- The Reds are -105 favorites vs the Royals
- Reds vs Royals Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Reds / Royals TV Channel: FDOH | FDKC
The Cincinnati Reds (-105) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (-115) on Tuesday, May 27, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Kansas City, MO.
This season, the Reds are 27-28 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 29-26 ATS.
Reds vs Royals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Reds starting pitcher: Brady Singer 5-3, 4.91 ERA
- Royals starting pitcher: Daniel Lynch 3-1, 1.57 ERA
Reds vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Reds | -1.5 +155 | O 8 -102 | -105 |
| Royals | +1.5 -190 | U 8 -118 | -115 |
Reds vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Reds will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 51.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:
- Spencer Steer has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.30 Units / 44% ROI)
- Matt McLain has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 away games (+10.65 Units / 45% ROI)
- Matt McLain has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 15 away games (+8.40 Units / 41% ROI)
- Spencer Steer has hit the Singles Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+8.35 Units / 90% ROI)
- Austin Hays has hit the RBIs Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+6.85 Units / 69% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Salvador Perez has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 25 games (+16.20 Units / 38% ROI)
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+12.30 Units / 58% ROI)
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+12.25 Units / 24% ROI)
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+10.95 Units / 36% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+10.70 Units / 267% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 32 games (+10.80 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 44 games (+6.15 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 11 away games (+5.95 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 26 of their last 45 games (+5.20 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 30 of their last 52 games (+4.20 Units / 6% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 40 of their last 55 games (+24.60 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 47 games (+16.55 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 34 of their last 54 games (+12.75 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 33 games (+11.15 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 31 games (+7.45 Units / 16% ROI)
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 30-25 against the Run Line (-0.15 Units / -0.2% ROI).
- 27-28 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.75 Units / -7.01% ROI
- 22-32 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.7 Units / -21.18% ROI
- 32-22 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.75 Units / 12.69% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 29-26 against the Run Line (-5.5 Units / -6.82% ROI).
- 29-26 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.65 Units / 5.32% ROI
- 19-35 when betting on the total runs Over for -18.97 Units / -31.66% ROI
- 35-19 when betting on the total runs Under for +14.05 Units / 23% ROI
Royals vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Tyler Stephenson (CIN) | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Austin Hays (CIN) | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -1100 |
Royals vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Maikel Garcia (KC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Tyler Stephenson (CIN) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Royals vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Hays (CIN) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Tyler Stephenson (CIN) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -225 |
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -235 |
Royals vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brady Singer (CIN) | 3.5 -160 | 3.5 +125 |
| Daniel Lynch (KC) | 1.5 -115 | 1.5 -115 |
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Brady Singer has walked 10% of batters when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2023 season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — seventh Percentile.
Brady Singer threw his slider 58% of the time (470/813) with two-strikes in the 2024 season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Brady Singer has thrown inside pitches 54% of the time (285/531) vs left-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 20 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Brady Singer has walked 10% of batters when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — fourth Percentile.
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Daniel Lynch has struck out just 8% (3/39) of left-handed batters he faced this season — 3rd lowest among AL Relievers; League Avg: 24% — third Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .083 (2-for-24) against Daniel Lynch on low fastballs since last season — 4th best among AL Relievers; League Avg: .258 — 96th Percentile.
Daniel Lynch has a strikeout rate of just 27% (12 SO in 44 PAs) with two-strikes this season — lowest among AL Relievers; League Avg: 45% — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .045 (1-for-22) against Daniel Lynch with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .239 — 98th Percentile.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Reds were just 5-16 (.238) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds are just 14-29 (.326) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds are just 4-86 (.044) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .098.
The Reds are just 0-23 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .041.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Royals were just 4-50 (.074) when they allowed 5 or more runs in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .196.
The Royals are just 6-63 (.087) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .193.
The Royals are just 18-88 (.170) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .299.
The Royals are 9-0 (1.000) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .812.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
The Reds are batting just .120 on pitches out of the zone since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .149.
Reds hitters are slugging just .158 on pitches out of the zone since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .203.
Reds hitters slugged just .151 on pitches out of the zone in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .204.
The Reds batted just .116 on pitches out of the zone in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .150.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters had an OBP of just .280 (2,958 PA’s) on the road in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Royals hitters have drawn walks in 7% of its PA’s this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Royals hitters have struck out in just 20% of it’s PA’s against LHP since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Royals hitters have drawn walks in 7% of its PA’s against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Royals pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The longest HR allowed by the Royals pitchers in the 2024 season traveled 519.4 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 470.4
Batters facing the Royals pitchers have struck out in the zone 54% of the time this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Royals pitchers had an ERA of 2.97 (460.2 IP) against division opponents in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.06.
More MLB Reading:
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