- The Braves are -225 favorites vs the Reds
- Reds vs Braves Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Reds / Braves TV Channel: FDOH | FDSO | FDSE
The Cincinnati Reds (+185) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-225) on Tuesday, May 6, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in Atlanta, GA, GA.
This season, the Reds are 18-18 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 17-17 ATS.
Reds vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:
- Reds starting pitcher: Andrew Abbott 2-0, 2.84 ERA
- Braves starting pitcher: Chris Sale 1-3, 4.84 ERA
Reds vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Reds | +1.5 -115 | O 8.5 -118 | +185 |
| Braves | -1.5 -105 | U 8.5 -102 | -225 |
Reds vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 65.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:
- Noelvi Marte has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 away games (+22.70 Units / 324% ROI)
- Santiago Espinal has hit the Hits Over in his last 9 games (+9.90 Units / 49% ROI)
- Matt McLain has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.90 Units / 49% ROI)
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 15 away games (+7.70 Units / 48% ROI)
- Tyler Stephenson has hit the RBIs Under in 9 of his last 10 away games (+6.95 Units / 31% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Matt Olson has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 games at home (+13.75 Units / 172% ROI)
- Austin Riley has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.85 Units / 25% ROI)
- Chris Sale has hit the Pitching Outs Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+11.40 Units / 45% ROI)
- Austin Riley has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+9.55 Units / 39% ROI)
- Austin Riley has hit the RBIs Over in 9 of his last 15 games at home (+9.20 Units / 61% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 25 games (+5.80 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 26 games (+4.90 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 away games (+4.35 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 11 away games (+3.80 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 24 games (+2.55 Units / 9% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Under in their last 6 games at home (+6.05 Units / 83% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 13 games at home (+5.80 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 20 of their last 32 games (+4.95 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games at home (+4.45 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 7 games (+0.60 Units / 7% ROI)
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 19-17 against the Run Line (-2.45 Units / -4.82% ROI).
- 18-18 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -2.28% ROI
- 16-19 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.8 Units / -8.49% ROI
- 19-16 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.25 Units / 2.18% ROI
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 17-17 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 16-18 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.1 Units / -16.63% ROI
- 15-16 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.55 Units / -4.72% ROI
- 16-15 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.35 Units / -0.66% ROI
Braves vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -450 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -525 |
| Sean Murphy (ATL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Ozzie Albies (ATL) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
Braves vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Santiago Espinal (CIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
| Michael Harris (ATL) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +170 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +170 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Braves vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Ozzie Albies (ATL) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Sean Murphy (ATL) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
Braves vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Chris Sale (ATL) | 6.5 -150 | 6.5 +115 |
| Andrew Abbott (CIN) | 4.5 +105 | 4.5 -140 |
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Andrew Abbott has located his fastball away 64% of the time (104/163) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 100th Percentile.
Andrew Abbott has walked 16% of right-handed batters this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 22% (54/242) against Andrew Abbott’s curve and slider since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 142 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 0 Percentile.
Andrew Abbott has located his pitches away 62% of the time (206/332) this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: 47% — 98th Percentile.
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
39 of Chris Sale’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor since last season — most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 100th Percentile.
7 of Chris Sale’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor this season — 2nd most among among NL Starters; League Avg: nan — 97th Percentile.
32 of Chris Sale’s breaking pitch strikeouts were backdoor in the 2024 season — most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 100th Percentile.
7 of Chris Sale’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor this season — tied for 2nd most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 98th Percentile.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Reds were just 5-16 (.238) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds are just 0-13 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .123.
The Reds are just 4-78 (.049) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .097.
The Reds are 9-7 (.562) on the road this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .418.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Braves are 5-12 (.294) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .123.
The Braves are 23-123 (.158) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .098.
The Braves are 123-83 (.597) after a win since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .505.
The Braves are 4-14 (.222) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .082.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
The Reds are batting just .120 on pitches out of the zone since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .150.
The Reds are batting just .127 on pitches out of the zone since the 2023 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .150.
Reds hitters are slugging just .157 on pitches out of the zone since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .204.
Reds hitters slugged just .151 on pitches out of the zone in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .204.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters slugged .495 against RHP in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .413.
The Braves batted .326 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .267.
Braves hitters slugged .501 in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .414.
Braves hitters had an OBP of .400 (732 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .330.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 37% against Reds pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Batters facing the Braves pitchers have struck out in the zone 46% of the time since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%. since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Braves pitchers had a strikeout rate of 26% in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Braves pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Braves pitchers won 46% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
More MLB Reading:
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