)
- Danny Jansen has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 20 games (+10.20 Units / 50% ROI)
- Danny Jansen has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 20 games (+9.70 Units / 46% ROI)
- Kameron Misner has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 25 games (+6.40 Units / 26% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Aaron Judge has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+16.55 Units / 65% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+15.10 Units / 43% ROI)
- Trent Grisham has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 games (+15.00 Units / 188% ROI)
- Austin Wells has hit the RBIs Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+9.55 Units / 95% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+9.50 Units / 32% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 21 of their last 32 games (+8.95 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.25 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games (+5.40 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 away games (+5.00 Units / 81% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 6 away games (+4.45 Units / 50% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+7.52 Units / 40% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 16 games at home (+6.25 Units / 37% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 24 games (+5.90 Units / 22% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 32 games (+5.55 Units / 12% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 32 games (+5.10 Units / 14% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 13-19 against the Run Line (-6.65 Units / -17.03% ROI).
- 14-18 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.35 Units / -17.6% ROI
- 12-18 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.75 Units / -21.92% ROI
- 18-12 when betting on the total runs Under for +5 Units / 14.25% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 17-15 against the Run Line (+3.4 Units / 9.54% ROI).
- 19-13 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.75 Units / 5.82% ROI
- 14-16 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.45 Units / -9.88% ROI
- 16-14 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.47 Units / 1.32% ROI
Yankees vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -190 |
| Ben Rice (NYY) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -375 |
| Christopher Morel (TB) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Austin Wells (NYY) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -525 |
Yankees vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cody Bellinger (NYY) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Anthony Volpe (NYY) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Ben Rice (NYY) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Christopher Morel (TB) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Yankees vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 -105 | 0.5 -125 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Ben Rice (NYY) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Austin Wells (NYY) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Jasson Dominguez (NYY) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -220 |
Yankees vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Zack Littell (TB) | 3.5 -150 | 3.5 +115 |
| Ryan Yarbrough (NYY) | 3.5 -115 | 3.5 -115 |
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zack Littell has thrown his slider 59% of the time (61/104) when he’s behind in the count this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 18% — 98th Percentile.
Zack Littell has a strike rate of 76% (106/139) in two strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.
Zack Littell has thrown breaking pitches 59% of the time (61/104) when behind in the count this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — 97th Percentile.
Zack Littell has thrown his slider 46% of the time (169/370) in non-two strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 20% — 100th Percentile.
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
The average home run distance against Clarke Schmidt since the 2023 season is 383.1 feet — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 141 total IP; League Avg: 398.8
Clarke Schmidt struck out 32% (58/184) of left-handed batters he faced in the 2024 season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 98th Percentile.
Clarke Schmidt had a strike rate of just 59% (274/465) in two strike counts in the 2024 season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 65% — third Percentile.
Clarke Schmidt has walked 14% of batters this season — tied for 9th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: 8% — sixth Percentile.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Rays are 2-15 (.118) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .037.
The Rays are 14-142 (.089) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Rays are 64-6 (.901) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .801.
The Rays are just 10-2 (.833) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .920.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Yankees are 58-15 (.795) when they’ve scored in the first inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .637.
The Yankees were 37-21 (.638) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams in the 2024 season They play the Tigers (fifth best runs allowed) today.
The Yankees were 48-10 (.828) when they scored in the first inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .641.
The Yankees are 89-28 (.761) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .625.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rays are batting just .187 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .236.
Rays hitters are slugging just .277 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .374.
Rays hitters struck out 343 times in 1,369 PA’s (25%) against LHP in the 2024 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Rays scored first in 71% of their games against division opponents in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have a swing rate of just 44% against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Yankees hitters drew 221 walks in 1,808 PA’s (12%) against LHP in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have drawn walks in 12% of its PA’s against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have an OBP of .430 (149 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .327.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 29 double plays in 204 opportunities (14%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rays pitchers walked 439 of 5,994 batters (7%) in 2023 — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 40% against Rays pitchers in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rays pitchers walked 445 of 6,022 batters (7%) in the 2024 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .214 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .259.
Yankees pitchers have walked 9% of batters since last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .214 against Yankees pitchers in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Yankees pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
More MLB Reading:
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