- The Orioles are -175 favorites vs the Reds
- Reds vs Orioles Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
- Reds / Orioles TV Channel: FDOH | MAS2 | MLBN
The Cincinnati Reds (+165) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-200) on Sunday, April 20, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in Baltimore, MD, MD.
This season, the Reds are 10-11 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 8-12 ATS.
Reds vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:
- Reds starting pitcher: Carson Spiers 0-2, 6.24 ERA
- Orioles starting pitcher: Charlie Morton 0-4, 8.84 ERA
Reds vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Reds | +1.5 -125 | O 9 -105 | +165 |
| Orioles | -1.5 +105 | U 9 -115 | -200 |
Reds vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 59.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:
- Austin Hays has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 7 games (+17.90 Units / 256% ROI)
- Santiago Espinal has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 away games (+13.00 Units / 23% ROI)
- Jeimer Candelario has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.20 Units / 50% ROI)
- Jeimer Candelario has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.25 Units / 33% ROI)
- Jeimer Candelario has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 25 games (+9.10 Units / 33% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Cedric Mullins has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 games at home (+21.30 Units / 266% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 20 games (+9.80 Units / 38% ROI)
- Ramon Urias has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+9.15 Units / 27% ROI)
- Ramon Urias has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+8.95 Units / 43% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 14 of his last 20 games (+8.40 Units / 39% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 94 of their last 164 games (+15.20 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 93 of their last 164 games (+10.10 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 84 of their last 164 games (+6.05 Units / 3% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.65 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.20 Units / 24% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 87 of their last 165 games (+17.60 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 46 of their last 81 games at home (+5.70 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 84 of their last 165 games (+5.00 Units / 2% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 88 of their last 164 games (+1.10 Units / 1% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 84 of their last 165 games (+0.60 Units / 0% ROI)
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 12-9 against the Run Line (-0.35 Units / -1.09% ROI).
- 10-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.85 Units / -3.57% ROI
- 10-10 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.9 Units / -3.89% ROI
- 10-10 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.85 Units / -3.69% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 8-12 against the Run Line (-4.9 Units / -18.11% ROI).
- 9-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.15 Units / -17.29% ROI
- 12-5 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.7 Units / 30.52% ROI
- 5-12 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.1 Units / -36.73% ROI
Orioles vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Cedric Mullins (BAL) | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Ramon Laureano (BAL) | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Jordan Westburg (BAL) | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -1400 |
Orioles vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jordan Westburg (BAL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Austin Hays (CIN) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Adley Rutschman (BAL) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Ramon Urias (BAL) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
Orioles vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Hays (CIN) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -220 |
| Adley Rutschman (BAL) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Ramon Urias (BAL) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Orioles vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brent Suter (Cin) | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +115 |
| Charlie Morton (BAL) | 5.5 -120 | 5.5 -110 |
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Carson Spiers has allowed a slugging percentage of .561 (120 Total Bases / 214 ABs) vs left-handed batters since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 72 total IP; League Avg: .409 — first Percentile.
Carson Spiers has allowed a slugging percentage of .562 (50 Total Bases / 89 ABs) on elevated fastballs since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 72 total IP; League Avg: .370 — second Percentile.
Carson Spiers has allowed an OPS of .881 (470 PA’s) since last season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 72 total IP; League Avg: .708 — second Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 29% (38/129) against Carson Spiers in two-strike counts since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 72 total IP; League Avg: 44% — first Percentile.
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Charlie Morton has walked 11% of batters when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2023 season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — seventh Percentile.
Charlie Morton threw his curveball 46% of the time (664/1,432) vs left-handed batters in 2023 — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 19% — 100th Percentile.
Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 37% of the time (263/718) when he’s behind in the count since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 12% — 100th Percentile.
Charlie Morton has walked 11% of batters when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2023 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — third Percentile.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Reds are just 14-27 (.341) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds were just 8-18 (.308) when tied entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .498.
The Reds are just 6-16 (.273) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds were just 4-63 (.060) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .100.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Orioles are just 0-10 (.000) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .290.
The Orioles are 73-27 (.730) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .625.
The Orioles were 36-10 (.783) when they scored in the first inning in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .641.
The Orioles are just 0-10 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .074.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
The Reds are batting just .115 on pitches out of the zone since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .149.
Reds hitters are slugging just .149 on pitches out of the zone since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .204.
Reds hitters have chased 25% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
The Reds batted just .116 on pitches out of the zone in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .150.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters are slugging just .205 against LHP this month (13 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .363.
The Orioles are batting just .182 against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .229.
Orioles hitters have put just 35% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Orioles hitters are slugging .821 with the pitcher behind in the count this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .562.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 36% against Reds pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 32% against Reds pitchers over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 35% against Reds pitchers this month (17 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Orioles pitchers have walked 16% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Orioles pitchers have walked 15% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Orioles pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .211 against Orioles pitchers with the shift since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
More MLB Reading:
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