- The Reds are -175 favorites vs the White Sox
- Reds vs White Sox Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Reds / White Sox TV Channel: BSOH | NCH+
The Cincinnati Reds (-175) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (+145) on Friday, April 12, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Chicago, IL.
This season, the Reds are 6-6 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 7-5 ATS.
Reds vs White Sox Starting Pitchers Today:
- Reds starting pitcher: Andrew Abbott 0-1, 3.49 ERA
- White Sox starting pitcher: Chris Flexen 0-2, 5.91 ERA
Reds vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Reds | -1.5 -110 | O 9 +100 | -175 |
| White Sox | +1.5 -110 | U 9 -120 | +145 |
Reds vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Reds will win Friday‘s MLB game with 61.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:
- Noelvi Marte has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+11.00 Units / 50% ROI)
- Noelvi Marte has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.90 Units / 72% ROI)
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.40 Units / 45% ROI)
- Will Benson has hit the Singles Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.30 Units / 37% ROI)
- Graham Ashcraft has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+8.15 Units / 48% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Kevin Pillar has hit the Singles Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.10 Units / 34% ROI)
- Robbie Grossman has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 14 games (+6.30 Units / 45% ROI)
- Andrew Vaughn has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 5 games at home (+6.00 Units / 82% ROI)
- Andrew Vaughn has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.80 Units / 38% ROI)
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.55 Units / 27% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 41 of their last 67 away games (+23.65 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 70 of their last 114 games (+17.90 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 45 of their last 72 games (+16.80 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Over in 41 of their last 65 away games (+14.05 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 18 away games (+4.93 Units / 22% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 70 of their last 124 games (+16.15 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.24 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 24 games (+3.80 Units / 12% ROI)
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 5-7 against the Run Line (-2.3 Units / -15.49% ROI).
- 6-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.95 Units / -6.19% ROI
- 9-3 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.65 Units / 42.8% ROI
- 3-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.95 Units / -52.65% ROI
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 7-5 against the Run Line (+0.9 Units / 6.21% ROI).
- 2-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.4 Units / -53.33% ROI
- 4-7 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.1 Units / -30.26% ROI
- 7-4 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.65 Units / 20.54% ROI
White Sox vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Encarnacion-Strand (CIN) | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Jeimer Candelario (CIN) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Jonathan India (CIN) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Andrew Vaughn (CWS) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
White Sox vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew Vaughn (CWS) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Jonathan India (CIN) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Jeimer Candelario (CIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
White Sox vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Encarnacion-Strand (CIN) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -145 |
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Jeimer Candelario (CIN) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Andrew Vaughn (CWS) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Will Benson (CIN) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
White Sox vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew Abbott (CIN) | 5.5 -150 | 5.5 +110 |
| Chris Flexen (CWS) | 4.5 +100 | 4.5 -130 |
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 20% (21/103) against Andrew Abbott’s curve and slider in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 0 Percentile.
Andrew Abbott has a strike rate of just 59% (65/111) against right-handed batters this season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — fifth Percentile.
Andrew Abbott has a strike rate of just 59% (65/111) against right-handed batters this season — 4th lowest among in NL; League Avg: 64% — eighth Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% (12/32) against Andrew Abbott this season — 9th lowest among in NL; League Avg: 45% — 17th Percentile.
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Chris Flexen has a strikeout rate of just 11% (5 SO in 47 PAs) this season — tied for 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — fourth Percentile.
Chris Flexen allowed an OPS of 1.025 (256 PA’s) against right-handed batters in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .728 — 0 Percentile.
Chris Flexen has a strikeout rate of just 11% (5 SO in 47 PAs) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among in AL; League Avg: 23% — sixth Percentile.
Chris Flexen allowed a slugging percentage of .625 (145 Total Bases / 232 ABs) against right-handed batters in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .419 — 0 Percentile.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Reds are just 40-47 (.460) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .637.
The Reds are just 19-25 (.432) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .588.
The Reds were just 24-12 (.667) when they had 5 or more XBH in 2023 — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .790.
The Reds are just 51-38 (.573) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .698.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The White Sox were just 51-8 (.864) when leading entering the 9th inning in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .949.
The White Sox are just 53-8 (.855) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .949.
The White Sox are just 49-37 (.557) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .730.
The White Sox are just 8-22 (.267) after a road win since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .493.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
Reds hitters have 19 extra-base hits out of 32 total hits (59%) with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Reds hitters have 32 extra-base hits out of 66 total hits (48%) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
Reds hitters have put just 23% of their swings in play on pitches 95 mph or greater this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
Reds hitters have 45 extra-base hits out of 99 total hits (46%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .213 (3,373 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .609 (79 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 1.084.
White Sox hitters had an OBP of just .213 (3,148 PA’s) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
White Sox hitters averaged just 3.75 pitches per plate appearance against RHP in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .299 against Reds pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .412 against Reds pitchers with runners on base this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .266.
Reds pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 2 double plays in 90 opportunities (2%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
White Sox pitchers walked 654 of 6,301 batters (10%) in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
White Sox pitchers have walked 3 of 104 batters (3%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against White Sox pitchers since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
White Sox pitchers have walked 1,231 of 12,898 batters (10%) since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
White Sox vs. Reds Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Eloy Jimenez (Chicago White Sox): Thigh, Day-To-Day
- Yasmani Grandal (Chicago White Sox): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Matt Foster (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jake Eder (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Jesse Scholtens (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane Drohan (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Liam Hendriks (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jimmy Lambert (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Edgar Navarro (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, Out
- Davis Martin (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, Out
- Max Stassi (Chicago White Sox): Hip, 10-Day IL
- Austin Wynns (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Sam Moll (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Noelvi Marte (Cincinnati Reds): Suspension, Suspension
- Matt McLain (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Joey Votto (Cincinnati Reds): Ankle, Out
- Nick Lodolo (Cincinnati Reds): Calf, 15-Day IL
- TJ Friedl (Cincinnati Reds): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Reiver Sanmartin (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
- Alex Young (Cincinnati Reds): Back, 15-Day IL
- Ian Gibaut (Cincinnati Reds): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Brandon Williamson (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Connor Overton (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
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