- The Reds are -110 favorites vs the Royals
- Reds vs Royals Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Reds / Royals TV Channel: FDOH | FDKC
The Cincinnati Reds (-115) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (-105) on Wednesday, May 28, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Kansas City, MO.
This season, the Reds are 28-28 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 29-27 ATS.
Reds vs Royals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Reds starting pitcher: Hunter Greene 4-2, 2.52 ERA
- Royals starting pitcher: Noah Cameron 1-1, 0.93 ERA
Reds vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Reds | -1.5 +154 | O 7.5 -118 | -115 |
| Royals | +1.5 -190 | U 7.5 -102 | -105 |
Reds vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Reds will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 53.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:
- Will Benson has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 games (+11.70 Units / 130% ROI)
- Spencer Steer has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.45 Units / 34% ROI)
- Spencer Steer has hit the Singles Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+7.30 Units / 71% ROI)
- Spencer Steer has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+6.50 Units / 19% ROI)
- Spencer Steer has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 14 of his last 20 games (+6.45 Units / 25% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Salvador Perez has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 25 games (+16.20 Units / 38% ROI)
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+12.15 Units / 57% ROI)
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+10.75 Units / 26% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 games (+9.70 Units / 194% ROI)
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+8.95 Units / 30% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 33 games (+9.70 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 46 games (+6.20 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 45 games (+6.15 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 53 games (+5.20 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in their last 5 games (+5.05 Units / 74% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 41 of their last 56 games (+25.65 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 48 games (+15.45 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 34 of their last 55 games (+11.75 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 34 games (+9.90 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 16 of their last 32 games (+6.90 Units / 16% ROI)
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 31-25 against the Run Line (+0.85 Units / 1.1% ROI).
- 28-28 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.7 Units / -5.38% ROI
- 23-32 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.7 Units / -19.16% ROI
- 32-23 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.65 Units / 10.7% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 29-27 against the Run Line (-6.5 Units / -7.96% ROI).
- 29-27 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.4 Units / 3.44% ROI
- 20-35 when betting on the total runs Over for -17.97 Units / -29.45% ROI
- 35-20 when betting on the total runs Under for +12.95 Units / 20.83% ROI
Royals vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Tyler Stephenson (CIN) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
| Austin Hays (CIN) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
Royals vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Austin Hays (CIN) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Tyler Stephenson (CIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Maikel Garcia (KC) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Royals vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Hays (CIN) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Tyler Stephenson (CIN) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -235 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -235 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -235 |
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
Royals vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Hunter Greene (CIN) | 5.5 -155 | 5.5 +120 |
| Noah Cameron (KC) | 4.5 -115 | 4.5 -115 |
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a swing rate of 57% (210/365) against Hunter Greene this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 21 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 100th Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 56% of Hunter Greene’s pitches (454/805) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 21 total IP; League Avg: 47% — 100th Percentile.
Hunter Greene has thrown 208 fastballs at 100+ MPH this season — most among pitchers in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .182 (129-for-708) against Hunter Greene since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 86 total IP; League Avg: .244 — 100th Percentile.
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
The last hit on a Noah Cameron breaking pitch was April 30th. Hitters are 0 for their last 20 in ABs ending on his breaking pitches. — tied with Jonathan Loaisiga for the longest active streak among active MLB players.
Noah Cameron has allowed an OBP of just .056 (18 PA’s) versus the top of the order over the last 14 days — best among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .304 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .133 (6-for-45) against Noah Cameron in his last two starts — tied for 4th best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .234 — 96th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .133 (6-for-45) against Noah Cameron over the last 14 days — tied for 2nd best among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .239 — 97th Percentile.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Reds are just 14-29 (.326) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds are just 6-82 (.068) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .141.
The Reds are just 0-21 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .132.
The Reds were just 5-16 (.238) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Royals are just 6-64 (.086) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .193.
The Royals were just 4-50 (.074) when they allowed 5 or more runs in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .196.
The Royals are just 18-89 (.168) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .298.
The Royals are just 24-68 (.261) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .374.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
The Reds are batting just .120 on pitches out of the zone since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .149.
Reds hitters are slugging just .158 on pitches out of the zone since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .203.
The Reds are batting just .127 on pitches out of the zone since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .150.
Reds hitters slugged just .151 on pitches out of the zone in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .204.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have not struck out in 5 PA’s against LHP over the past seven days (1 game) — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .288 (7,063 PA’s) on the road since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .312.
Royals hitters had an OBP of just .280 (2,958 PA’s) on the road in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Royals hitters have drawn walks in 7% of its PA’s against LHP since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
The longest HR allowed by the Royals pitchers in the 2024 season traveled 519.4 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 470.4
Royals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 20% in close and late situations in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Batters facing the Royals pitchers have struck out in the zone 54% of the time this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% in close and late situations since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
More MLB Reading:
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