- The are + favorites vs the
- Reds vs Cubs Over / Under today: Runs
- Reds / Cubs TV Channel: FOX
The Cincinnati Reds (+120) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (-145) on Saturday, June 1, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in Chicago, IL.
This season, the Reds are 25-32 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 29-29 ATS.
Reds vs Cubs Starting Pitchers Today:
- Reds starting pitcher: Hunter Greene 3-2, 3.08 ERA
- Cubs starting pitcher: Justin Steele 0-2, 4.46 ERA
Reds vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Reds | +1.5 -185 | O -110 | +120 |
| Cubs | -1.5 +150 | U -110 | -145 |
Reds vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 54.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:
- Stuart Fairchild has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games (+14.00 Units / 140% ROI)
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Hits Under in 23 of his last 43 games (+12.70 Units / 27% ROI)
- Luke Maile has hit the Runs Under in his last 12 games (+12.00 Units / 44% ROI)
- Jeimer Candelario has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+8.65 Units / 33% ROI)
- Spencer Steer has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+8.60 Units / 52% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ian Happ has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 games (+15.20 Units / 253% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the Hits Under in 25 of his last 46 games (+14.80 Units / 32% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the Total Bases Under in 29 of his last 46 games (+12.70 Units / 22% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 22 games (+12.20 Units / 36% ROI)
- Michael Busch has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 19 games at home (+11.25 Units / 33% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 27 of their last 42 games (+10.30 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 41 games (+9.60 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 39 games (+8.60 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 32 of their last 54 games (+5.75 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.95 Units / 48% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 22 of their last 32 games (+10.60 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 11 games at home (+9.20 Units / 74% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 46 games (+7.00 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 27 games at home (+2.15 Units / 6% ROI)
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 32-25 against the Run Line (+4.75 Units / 6.27% ROI).
- 25-32 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.3 Units / -10.96% ROI
- 26-29 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.45 Units / -10.23% ROI
- 29-26 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.25 Units / 0.4% ROI
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 29-29 against the Run Line (-7.1 Units / -8.66% ROI).
- 28-30 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.6 Units / -2.31% ROI
- 26-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.25 Units / -12.92% ROI
- 31-26 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.3 Units / 3.61% ROI
Cubs vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christopher Morel (CHC) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Cody Bellinger (CHC) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Tyler Stephenson (CIN) | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -1100 |
Cubs vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nico Hoerner (CHC) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Tyler Stephenson (CIN) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Santiago Espinal (CIN) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Cubs vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cody Bellinger (CHC) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Christopher Morel (CHC) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jeimer Candelario (CIN) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Tyler Stephenson (CIN) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Cubs vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Hunter Greene (CIN) | 6.5 -140 | 6.5 +105 |
| Justin Steele (CHC) | 6.5 +120 | 6.5 -155 |
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 41% (41/101) against Hunter Greene on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
68% of Hunter Greene’s strikeouts have come on 97+ MPH fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 100th Percentile.
73% of Hunter Greene’s strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 20% — 100th Percentile.
Hunter Greene has struck out 33% (221/665) of left-handed batters he faced since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 151 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 98th Percentile.
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Justin Steele has thrown inside pitches 45% of the time (249/555) when behind in the count since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 86 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Justin Steele has a strike rate of 72% (482/670) with runners in scoring position since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 86 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 100th Percentile.
Justin Steele has thrown fastballs 74% of the time (630/848) on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 86 total IP; League Avg: 51% — 100th Percentile.
Justin Steele has thrown inside pitches 45% of the time (382/848) on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 86 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Reds are just 24-28 (.462) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .584.
The Reds are 30-15 (.667) after a win as favorites since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .587.
The Reds are just 58-43 (.574) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .698.
The Reds are just 49-52 (.485) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .636.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Cubs are just 40-42 (.488) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .584.
The Cubs are just 5-85 (.056) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .104.
The Cubs are 27-24 (.529) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .428.
The Cubs are just 16-31 (.340) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .426.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
The Reds are batting just .127 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .167.
The Reds are batting just .101 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .155.
The Reds are batting just .214 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .262.
The Reds are batting just .128 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .152.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cubs are batting just .204 with two outs this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .229.
Cubs hitters have an OBP of .350 (939 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .329.
Cubs hitters are slugging .455 in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .369.
25% of Cubs hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .295 against Reds pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .253.
The average home run distance against the Reds pitchers this season is 383.7 feet — best in MLB; League Avg: 395.8
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 34% of their games this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cubs pitchers have walked 52 of 517 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Cubs have won just 18% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
The Cubs pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 43% of their games since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Cubs vs. Reds Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Patrick Wisdom (Chicago Cubs): Back, 10-Day IL
- Justin Steele (Chicago Cubs): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Brennen Davis (Chicago Cubs): Undisclosed, Out
- Tyler Duffey (Chicago Cubs): Back, Day-To-Day
- Jameson Taillon (Chicago Cubs): Back, 15-Day IL
- Caleb Kilian (Chicago Cubs): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Austin Wynns (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Sam Moll (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Noelvi Marte (Cincinnati Reds): Suspension, Suspension
- Matt McLain (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Joey Votto (Cincinnati Reds): Ankle, Out
- Nick Lodolo (Cincinnati Reds): Calf, 15-Day IL
- TJ Friedl (Cincinnati Reds): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Reiver Sanmartin (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
- Alex Young (Cincinnati Reds): Back, 15-Day IL
- Ian Gibaut (Cincinnati Reds): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Brandon Williamson (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Connor Overton (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
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