- The Cubs are -160 favorites vs the Reds
- Reds vs Cubs Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Reds / Cubs TV Channel: FDOH | MARQ | MLBN
The Cincinnati Reds (+145) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (-175) on Saturday, May 31, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 2:20pm EDT in Chicago, IL.
This season, the Reds are 29-29 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 29-28 ATS.
Reds vs Cubs Starting Pitchers Today:
- Reds starting pitcher: Nick Lodolo 4-4, 3.41 ERA
- Cubs starting pitcher: Drew Pomeranz 2-0, 0.00 ERA
Reds vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Reds | +1.5 -160 | O 7.5 -118 | +145 |
| Cubs | -1.5 +135 | U 7.5 -102 | -175 |
Reds vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 59.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:
- Tyler Stephenson has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+18.30 Units / 457% ROI)
- Spencer Steer has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.25 Units / 32% ROI)
- Nick Lodolo has hit the Earned Runs Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+8.55 Units / 27% ROI)
- TJ Friedl has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.30 Units / 78% ROI)
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Runs Over in his last 7 games (+8.20 Units / 116% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Seiya Suzuki has hit the Hits Over in his last 10 games (+11.80 Units / 59% ROI)
- Seiya Suzuki has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+10.80 Units / 39% ROI)
- Matt Shaw has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+9.30 Units / 83% ROI)
- Nico Hoerner has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 25 games (+9.10 Units / 36% ROI)
- Pete Crow-Armstrong has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+8.55 Units / 26% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 35 games (+11.70 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 48 games (+6.20 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 24 of their last 47 games (+5.85 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 55 games (+5.20 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.95 Units / 54% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 31 of their last 55 games (+12.15 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 51 games (+10.60 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 52 games (+9.40 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Over in 32 of their last 52 games (+8.00 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 31 of their last 53 games (+7.90 Units / 12% ROI)
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 32-26 against the Run Line (+0.85 Units / 1.06% ROI).
- 29-29 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.55 Units / -5% ROI
- 23-34 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.85 Units / -21.91% ROI
- 34-23 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.65 Units / 13.43% ROI
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 29-28 against the Run Line (+0.62 Units / 0.88% ROI).
- 35-22 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.5 Units / 9.9% ROI
- 32-21 when betting on the total runs Over for +9.35 Units / 15.08% ROI
- 21-32 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.4 Units / -22.7% ROI
Cubs vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Kyle Tucker (CHC) | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Ian Happ (CHC) | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Carson Kelly (CHC) | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -1100 |
Cubs vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Nico Hoerner (CHC) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Kyle Tucker (CHC) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Santiago Espinal (CIN) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Carson Kelly (CHC) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
Cubs vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Carson Kelly (CHC) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
| Kyle Tucker (CHC) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -250 |
| Nico Hoerner (CHC) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Tyler Stephenson (CIN) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -285 |
Cubs vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Lodolo (CIN) | 4.5 -130 | 4.5 +100 |
| Drew Pomeranz (CHC) | 1.5 +200 | 1.5 -275 |
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .500 (12-for-24) against Nick Lodolo’s low fastballs this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .261 — third Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .457 (16-for-35) against Nick Lodolo’s inside fastball this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .240 — first Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 16% (26/165) against Nick Lodolo when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 151 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 99th Percentile.
Nick Lodolo allowed a slugging percentage of just .198 (22 Total Bases / 111 ABs) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .406 — 100th Percentile.
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Drew Pomeranz has pitched 18.0 straight innings without allowing an earned run — Chris Flexen has the longest active streak at 21.1.
Opponents are hitting just .129 (4-for-31) against Drew Pomeranz this month (11 games) — tied for 10th best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .242 — 95th Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting just .100 (2-for-20) against Drew Pomeranz this month (9 games) — tied for 4th best among NL Relievers; League Avg: .256 — 97th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .059 (1-for-17) against Drew Pomeranz with two-strikes this month (11 games) — tied for 7th best among NL Relievers; League Avg: .180 — 94th Percentile.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Reds are just 14-29 (.326) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds were just 5-16 (.238) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds are just 4-87 (.044) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .099.
The Reds are just 6-83 (.067) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .141.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Cubs are 2-17 (.105) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .041.
The Cubs are 16-5 (.762) after a loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .488.
The Cubs are 46-12 (.793) when they’ve scored in the first inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .636.
The Cubs are 10-2 (.833) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season They play the Reds (16th best runs scored) today.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
Reds hitters are slugging just .172 on pitches out of the zone since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .206.
The Reds are batting just .128 on pitches out of the zone since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .150.
The Reds batted just .116 on pitches out of the zone in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .150.
Reds hitters are slugging just .159 on pitches out of the zone since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .203.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters have an OPS of .842 (1,133 PA’s) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .698.
The Cubs are batting .412 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .341.
Cubs hitters are slugging .501 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .388.
The Cubs are batting .278 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .240.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Reds pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
The Cubs allowed 3.41 runs per game (276/81) at home in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.41.
Cubs pitchers walked 127 of 1,437 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Batters facing the Cubs pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 46% of the time this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Cubs pitchers have a strike rate of 65% this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.
More MLB Reading:
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