- The Red Sox are -175 favorites vs the Rockies
- Red Sox vs Rockies Over / Under today: 10.5 Runs
- Red Sox / Rockies TV Channel: NESN | ROTV
The Boston Red Sox (-175) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+145) on Monday, July 22, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:40pm EDT in Denver, CO.
This season, the Red Sox are 53-45 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 50-50 ATS.
Red Sox vs Rockies Starting Pitchers Today:
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Tanner Houck 8-6, 2.53 ERA
- Rockies starting pitcher: Austin Gomber 2-6, 4.67 ERA
Red Sox vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Red Sox | -1.5 -115 | O 10.5 -115 | -175 |
| Rockies | +1.5 -105 | U 10.5 -105 | +145 |
Red Sox vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Monday‘s MLB game with 62.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Rafael Devers has hit the Runs Over in 27 of his last 39 games (+16.65 Units / 39% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the Home Runs Over in 11 of his last 37 games (+11.95 Units / 32% ROI)
- Jarren Duran has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+11.75 Units / 53% ROI)
- Jarren Duran has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 25 of his last 38 games (+10.15 Units / 22% ROI)
- Jarren Duran has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.70 Units / 55% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Brendan Rodgers has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 games at home (+14.10 Units / 235% ROI)
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Total Bases Over in 27 of his last 43 games (+12.05 Units / 24% ROI)
- Charlie Blackmon has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 30 games (+9.15 Units / 20% ROI)
- Brendan Rodgers has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+9.00 Units / 28% ROI)
- Brendan Rodgers has hit the RBIs Over in 7 of his last 10 games at home (+7.95 Units / 80% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 46 away games (+11.10 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 30 of their last 46 away games (+10.45 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 32 of their last 55 games (+9.90 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 17 away games (+7.00 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 55 of their last 98 games (+6.70 Units / 6% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 30 of their last 64 games (+9.55 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 12 games at home (+7.95 Units / 53% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 64 games (+7.65 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 9 games at home (+6.90 Units / 69% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 33 of their last 58 games (+4.80 Units / 7% ROI)
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 46-52 against the Run Line (-13.6 Units / -10.37% ROI).
- 53-45 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.2 Units / 2.63% ROI
- 46-47 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.25 Units / -4.87% ROI
- 47-46 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.3 Units / -3.06% ROI
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 50-50 against the Run Line (-10.6 Units / -8.6% ROI).
- 36-64 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.25 Units / -7.27% ROI
- 50-48 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.7 Units / -2.48% ROI
- 48-50 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.05 Units / -6.46% ROI
Rockies vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler O'Neill (BOS) | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -350 |
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Connor Wong (BOS) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -650 |
| Romy Gonzalez (BOS) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
| Ceddanne Rafaela (BOS) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Rockies vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brenton Doyle (COL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Jake Cave (COL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Ryan McMahon (COL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Jamie Westbrook (BOS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| David Hamilton (BOS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Rockies vs Red Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler O'Neill (BOS) | 0.5 -115 | 0.5 -115 |
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 -105 | 0.5 -120 |
| Connor Wong (BOS) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Jarren Duran (BOS) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Ceddanne Rafaela (BOS) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
Rockies vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tanner Houck (BOS) | 5.5 -125 | 5.5 -105 |
| Austin Gomber (COL) | 4.5 +105 | 4.5 -135 |
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tanner Houck has allowed an OPS of just .505 (254 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .702 — 98th Percentile.
Tanner Houck has allowed a slugging percentage of just .248 (58 Total Bases / 234 ABs) vs left-handed batters this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .401 — 97th Percentile.
Tanner Houck has allowed an OPS of just .445 (171 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .674 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 56% (184/330) against Tanner Houck this season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 94th Percentile.
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Austin Gomber has allowed a slugging percentage of .682 (30 Total Bases / 44 ABs) on low fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .386 — second Percentile.
14 of Austin Gomber’s 40 breaking pitch strikeouts (35%) have been backdoor this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 14% — 97th Percentile.
Austin Gomber has allowed a slugging percentage of .623 (331 Total Bases / 531 ABs) on fastballs since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 168 total IP; League Avg: .436 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 16% (47/290) against Austin Gomber this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — second Percentile.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Red Sox are 47-10 (.825) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .725.
The Red Sox are 102-9 (.919) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .859.
The Red Sox are 18-11 (.621) after a road win this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .451.
The Red Sox are just 27-108 (.200) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .270.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Rockies are just 66-41 (.617) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .788.
The Rockies are just 25-25 (.500) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .794.
The Rockies are just 29-7 (.806) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .944.
The Rockies are just 82-70 (.539) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .734.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
Red Sox hitters have 328 strikeouts in 1,117 PA’s (29%) against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Red Sox are batting .271 at home since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Red Sox hitters have an OPS of .929 (375 PA’s) against RHP this month (15 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .733.
Red Sox hitters have an OPS of .767 (2,648 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .707.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies have won just 46% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.
The Rockies have won just 50% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
The Rockies had an average HR distance of 411.3 feet in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 399.2.
The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 30% on the road since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Red Sox pitchers have an ERA of 3.44 (431.2 IP) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.21.
Red Sox pitchers have walked 53 of 881 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Red Sox pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Red Sox pitchers have walked 257 of 3,673 batters (7%) this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 35% with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% with runners in scoring position since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Rockies vs. Red Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- German Marquez (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Lucas Gilbreath (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Antonio Senzatela (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Daniel Bard (Colorado Rockies): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Wyatt Mills (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Vaughn Grissom (Boston Red Sox): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
- Michael Fulmer (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Zack Kelly (Boston Red Sox): Oblique, Day-To-Day
- Bryan Mata (Boston Red Sox): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Chris Murphy (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Kenley Jansen (Boston Red Sox): Back, Day-To-Day
- Brandon Walter (Boston Red Sox): Shoulder, 7-Day IL
- Lucas Giolito (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Rob Refsnyder (Boston Red Sox): Toe, 10-Day IL
- Yu Chang (Boston Red Sox): Oblique, Out
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