Rockies vs Diamondbacks Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 17

Arizona Diamondbacks center fielder Jake McCarthy (31) in the sixth inning of a baseball game Tuesday, Sept. 17, 2024, in Denver.
(AP Photo/David Zalubowski)
  • The Diamondbacks are -325 favorites vs the Rockies
  • Rockies vs Diamondbacks Over / Under today: 9 Runs
  • Rockies / Diamondbacks TV Channel: DBTV | ROTV

The Colorado Rockies (+260) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-325) on Saturday, May 17, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Phoenix, AZ.

This season, the Rockies are 7-37 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 21-24 ATS.

Rockies vs Diamondbacks Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Rockies starting pitcher: German Marquez 1-6, 8.35 ERA
  • Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Zac Gallen 3-5, 4.59 ERA

Rockies vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rockies+2.5 -110O 9 -105+260
Diamondbacks -2.5 -115U 9 -115-325

Rockies vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 70.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:

  • German Marquez has hit the Strikeouts Under in his last 9 games (+9.20 Units / 85% ROI)
  • German Marquez has hit the Earned Runs Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+5.20 Units / 62% ROI)
  • German Marquez has hit the Walks Allowed Under in 6 of his last 8 games (+4.55 Units / 47% ROI)
  • German Marquez has hit the Hits Allowed Over in his last 4 away games (+4.25 Units / 88% ROI)
  • German Marquez has hit the Pitching Outs Under in 5 of his last 6 away games (+4.05 Units / 55% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Pavin Smith has hit the Walks Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+10.75 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Alek Thomas has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+7.65 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Alek Thomas has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+7.20 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Alek Thomas has hit the Runs Under in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+5.95 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Pavin Smith has hit the Singles Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+4.85 Units / 97% ROI)

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 14-30 against the Run Line (-17.3 Units / -34.22% ROI).

  • 7-37 when betting on the Moneyline for -25.4 Units / -56.89% ROI
  • 18-25 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.4 Units / -19.54% ROI
  • 25-18 when betting on the total runs Under for +5 Units / 10.27% ROI

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 21-24 against the Run Line (-5.86 Units / -10.12% ROI).

  • 24-21 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.4 Units / 0.7% ROI
  • 20-22 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.45 Units / -8.96% ROI
  • 22-20 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.2 Units / -0.41% ROI

Diamondbacks vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Eugenio Suarez (ARI) 0.5 +250 0.5 -325
Corbin Carroll (ARI) 0.5 +250 0.5 -325
Ketel Marte (ARI) 0.5 +270 0.5 -350
Hunter Goodman (COL) 0.5 +375 0.5 -500
Josh Naylor (ARI) 0.5 +425 0.5 -600

Diamondbacks vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Josh Naylor (ARI) 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Gabriel Moreno (ARI) 0.5 -225 0.5 +175
Ezequiel Tovar (COL) 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Jordan Beck (COL) 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Hunter Goodman (COL) 0.5 -200 0.5 +145

Diamondbacks vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Corbin Carroll (ARI) 0.5 -110 0.5 -118
Eugenio Suarez (ARI) 0.5 +100 0.5 -130
Ketel Marte (ARI) 0.5 +115 0.5 -150
Lourdes Gurriel Jr (ARI) 0.5 +120 0.5 -155
Josh Naylor (ARI) 0.5 +135 0.5 -175

Diamondbacks vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
German Marquez (COL) 2.5 -160 2.5 +125
Zac Gallen (ARI) 7.5 +120 7.5 -155

German Marquez has walked 23% of batters when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 17 total IP; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.

German Marquez has an ERA of 10.53 (19.2 IP) on the road this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 17 total IP; League Avg: 4.25 — first Percentile.

German Marquez has struck out just 10% (8/84) of left-handed batters he faced this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 17 total IP; League Avg: 21% — third Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 7% (15/208) against German Marquez on pitches in the strike zone this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 17 total IP; League Avg: 16% — 0 Percentile.

Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Zac Gallen has a strike rate of just 57% (141/246) in two strike counts this season — 3rd lowest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 64% — sixth Percentile.

Zac Gallen has allowed a slugging percentage of just .326 (190 Total Bases / 582 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2023 season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .393 — 96th Percentile.

Zac Gallen has a in-zone of just 33% (333/999) in two strike counts since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 82 total IP; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.

Hitters have swung at 50% of Zac Gallen’s pitches (124/246) with two-strikes this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 60% — first Percentile.

Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

The Rockies are just 57-9 (.851) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.

The Rockies are just 89-36 (.706) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .860.

The Rockies are just 2-21 (.087) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .432.

The Rockies were just 50-9 (.833) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .949.

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

The Diamondbacks are just 17-5 (.773) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .877.

The Diamondbacks are 87-18 (.821) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .720.

The Diamondbacks are 12-9 (.571) on the road this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .432.

The Diamondbacks were 67-15 (.807) when they allowed 4 or fewer runs in the 2024 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .723.

The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 26% on the road since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.

Rockies hitters have an OBP of just .247 (807 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .309.

The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 16% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 9% on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

The Diamondbacks batted .284 against LHP in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .245.

Diamondbacks hitters are slugging .478 against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .401.

Diamondbacks hitters had an OBP of .347 (3,080 PA’s) at home in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .315.

Diamondbacks hitters have struck out in just 17% of it’s PA’s against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Rockies pitchers since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Diamondbacks pitchers had an ERA of 4.68 (739.0 IP) at home in the 2024 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.98.

Diamondbacks pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 21% in the 2024 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Diamondbacks pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of 89.5 MPH (4,288 batted balls) in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 88.8.

The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 35% of their games since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.