- The Cubs are -120 favorites vs the Reds
- Reds vs Cubs Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Reds / Cubs TV Channel: MARQ | BSOH
The Cincinnati Reds (+100) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (-120) on Sunday, June 2, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:20pm EDT in Chicago, IL.
This season, the Reds are 25-33 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 30-29 ATS.
Reds vs Cubs Starting Pitchers Today:
- Reds starting pitcher: Nick Lodolo 4-2, 3.18 ERA
- Cubs starting pitcher: Ben Brown 1-1, 2.72 ERA
Reds vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Reds | +1.5 -225 | O 7 -105 | +100 |
| Cubs | -1.5 +165 | U 7 -115 | -120 |
Reds vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Reds will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Hits Under in 24 of his last 44 games (+13.95 Units / 30% ROI)
- Stuart Fairchild has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 11 games (+13.00 Units / 118% ROI)
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 27 games (+11.20 Units / 33% ROI)
- Jeimer Candelario has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 21 games (+10.10 Units / 37% ROI)
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+9.00 Units / 32% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Christopher Morel has hit the Hits Under in 26 of his last 47 games (+16.10 Units / 34% ROI)
- Ian Happ has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games (+14.20 Units / 203% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the Total Bases Under in 30 of his last 47 games (+13.70 Units / 23% ROI)
- Nick Madrigal has hit the Runs Under in his last 11 games (+11.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 30 of his last 47 games (+10.35 Units / 18% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 27 of their last 43 games (+9.00 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 42 games (+8.60 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 40 games (+6.80 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 16 of their last 25 away games (+6.30 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games (+2.95 Units / 32% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 22 of their last 33 games (+9.60 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 12 games at home (+8.20 Units / 61% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 47 games (+6.00 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 28 games at home (+3.15 Units / 8% ROI)
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 32-26 against the Run Line (+2.95 Units / 3.8% ROI).
- 25-33 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.3 Units / -12.28% ROI
- 27-29 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.45 Units / -8.48% ROI
- 29-27 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.75 Units / -1.18% ROI
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 30-29 against the Run Line (-5.55 Units / -6.69% ROI).
- 29-30 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.6 Units / -0.85% ROI
- 27-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.25 Units / -11.14% ROI
- 31-27 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.3 Units / 2.01% ROI
Cubs vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christopher Morel (CHC) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Patrick Wisdom (CHC) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Dansby Swanson (CHC) | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -1200 |
Cubs vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nico Hoerner (CHC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| TJ Friedl (CIN) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Cody Bellinger (CHC) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Tyler Stephenson (CIN) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
Cubs vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Jeimer Candelario (CIN) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Christopher Morel (CHC) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Tyler Stephenson (CIN) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Cody Bellinger (CHC) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Cubs vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Lodolo (CIN) | 5.5 -150 | 5.5 +115 |
| Ben Brown (CHC) | 6.5 -110 | 6.5 -120 |
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a swing rate of just 32% (207/656) against Nick Lodolo on inside fastballs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 152 total IP; League Avg: 49% — 0 Percentile.
Nick Lodolo has a strikeout rate of 52% (33 SO in 64 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 22 total IP; League Avg: 33% — 97th Percentile.
Nick Lodolo has spotted his fastball inside for a strike just 55% (358/656) of the time since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 152 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 0 Percentile.
Nick Lodolo has allowed a slugging percentage of just .218 (17 Total Bases / 78 ABs) on non-fastballs this season — tied for 7th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 22 total IP; League Avg: .356 — 95th Percentile.
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .048 (2-for-42) against Ben Brown over the last 14 days — best among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .225 — 100th Percentile.
Ben Brown has a strikeout rate of 67% (31 SO in 46 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 22 total IP; League Avg: 33% — 100th Percentile.
Ben Brown has allowed a slugging percentage of .000 (0 TB / 21 ABs) over the past seven days (1 games) — best among NL Starters over the last week; League Avg: .360 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .048 (2-for-42) against Ben Brown — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .225 — 100th Percentile.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Reds are just 45-19 (.703) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .796.
The Reds are just 24-28 (.462) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .585.
The Reds are just 9-17 (.346) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds are just 49-52 (.485) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .637.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Cubs are just 16-31 (.340) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .426.
The Cubs are just 41-42 (.494) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .585.
The Cubs are 27-24 (.529) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .427.
The Cubs are just 5-85 (.056) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .103.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
The Reds are batting just .102 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .155.
The Reds are batting just .127 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .167.
Reds hitters have drawn 84 walks in 715 PA’s (12%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Reds are batting just .213 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cubs are batting just .202 with two outs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .229.
The Cubs are batting just .227 this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .240.
Cubs hitters have an OBP of .347 (948 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .329.
Cubs hitters have drawn 601 walks in 6,198 PA’s (10%) against RHP since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
The average home run distance against the Reds pitchers this season is 383.7 feet — best in MLB; League Avg: 395.8
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The average home run distance against the Reds pitchers since last season is 392.4 feet — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.5
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have walked 52 of 526 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cubs pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 28 double plays in 432 opportunities (7%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Cubs pitchers have walked 14 of 105 batters (13%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cubs pitchers have an ERA of 3.20 (253.0 IP) at home this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 3.87.
Cubs vs. Reds Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Patrick Wisdom (Chicago Cubs): Back, 10-Day IL
- Justin Steele (Chicago Cubs): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Brennen Davis (Chicago Cubs): Undisclosed, Out
- Tyler Duffey (Chicago Cubs): Back, Day-To-Day
- Jameson Taillon (Chicago Cubs): Back, 15-Day IL
- Caleb Kilian (Chicago Cubs): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Austin Wynns (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Sam Moll (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Noelvi Marte (Cincinnati Reds): Suspension, Suspension
- Matt McLain (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Joey Votto (Cincinnati Reds): Ankle, Out
- Nick Lodolo (Cincinnati Reds): Calf, 15-Day IL
- TJ Friedl (Cincinnati Reds): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Reiver Sanmartin (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
- Alex Young (Cincinnati Reds): Back, 15-Day IL
- Ian Gibaut (Cincinnati Reds): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Brandon Williamson (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Connor Overton (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
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