- The Reds are -102 favorites vs the Brewers
- Reds vs Brewers Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Reds / Brewers TV Channel: FDOH | FDWI | MLBN
The Cincinnati Reds (-102) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-118) on Thursday, April 3, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Milwaukee, WI, WI.
This season, the Reds are 2-4 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 1-5 ATS.
Reds vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Reds starting pitcher: Nick Lodolo 1-0, 3.00 ERA
- Brewers starting pitcher: Nestor Cortes 0-1, 36.04 ERA
Reds vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Reds | -1.5 +165 | O 8 -110 | -102 |
| Brewers | +1.5 -200 | U 8 -110 | -118 |
Reds vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:
- Santiago Espinal has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 20 away games (+13.00 Units / 28% ROI)
- Jose Trevino has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+12.85 Units / 39% ROI)
- Matt McLain has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+12.60 Units / 252% ROI)
- Jose Trevino has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+11.80 Units / 45% ROI)
- Jose Trevino has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+11.50 Units / 32% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Brice Turang has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 5 games (+10.00 Units / 200% ROI)
- Brice Turang has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.45 Units / 41% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 6 games (+6.55 Units / 70% ROI)
- Brice Turang has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+6.55 Units / 20% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the RBIs Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 46% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 86 of their last 147 games (+17.00 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 82 of their last 144 games (+11.95 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 77 of their last 146 games (+9.90 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 14 away games (+8.30 Units / 55% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 56 away games (+5.45 Units / 9% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 83 of their last 161 games (+9.15 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 34 of their last 58 games (+7.90 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 88 of their last 156 games (+7.30 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 41 of their last 72 games at home (+5.50 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 37 of their last 72 games at home (+3.95 Units / 4% ROI)
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 2-4 against the Run Line (-3.35 Units / -41.1% ROI).
- 2-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.4 Units / -36.09% ROI
- 3-3 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI
- 3-3 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 1-5 against the Run Line (-5.05 Units / -65.16% ROI).
- 2-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.2 Units / -33.08% ROI
- 3-3 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.25 Units / -3.85% ROI
- 3-3 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.35 Units / -5.22% ROI
Brewers vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Jeimer Candelario (CIN) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Christian Encarnacion-Strand (CIN) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Matt McLain (CIN) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
Brewers vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jackson Chourio (MIL) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Santiago Espinal (CIN) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Christian Yelich (MIL) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Christian Encarnacion-Strand (CIN) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
Brewers vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Encarnacion-Strand (CIN) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Jeimer Candelario (CIN) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -235 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Brewers vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Lodolo (CIN) | 5.5 -125 | 5.5 -105 |
| Nestor Cortes (MIL) | 5.5 +115 | 5.5 -150 |
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Nick Lodolo has a strikeout rate of just 4% (1 SO in 23 PAs) this season — tied for lowest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 25% — fourth Percentile.
Nick Lodolo has struck out just 5% (1/20) of right-handed batters he faced this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.
Nick Lodolo has located his pitches away 87% of the time (20/23) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of 56% (13/23) against Nick Lodolo on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Nestor Cortes has allowed a slugging percentage of .563 (67 Total Bases / 119 ABs) on elevated fastballs since last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .361 — fourth Percentile.
Nestor Cortes has allowed a slugging percentage of .519 (135 Total Bases / 260 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .382 — fifth Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 32% (161/505) against Nestor Cortes in the 2024 season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.
Nestor Cortes has allowed an OPS of .860 (283 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .670 — third Percentile.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Reds are just 13-27 (.325) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds were just 5-16 (.238) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds were just 8-18 (.308) when tied entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .498.
The Reds were just 4-63 (.060) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .100.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Brewers are 47-32 (.595) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since last season They play the Reds (14th best runs allowed) today.
The Brewers were 74-4 (.949) when leading entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .899.
The Brewers are 130-24 (.844) when scoring 5 or more runs since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .792.
The Brewers were 26-21 (.553) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams in the 2024 season They play the Reds (14th best runs allowed) today.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
Reds hitters are slugging just .146 on pitches out of the zone since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .204.
The Reds batted just .116 on pitches out of the zone in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .150.
The Reds are hitless in 40 AB’s on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .146.
Reds hitters are slugging .000 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .199.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters had 129 extra-base hits out of 494 total hits (just 26%) with two-strikes in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
Brewers hitters slugged just .378 against RHP in 2023 — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .413.
Brewers hitters slugged just .242 with two-strikes in 2023 — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .273.
Brewers hitters have an OBP of .325 (4,629 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .311.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 29% against Brewers pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Brewers pitchers have an ERA of 7.81 (53.0 IP) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 29% against Brewers pitchers over the last week of the regular season (6 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 29% against Brewers pitchers over the last 14 days of the regular season (6 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
More MLB Reading:
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