- The are + favorites vs the
- Reds vs Dodgers Over / Under today: Runs
- Reds / Dodgers TV Channel: SNLA | BSOH
The Cincinnati Reds (+145) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-175) on Sunday, May 19, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Los Angeles, CA.
This season, the Reds are 19-27 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 26-22 ATS.
Reds vs Dodgers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Reds starting pitcher: Hunter Greene 2-2, 3.29 ERA
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Undecided 0-0, 0.00 ERA
Reds vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Reds | + + | O + | +145 |
Dodgers | + + | U + | -175 |
Reds vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 57.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 36 games (+13.70 Units / 38% ROI)
- Spencer Steer has hit the Runs Under in 23 of his last 30 games (+13.40 Units / 30% ROI)
- Spencer Steer has hit the Total Bases Under in 23 of his last 31 games (+12.65 Units / 28% ROI)
- Spencer Steer has hit the Singles Under in 27 of his last 40 games (+11.05 Units / 22% ROI)
- Spencer Steer has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 31 games (+9.60 Units / 26% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 24 games at home (+16.80 Units / 70% ROI)
- Mookie Betts has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 12 games at home (+10.30 Units / 57% ROI)
- Mookie Betts has hit the Singles Over in 25 of his last 40 games (+8.60 Units / 18% ROI)
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the Total Bases Over in 25 of his last 41 games (+8.20 Units / 17% ROI)
- Gavin Lux has hit the Runs Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 48% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 30 games (+7.10 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 28 games (+6.30 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 22 away games (+5.60 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 31 games (+5.60 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 22 away games (+2.75 Units / 10% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 25 games (+9.70 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 24 games at home (+8.55 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 25 games (+8.05 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 18 of their last 25 games at home (+6.50 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 25 games at home (+5.25 Units / 10% ROI)
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 25-21 against the Run Line (+2.45 Units / 3.97% ROI).
- 19-27 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.15 Units / -16.84% ROI
- 22-22 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.65 Units / -5.19% ROI
- 22-22 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.25 Units / -4.48% ROI
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 26-22 against the Run Line (+1.4 Units / 2.5% ROI).
- 31-17 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.8 Units / -0.87% ROI
- 25-22 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.1 Units / 2.11% ROI
- 22-25 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.65 Units / -10.56% ROI
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
67% of Hunter Greene’s strikeouts have come on 97+ MPH fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .438 (28 GB hits out of 64 GBs) against Hunter Greene with runners on base since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 81 total IP; League Avg: .253 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 36% (29/80) against Hunter Greene on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 95th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 36% (29/80) against Hunter Greene on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd best among in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 95th Percentile.
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Gavin Stone has a strikeout rate of just 10% (4 SO in 40 PAs) with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — second Percentile.
Gavin Stone has a strikeout rate of just 32% (29 SO in 90 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — fifth Percentile.
Gavin Stone has struck out just 15% (13/84) of left-handed batters he faced this season — tied for 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — seventh Percentile.
Gavin Stone has walked 3 of 99 right-handed batters (3%) this season — 9th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 90th Percentile.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Reds are just 46-50 (.479) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .637.
The Reds are 29-14 (.674) after a win as favorites since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .588.
The Reds are just 85-119 (.417) after a loss since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .488.
The Reds are just 45-19 (.703) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .796.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Dodgers are 218-37 (.855) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .719.
The Dodgers are 48-16 (.750) after a road loss since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .462.
The Dodgers are 31-9 (.775) after a road loss since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .475.
The Dodgers are 118-17 (.874) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .731.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
The Reds are batting just .131 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .168.
The Reds are batting just .167 on breaking pitches this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .221.
Reds hitters have an OBP of just .279 (1,098 PA’s) against RHP this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .311.
The Reds are batting just .206 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters have grounded into 26 double plays in 428 opportunities (6%) in close and late situations since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .339 (10,306 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .451 against RHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .407.
Dodgers hitters have 368 extra-base hits out of 920 total hits (40%) against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .298 against Reds pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .253.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Reds pitchers have walked 1,374 of 14,250 batters (10%) since the 2022 season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Dodgers pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Dodgers pitchers have walked 20 of 442 batters (4%) over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Dodgers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 39% of their games since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Dodgers have won 45% of games in which their opponents scored first since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Dodgers vs. Reds Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Brusdar Graterol (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Tony Gonsolin (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Diego Cartaya (Los Angeles Dodgers): Back, Day-To-Day
- Blake Treinen (Los Angeles Dodgers): Chest, 15-Day IL
- David Peralta (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, Out
- Emmet Sheehan (Los Angeles Dodgers): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Julio Urias (Los Angeles Dodgers): Personal, Out
- Clayton Kershaw (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Nick Frasso (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, Out
- Dustin May (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Walker Buehler (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Austin Wynns (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Sam Moll (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Noelvi Marte (Cincinnati Reds): Suspension, Suspension
- Matt McLain (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Joey Votto (Cincinnati Reds): Ankle, Out
- Nick Lodolo (Cincinnati Reds): Calf, 15-Day IL
- TJ Friedl (Cincinnati Reds): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Reiver Sanmartin (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
- Alex Young (Cincinnati Reds): Back, 15-Day IL
- Ian Gibaut (Cincinnati Reds): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Brandon Williamson (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Connor Overton (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
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