- The Dodgers are -125 favorites vs the Red Sox
- Red Sox vs Dodgers Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Red Sox / Dodgers TV Channel: ESPN
The Boston Red Sox (+105) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-125) on Sunday, July 21, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Los Angeles, CA.
This season, the Red Sox are 53-44 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 48-51 ATS.
Red Sox vs Dodgers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Kutter Crawford 6-7, 3.05 ERA
- Dodgers starting pitcher: James Paxton 7-2, 4.43 ERA
Red Sox vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Red Sox | +1.5 -190 | O 9 -110 | +105 |
| Dodgers | -1.5 +155 | U 9 -110 | -125 |
Red Sox vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 51.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Rafael Devers has hit the Runs Over in 27 of his last 39 games (+16.65 Units / 39% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the Home Runs Over in 11 of his last 37 games (+11.95 Units / 32% ROI)
- Jarren Duran has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+11.75 Units / 53% ROI)
- Jarren Duran has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 25 of his last 38 games (+10.15 Units / 22% ROI)
- Jarren Duran has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.70 Units / 55% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Walks Under in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+14.05 Units / 33% ROI)
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the Home Runs Over in 9 of his last 15 games (+13.75 Units / 92% ROI)
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+12.45 Units / 79% ROI)
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the RBIs Under in 16 of his last 18 games at home (+12.40 Units / 37% ROI)
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 26 of his last 39 games (+12.10 Units / 28% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 45 away games (+12.15 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 29 of their last 45 away games (+9.45 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 31 of their last 54 games (+8.90 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 55 of their last 97 games (+7.70 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 51 of their last 97 games (+7.30 Units / 6% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 40 games at home (+11.15 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 47 games at home (+6.35 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 6 of their last 9 games (+3.15 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.25 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+1.60 Units / 27% ROI)
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 46-51 against the Run Line (-11.55 Units / -8.95% ROI).
- 53-44 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.25 Units / 3.53% ROI
- 45-47 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.25 Units / -5.86% ROI
- 47-45 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.3 Units / -2.15% ROI
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 48-51 against the Run Line (-9.45 Units / -7.92% ROI).
- 58-41 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.05 Units / -7.23% ROI
- 50-48 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.8 Units / -2.57% ROI
- 48-50 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.9 Units / -6.32% ROI
Dodgers vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Tyler O'Neill (BOS) | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -375 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
Dodgers vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Rob Refsnyder (BOS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Dodgers vs Red Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Tyler O'Neill (BOS) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Andy Pages (LAD) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Dodgers vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| James Paxton (LAD) | 4.5 -140 | 4.5 +105 |
| Kutter Crawford (BOS) | 5.5 +110 | 5.5 -145 |
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kutter Crawford has a strike rate of 79% (187/236) this month (3 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.
Kutter Crawford has a strike rate of 79% (130/164) in his last two starts — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 32% (37/115) against Kutter Crawford in two-strike counts this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — sixth Percentile.
Kutter Crawford has a first-pitch strike rate of 81% (57/70) this month (3 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — 100th Percentile.
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
James Paxton has walked 42 of 311 right-handed batters (14%) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 38 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 0 Percentile.
James Paxton has a strikeout rate of just 29% (57 SO in 193 PAs) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 38 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 0 Percentile.
James Paxton has an average spin rate of 1919.7 RPM on curveballs since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 103 total IP; League Avg: 2527.1 — first Percentile.
James Paxton has walked 24 of 141 batters (17%) versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 38 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 0 Percentile.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Red Sox are 46-49 (.484) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .414.
The Red Sox are 12-12 (.500) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .361.
The Red Sox are 116-4 (.967) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .947.
The Red Sox are 42-4 (.913) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .801.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Dodgers are 52-24 (.684) after a road loss since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .461.
The Dodgers are 138-26 (.841) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .730.
The Dodgers are 238-46 (.838) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .720.
The Dodgers are 139-71 (.662) at home since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .528.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – away
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – home
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Red Sox pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Red Sox pitchers have walked 256 of 3,638 batters (7%) this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Red Sox pitchers have an ERA of 3.31 (423.2 IP) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.21.
Red Sox pitchers have walked 53 of 873 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Dodgers pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Dodgers pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 31% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 3.56 (1193.0 IP) at home since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.11.
Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 3.50 (3785.0 IP) since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.13.
Dodgers vs. Red Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Brusdar Graterol (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Tony Gonsolin (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Diego Cartaya (Los Angeles Dodgers): Back, Day-To-Day
- Blake Treinen (Los Angeles Dodgers): Chest, 15-Day IL
- David Peralta (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, Out
- Emmet Sheehan (Los Angeles Dodgers): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Julio Urias (Los Angeles Dodgers): Personal, Out
- Clayton Kershaw (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Nick Frasso (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, Out
- Dustin May (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Walker Buehler (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Wyatt Mills (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Vaughn Grissom (Boston Red Sox): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
- Michael Fulmer (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Zack Kelly (Boston Red Sox): Oblique, Day-To-Day
- Bryan Mata (Boston Red Sox): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Chris Murphy (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Kenley Jansen (Boston Red Sox): Back, Day-To-Day
- Brandon Walter (Boston Red Sox): Shoulder, 7-Day IL
- Lucas Giolito (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Rob Refsnyder (Boston Red Sox): Toe, 10-Day IL
- Yu Chang (Boston Red Sox): Oblique, Out
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