- The Cubs are -160 favorites vs the Reds
- Reds vs Cubs Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Reds / Cubs TV Channel: FDOH | MARQ
The Cincinnati Reds (+135) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (-160) on Sunday, June 1, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 2:20pm EDT in Chicago, IL.
This season, the Reds are 29-30 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 30-28 ATS.
Reds vs Cubs Starting Pitchers Today:
- Reds starting pitcher: Nick Martinez 3-5, 3.52 ERA
- Cubs starting pitcher: Jameson Taillon 4-3, 3.86 ERA
Reds vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Reds | +1.5 -170 | O 7.5 -115 | +135 |
| Cubs | -1.5 +140 | U 7.5 -105 | -160 |
Reds vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 58.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:
- Tyler Stephenson has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+17.30 Units / 346% ROI)
- Gavin Lux has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 away games (+10.80 Units / 31% ROI)
- Matt McLain has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+9.85 Units / 22% ROI)
- TJ Friedl has hit the Singles Over in his last 8 games (+8.35 Units / 93% ROI)
- TJ Friedl has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 8 games (+8.35 Units / 62% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Seiya Suzuki has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 15 games (+14.75 Units / 49% ROI)
- Seiya Suzuki has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+10.80 Units / 39% ROI)
- Seiya Suzuki has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+9.60 Units / 32% ROI)
- Nico Hoerner has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 25 games (+9.10 Units / 36% ROI)
- Jameson Taillon has hit the Earned Runs Under in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+8.70 Units / 49% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 36 games (+12.70 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 49 games (+7.20 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 24 of their last 48 games (+5.85 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 15 away games (+5.40 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 56 games (+3.70 Units / 5% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 31 of their last 56 games (+12.15 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 52 games (+11.60 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 53 games (+8.30 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 31 of their last 54 games (+6.80 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Over in 32 of their last 53 games (+6.60 Units / 10% ROI)
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 32-27 against the Run Line (-0.65 Units / -0.8% ROI).
- 29-30 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.55 Units / -6.32% ROI
- 23-35 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.95 Units / -23.25% ROI
- 35-23 when betting on the total runs Under for +9.65 Units / 14.73% ROI
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 30-28 against the Run Line (+1.92 Units / 2.68% ROI).
- 36-22 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.5 Units / 10.84% ROI
- 32-22 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.25 Units / 13.07% ROI
- 22-32 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.4 Units / -20.76% ROI
Cubs vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Kyle Tucker (CHC) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Ian Happ (CHC) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
Cubs vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Kyle Tucker (CHC) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Santiago Espinal (CIN) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Nico Hoerner (CHC) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Cubs vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Dansby Swanson (CHC) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Kyle Tucker (CHC) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Cubs vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jameson Taillon (CHC) | 5.5 +110 | 5.5 -145 |
| Nick Martinez (CIN) | 4.5 +110 | 4.5 -145 |
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of 74% (32/43) against Nick Martinez’s curve and slider in 2023 — highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 42% — 100th Percentile.
Nick Martinez has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 86.1 MPH since the 2023 season (919 balls in play) — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 151 total IP; League Avg: 89.1
Nick Martinez has struck out just 15% (23/149) of right-handed batters he faced this season — 6th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — seventh Percentile.
Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 33% (123/373) against Nick Martinez’s fastball since the 2023 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 151 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jameson Taillon has a strike rate of 71% (288/406) against right-handed batters this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 97th Percentile.
Jameson Taillon has a first-pitch in-zone of 66% (167/253) this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 56% — 98th Percentile.
Jameson Taillon has allowed a slugging percentage of .624 (58 Total Bases / 93 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .378 — first Percentile.
Jameson Taillon has allowed an OBP of just .227 (172 PA’s) with runners in scoring position since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .306 — 100th Percentile.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Reds are just 14-29 (.326) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds are just 4-87 (.044) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .099.
The Reds were just 5-16 (.238) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds are just 0-22 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .132.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Cubs are 2-17 (.105) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .041.
The Cubs are 46-12 (.793) when they’ve scored in the first inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .636.
The Cubs are 17-11 (.607) on the road this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .439.
The Cubs are 16-5 (.762) after a loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .488.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
The Reds are batting just .127 on pitches out of the zone since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .150.
Reds hitters slugged just .151 on pitches out of the zone in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .204.
The Reds batted just .116 on pitches out of the zone in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .150.
Reds hitters are slugging just .158 on pitches out of the zone since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .203.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters have an OPS of .842 (1,133 PA’s) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .700.
Cubs hitters are slugging .501 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .389.
Cubs hitters have an OPS of .994 (158 PA’s) in innings 7-9 over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: .730.
The Cubs are batting .415 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .340.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers walked 127 of 1,437 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Batters facing the Cubs pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 48% of the time since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%. since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Batters facing the Cubs pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 46% of the time this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Cubs pitchers have an ERA of 3.53 (1748.0 IP) at home since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.07.
More MLB Reading:
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