- The Reds are -102 favorites vs the Brewers
- Reds vs Brewers Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Reds / Brewers TV Channel: FDOH | FS1 | FWIX
The Cincinnati Reds (-102) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-118) on Saturday, April 5, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Milwaukee, WI, WI.
This season, the Reds are 2-6 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 1-7 ATS.
Reds vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Reds starting pitcher: Brady Singer 1-0, 0.00 ERA
- Brewers starting pitcher: Elvin Rodriguez 0-1, 9.01 ERA
Reds vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Reds | -1.5 +155 | O 8 -102 | -102 |
| Brewers | +1.5 -190 | U 8 -118 | -118 |
Reds vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Reds will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 52.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:
- Spencer Steer has hit the Singles Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+15.45 Units / 44% ROI)
- Spencer Steer has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.60 Units / 49% ROI)
- Matt McLain has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 games (+11.60 Units / 193% ROI)
- Spencer Steer has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+11.55 Units / 77% ROI)
- Spencer Steer has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+11.10 Units / 59% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Eric Haase has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 games (+25.00 Units / 417% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 8 games (+8.90 Units / 73% ROI)
- Brice Turang has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.45 Units / 33% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the RBIs Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 46% ROI)
- Eric Haase has hit the Singles Under in his last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 54% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 86 of their last 147 games (+17.00 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 82 of their last 144 games (+11.95 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 77 of their last 146 games (+9.90 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 14 away games (+8.30 Units / 55% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 56 away games (+5.45 Units / 9% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 81 of their last 158 games (+8.15 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 34 of their last 58 games (+7.90 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 88 of their last 156 games (+7.30 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 41 of their last 72 games at home (+5.50 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 37 of their last 72 games at home (+3.95 Units / 4% ROI)
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 4-4 against the Run Line (-1.35 Units / -11.11% ROI).
- 2-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.4 Units / -50.87% ROI
- 3-5 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.4 Units / -27.59% ROI
- 5-3 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.7 Units / 19.1% ROI
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 1-7 against the Run Line (-7.05 Units / -72.31% ROI).
- 4-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.2 Units / -2.19% ROI
- 3-5 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.35 Units / -27.33% ROI
- 5-3 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.65 Units / 18.33% ROI
Brewers vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Christian Encarnacion-Strand (CIN) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| Matt McLain (CIN) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Christian Yelich (MIL) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Brewers vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brice Turang (MIL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Jackson Chourio (MIL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Christian Encarnacion-Strand (CIN) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Christian Yelich (MIL) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
Brewers vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Encarnacion-Strand (CIN) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Christian Yelich (MIL) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
| Jackson Chourio (MIL) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Brewers vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brady Singer (CIN) | 5.5 -105 | 5.5 -125 |
| Elvin Rodriguez (MIL) | 4.5 +105 | 4.5 -140 |
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Brady Singer threw his slider 44% of the time (726/1,643) vs left-handed batters in the 2024 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 19% — 100th Percentile.
Brady Singer has thrown his slider 58% of the time (470/813) with two-strikes since last season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Brady Singer has thrown his slider 46% of the time (1,130/2,437) against right-handed batters since the 2023 season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — 95th Percentile.
Brady Singer threw his slider 58% of the time (470/813) with two-strikes in the 2024 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 7% (1/15) against Elvin Rodriguez this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 0 Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 15% (3/20) against Elvin Rodriguez this season — tied for 11th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: 26% — 10th Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of 39% (11/28) against Elvin Rodriguez this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: 29% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .333 (6-for-18) against Elvin Rodriguez at home this season — tied for 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: .208 — 10th Percentile.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Reds are just 13-27 (.325) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds were just 5-16 (.238) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds were just 8-18 (.308) when tied entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .498.
The Reds are just 61-66 (.480) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since last season They play the Brewers (sixth best runs scored) today.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Brewers are 49-32 (.605) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since last season They play the Reds (14th best runs allowed) today.
The Brewers were 93-69 (.574) in the 2024 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Brewers were 40-28 (.588) after a loss in the 2024 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .504.
The Brewers are 105-82 (.561) after a win since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .505.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
The Reds are hitless in 50 AB’s on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .148.
The Reds are batting just .086 against LHP this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .228.
The Reds are batting just .112 on pitches out of the zone since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .150.
The Reds are batting just .219 against LHP since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters had 129 extra-base hits out of 494 total hits (just 26%) with two-strikes in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
Brewers hitters are slugging just .229 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .604.
Brewers hitters have a swing rate of just 45% against RHP since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Brewers hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in 1,801 of their 6,468 plate appearances (28%) since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 31% against Brewers pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 30% against Brewers pitchers over the last week of the regular season (7 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Brewers pitchers have an ERA of 12.75 (24.0 IP) on the road this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.43.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 31% against Brewers pitchers over the last 14 days of the regular season (8 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
More MLB Reading:
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