- The Reds are -165 favorites vs the Red Sox
- Red Sox vs Reds Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
- Red Sox / Reds TV Channel: NESN | BSOH
The Boston Red Sox (+140) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (-165) on Sunday, June 23, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40pm EDT in Cincinnati, OH.
This season, the Red Sox are 41-36 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 43-33 ATS.
Red Sox vs Reds Starting Pitchers Today:
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Zack Kelly 2-1, 1.76 ERA
- Reds starting pitcher: Nick Lodolo 8-2, 2.80 ERA
Red Sox vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Red Sox | +1.5 -140 | O 9.5 -115 | +140 |
| Reds | -1.5 +115 | U 9.5 -105 | -165 |
Red Sox vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Reds will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 56.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Red Sox vs Reds and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- player high – away
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- player high – home
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 36 away games (+8.50 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 34 games (+6.90 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 23 of their last 38 games (+5.70 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 36 away games (+5.15 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 39 of their last 77 games (+4.80 Units / 5% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 38 of their last 60 games (+17.00 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 24 games at home (+13.50 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 35 of their last 58 games (+10.50 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 24 of their last 36 games at home (+9.80 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 26 games (+7.40 Units / 24% ROI)
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 36-41 against the Run Line (-11.2 Units / -10.76% ROI).
- 41-36 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.95 Units / 2.1% ROI
- 34-39 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.25 Units / -9.76% ROI
- 39-34 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.95 Units / 2.29% ROI
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 43-33 against the Run Line (+6.65 Units / 6.52% ROI).
- 36-40 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.95 Units / -4.49% ROI
- 31-42 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.7 Units / -18.72% ROI
- 42-31 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.65 Units / 9.16% ROI
Reds vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler O'Neill (BOS) | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -350 |
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Jeimer Candelario (CIN) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Reds vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jarren Duran (BOS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Jeimer Candelario (CIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| TJ Friedl (CIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Rob Refsnyder (BOS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Jonathan India (CIN) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Reds vs Red Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -150 |
| Jeimer Candelario (CIN) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Tyler O'Neill (BOS) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Jonathan India (CIN) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Reds vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Lodolo (CIN) | 7.5 -105 | 7.5 -120 |
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed batters are hitting just .100 (5-for-50) against Zack Kelly this season — best among AL Relievers; League Avg: .232 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .125 (11-for-88) against Zack Kelly this season — 2nd best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .230 — 99th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .082 (5-for-61) against Zack Kelly with two-strikes this season — 5th best among AL Relievers; League Avg: .160 — 95th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .125 (11-for-88) against Zack Kelly this season — best among AL Relievers; League Avg: .225 — 100th Percentile.
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Nick Lodolo has spotted his fastball inside for a strike just 55% (405/743) of the time since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 159 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .167 (5-for-30) against Nick Lodolo on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 29 total IP; League Avg: .331 — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of just 33% (242/743) against Nick Lodolo on inside fastballs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 159 total IP; League Avg: 49% — 0 Percentile.
Nick Lodolo has thrown inside pitches 43% of the time (140/324) with two-strikes this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 29 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 97th Percentile.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Red Sox are just 50-165 (.233) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .281.
The Red Sox are 107-4 (.964) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .947.
The Red Sox are 32-4 (.889) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .802.
The Red Sox are just 42-70 (.375) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .413.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Reds are just 1-7 (.125) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds are just 53-56 (.486) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .636.
The Reds are just 48-19 (.716) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .797.
The Reds are 36-15 (.706) after a win as favorites since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .588.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
Red Sox hitters have 236 strikeouts in 827 PA’s (28%) against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Red Sox hitters are slugging .430 against RHP since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .406.
Red Sox hitters are slugging .420 against RHP since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .401.
Red Sox hitters have put just 32% of their swings in play against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
The Reds are batting just .110 on pitches out of the zone this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .153.
The Reds are batting just .168 on breaking pitches this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .221.
The Reds are batting just .132 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .169.
Reds hitters are slugging just .217 with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .262.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Red Sox pitchers have walked 44 of 689 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 44% against Red Sox pitchers since last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 35% against Red Sox pitchers over the past seven days (6 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Red Sox pitchers have walked 202 of 2,864 batters (7%) this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .290 against Reds pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Reds vs. Red Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Austin Wynns (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Sam Moll (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Noelvi Marte (Cincinnati Reds): Suspension, Suspension
- Matt McLain (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Joey Votto (Cincinnati Reds): Ankle, Out
- Nick Lodolo (Cincinnati Reds): Calf, 15-Day IL
- TJ Friedl (Cincinnati Reds): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Reiver Sanmartin (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
- Alex Young (Cincinnati Reds): Back, 15-Day IL
- Ian Gibaut (Cincinnati Reds): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Brandon Williamson (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Connor Overton (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
- Wyatt Mills (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Vaughn Grissom (Boston Red Sox): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
- Michael Fulmer (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Zack Kelly (Boston Red Sox): Oblique, Day-To-Day
- Bryan Mata (Boston Red Sox): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Chris Murphy (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Kenley Jansen (Boston Red Sox): Back, Day-To-Day
- Brandon Walter (Boston Red Sox): Shoulder, 7-Day IL
- Lucas Giolito (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Rob Refsnyder (Boston Red Sox): Toe, 10-Day IL
- Yu Chang (Boston Red Sox): Oblique, Out
Bet now on Red Sox vs Reds and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
