- The Brewers are -145 favorites vs the Reds
- Reds vs Brewers Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Reds / Brewers TV Channel: FDOH | FDWI
The Cincinnati Reds (+118) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-145) on Sunday, April 6, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Milwaukee, WI, WI.
This season, the Reds are 3-6 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 1-8 ATS.
Reds vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Reds starting pitcher: Carson Spiers 0-1, 1.59 ERA
- Brewers starting pitcher: Chad Patrick 0-0, 3.18 ERA
Reds vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Reds | +1.5 -190 | O 8.5 -118 | +118 |
| Brewers | -1.5 +154 | U 8.5 -102 | -145 |
Reds vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 55.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:
- Spencer Steer has hit the Singles Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+15.45 Units / 44% ROI)
- Santiago Espinal has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 20 away games (+13.55 Units / 30% ROI)
- Matt McLain has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 games (+11.60 Units / 193% ROI)
- Spencer Steer has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+11.55 Units / 77% ROI)
- Spencer Steer has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+11.10 Units / 59% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Brice Turang has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 8 games (+20.00 Units / 250% ROI)
- Brice Turang has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.45 Units / 38% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the RBIs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 46% ROI)
- Brice Turang has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.40 Units / 43% ROI)
- Rhys Hoskins has hit the Runs Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 50% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 86 of their last 147 games (+17.00 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 82 of their last 144 games (+11.95 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 77 of their last 146 games (+9.90 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 14 away games (+8.30 Units / 55% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 56 away games (+5.45 Units / 9% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 81 of their last 158 games (+8.15 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 34 of their last 58 games (+7.90 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 88 of their last 156 games (+7.30 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 41 of their last 72 games at home (+5.50 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 37 of their last 72 games at home (+3.95 Units / 4% ROI)
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 5-4 against the Run Line (-0.35 Units / -2.46% ROI).
- 3-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.4 Units / -35.23% ROI
- 4-5 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.4 Units / -14.21% ROI
- 5-4 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.65 Units / 6.53% ROI
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 1-8 against the Run Line (-8.05 Units / -74.88% ROI).
- 4-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.4 Units / -13.53% ROI
- 4-5 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.35 Units / -13.85% ROI
- 5-4 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.6 Units / 5.97% ROI
Brewers vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -625 |
| Christian Yelich (MIL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| Christian Encarnacion-Strand (CIN) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Jackson Chourio (MIL) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
Brewers vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jackson Chourio (MIL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Brice Turang (MIL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Santiago Espinal (CIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Christian Yelich (MIL) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
Brewers vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Christian Yelich (MIL) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Jackson Chourio (MIL) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -235 |
Brewers vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Chad Patrick (MIL) | 4.5 -110 | 4.5 -115 |
| Carson Spiers (CIN) | 4.5 -105 | 4.5 -125 |
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Carson Spiers allowed a slugging percentage of .530 (97 Total Bases / 183 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game in the 2024 season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .388 — second Percentile.
Carson Spiers has allowed an OPS of .928 (218 PA’s) vs left-handed batters since last season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 67 total IP; League Avg: .722 — third Percentile.
Carson Spiers has allowed a slugging percentage of .526 (209 Total Bases / 397 ABs) since last season — 7th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 67 total IP; League Avg: .404 — fourth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .313 (47-for-150) against Carson Spiers when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — 7th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 67 total IP; League Avg: .245 — fifth Percentile.
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Chad Patrick has thrown elevated pitches 59% of the time (22/37) with two-strikes this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: 32% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 14% (7/49) against Chad Patrick this season — tied for 8th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: 26% — sixth Percentile.
Chad Patrick has thrown elevated pitches 58% of the time (38/66) vs left-handed batters this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: 33% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 19% (3/16) against Chad Patrick this season — 7th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: 42% — fourth Percentile.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Reds were just 5-16 (.238) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds are just 13-27 (.325) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds were just 4-63 (.060) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .100.
The Reds were just 8-18 (.308) when tied entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .498.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Brewers are 49-33 (.598) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since last season They play the Reds (14th best runs allowed) today.
The Brewers are 49-5 (.907) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .801.
The Brewers are 151-11 (.932) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .901.
The Brewers are just 3-127 (.023) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .049.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
The Reds are batting just .036 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .147.
Reds hitters are slugging just .146 on pitches out of the zone since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .204.
The Reds are batting just .113 on pitches out of the zone since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .150.
Reds hitters slugged just .151 on pitches out of the zone in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .204.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters had 129 extra-base hits out of 494 total hits (just 26%) with two-strikes in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
Brewers hitters came to the plate with runners in scoring position in 1,726 of their 6,170 plate appearances (28%) in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Brewers hitters have 56 extra-base hits out of 192 total hits (just 29%) on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Brewers hitters have a swing rate of just 45% against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 30% against Brewers pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Brewers pitchers have an ERA of 12.75 (24.0 IP) on the road this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.45.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 30% against Brewers pitchers over the last 14 days of the regular season (9 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
The Brewers have allowed 12.00 runs per game (36/3) on the road this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.63.
More MLB Reading:
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