Rockies vs Giants Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 4

Colorado Rockies left fielder Nolan Jones (22) in sixth inning of a baseball game Wednesday, Sept. 25, 2024, in Denver.
(AP Photo/Matt York)
  • The Giants are -350 favorites vs the Rockies
  • Rockies vs Giants Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
  • Rockies / Giants TV Channel: NSBA | ROTV

The Colorado Rockies (+280) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (-350) on Sunday, May 4, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in San Francisco, CA.

This season, the Rockies are 6-27 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 16-18 ATS.

Rockies vs Giants Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Rockies starting pitcher: German Marquez 0-5, 9.96 ERA
  • Giants starting pitcher: Logan Webb 3-2, 2.88 ERA

Rockies vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rockies+2.5 -125O 7.5 -115+280
Giants -2.5 +105U 7.5 -105-350

Rockies vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 70.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Ryan McMahon has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+15.25 Units / 74% ROI)
  • Ryan McMahon has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 20 games (+14.95 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Ryan McMahon has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+13.70 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Jordan Beck has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 away games (+12.50 Units / 250% ROI)
  • Ryan McMahon has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+10.15 Units / 40% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Heliot Ramos has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+10.10 Units / 253% ROI)
  • Matt Chapman has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+9.95 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Matt Chapman has hit the RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+9.10 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Willy Adames has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+8.85 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Matt Chapman has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 25 games (+8.45 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 23 of their last 33 games (+11.67 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 33 games (+10.95 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 17 away games (+10.45 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 games (+1.60 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 16 games (+0.30 Units / 2% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.65 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.95 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 32 games (+4.60 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games at home (+4.55 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 games at home (+2.00 Units / 20% ROI)

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 12-21 against the Run Line (-10.9 Units / -27.84% ROI).

  • 6-27 when betting on the Moneyline for -18 Units / -53.49% ROI
  • 10-22 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.1 Units / -39% ROI
  • 22-10 when betting on the total runs Under for +10.95 Units / 30.04% ROI

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Giants are 16-18 against the Run Line (-0.85 Units / -1.97% ROI).

  • 21-13 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.55 Units / 9.73% ROI
  • 19-14 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.65 Units / 9.85% ROI
  • 14-19 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.15 Units / -18.94% ROI

Giants vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Matt Chapman (SF) 0.5 +350 0.5 -450
Willy Adames (SF) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Mike Yastrzemski (SF) 0.5 +450 0.5 -625
Heliot Ramos (SF) 0.5 +650 0.5 -1000
Hunter Goodman (COL) 0.5 +700 0.5 -1100

Giants vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Mike Yastrzemski (SF) 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Matt Chapman (SF) 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Brenton Doyle (COL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Wilmer Flores (SF) 0.5 -235 0.5 +180
Christian Koss (SF) 0.5 -210 0.5 +155

Giants vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Matt Chapman (SF) 0.5 +105 0.5 -135
Willy Adames (SF) 0.5 +140 0.5 -185
Jung-hoo Lee (SF) 0.5 +140 0.5 -185
Mike Yastrzemski (SF) 0.5 +145 0.5 -190
Wilmer Flores (SF) 0.5 +145 0.5 -190

Giants vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
German Marquez (COL) 3.5 -105 3.5 -125
Logan Webb (SF) 7.5 +120 7.5 -155

German Marquez has an ERA of 10.57 (15.1 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: 4.36 — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .429 (18-for-42) against German Marquez when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: .238 — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .369 (41-for-111) against German Marquez this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: .244 — first Percentile.

20% of German Marquez’s strikeouts are in the zone this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: 51% — first Percentile.

Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Logan Webb has a strikeout rate of 33% vs right-handed batters this season — sixth highest among qualified SPs– 94th Percentile. He had a strikeout rate of just 18% vs right-handed batters last season — eighth lowest among qualified SPs– 13th Percentile.

Logan Webb has a strikeout rate of 53% with two strikes this season — eighth highest among qualified SPs– 92nd Percentile. He had a strikeout rate of just 39% with two strikes last season — ninth lowest among qualified SPs– 17th Percentile.

Logan Webb has a strikeout rate of 61% (17 SO in 28 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents had a groundball rate of 57% (351/617) against Logan Webb in the 2024 season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 94th Percentile.

Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Giants

The Rockies are just 6-26 (.188) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .530.

The Rockies are just 48-131 (.267) on the road since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .473.

The Rockies are just 107-15 (.870) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.

The Rockies are just 56-9 (.848) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .951.

Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

The Giants are 3-10 (.231) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .085.

The Giants are 5-3 (.625) vs top 10 scoring offenses this season They play the Rockies (19th best runs scored) today.

The Giants are 1-12 (.077) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .040.

The Giants are 21-13 (.618) this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 18% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Rockies hitters have struck out in 28% of it’s PA’s this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 18% since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Rockies hitters have an OPS of just .634 (6,613 PA’s) on the road since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .711.

The Giants batted just .151 with two-strikes in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .172.

Giants hitters had an OPS of just .683 (1,790 PA’s) against LHP in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .742.

Giants hitters have struck out in 25% of it’s PA’s against LHP since the 2023 season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Giants hitters slugged just .376 against LHP in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .419.

Opponents had a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Rockies pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 18% in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents had a groundball rate of 50% against Giants pitchers in 2023 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents had a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.