- The Astros are -135 favorites vs the Reds
- Reds vs Astros Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Reds / Astros TV Channel: FDOH | SCHN
The Cincinnati Reds (+110) visit Daikin Park to take on the Houston Astros (-135) on Saturday, May 10, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Houston, TX.
This season, the Reds are 19-21 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 21-16 ATS.
Reds vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:
- Reds starting pitcher: Brady Singer 4-2, 3.66 ERA
- Astros starting pitcher: Lance McCullers 0-0, 0.00 ERA
Reds vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Reds | +1.5 -185 | O 8 -118 | +110 |
| Astros | -1.5 +155 | U 8 -102 | -135 |
Reds vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 55.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:
- Tyler Stephenson has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 away games (+9.70 Units / 34% ROI)
- Gavin Lux has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 20 away games (+8.45 Units / 36% ROI)
- Austin Hays has hit the Total Bases Over in 8 of his last 9 away games (+7.90 Units / 70% ROI)
- Austin Hays has hit the Hits Over in 8 of his last 9 away games (+7.60 Units / 49% ROI)
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 20 away games (+6.80 Units / 32% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+12.75 Units / 27% ROI)
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.15 Units / 34% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+11.00 Units / 46% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 10 games at home (+7.45 Units / 72% ROI)
- Zach Dezenzo has hit the RBIs Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+6.85 Units / 137% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.20 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 18 of their last 30 games (+5.00 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 29 games (+4.80 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.20 Units / 61% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 37 games (+3.55 Units / 7% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 29 games (+11.50 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 23 of their last 37 games (+8.10 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 11 of their last 14 games at home (+7.55 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+6.60 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.80 Units / 41% ROI)
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 22-18 against the Run Line (-0.8 Units / -1.43% ROI).
- 19-21 when betting on the Moneyline for -3 Units / -6.27% ROI
- 17-22 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.1 Units / -16.23% ROI
- 22-17 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.15 Units / 7.12% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 21-16 against the Run Line (+6.85 Units / 14.47% ROI).
- 19-18 when betting on the Moneyline for -4 Units / -8.25% ROI
- 16-19 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.65 Units / -11.54% ROI
- 19-16 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.2 Units / 2.92% ROI
Astros vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Walker (HOU) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -625 |
| Austin Hays (CIN) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Tyler Stephenson (CIN) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
Astros vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Jeremy Pena (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Jose Altuve (HOU) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Austin Hays (CIN) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Astros vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Hays (CIN) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Christian Walker (HOU) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Isaac Paredes (HOU) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Tyler Stephenson (CIN) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Astros vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Lance McCullers Jr. (HOU) | 5.5 -120 | 5.5 -110 |
| Brady Singer (CIN) | 5.5 +100 | 5.5 -135 |
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Brady Singer threw his slider 58% of the time (470/813) with two-strikes in the 2024 season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Brady Singer has a first-pitch strike rate of just 46% (23/50) in his last two starts — lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 63% — first Percentile.
Brady Singer threw his slider 58% of the time (470/813) with two-strikes in the 2024 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.
Brady Singer has thrown inside pitches 53% of the time (213/400) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Lance McCullers has thrown his changeup 32% of the time (28/87) this month (1 game{NumGameSuffix}) — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total CH; League Avg: 16% — 96th Percentile.
Lance McCullers has thrown off-speed pitches 70% of the time (61/87) this month (1 game{NumGameSuffix}) — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total NonFB; League Avg: 46% — 99th Percentile.
Lance McCullers has thrown off-speed pitches 69% of the time (20/29) when he’s behind in the count this month (1 game{NumGameSuffix}) — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total NonFB; League Avg: 37% — 97th Percentile.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Reds were just 5-16 (.238) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds are just 14-29 (.326) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds are just 6-18 (.250) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds are just 4-80 (.048) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .097.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Astros were just 0-56 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Astros were just 5-13 (.278) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Astros are just 1-73 (.014) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Astros are 47-46 (.505) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season They play the Reds (16th best runs scored) today.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
Reds hitters slugged just .151 on pitches out of the zone in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .204.
The Reds batted just .116 on pitches out of the zone in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .150.
Reds hitters are slugging just .156 on pitches out of the zone since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .204.
The Reds are batting just .118 on pitches out of the zone since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .150.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters averaged just 3.65 pitches per plate appearance against RHP in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Astros hitters have an OBP of .423 (168 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .325.
Astros hitters have put just 29% of balls in play to the right side of the field this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Astros hitters have put 46% of balls in play to the left side of the field this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Reds pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against Astros pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Astros pitchers since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 33% in close and late situations this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Opponents had a miss rate of 27% against Astros pitchers in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
More MLB Reading:
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