- The Mets are -400 favorites vs the Rockies
- Rockies vs Mets Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Rockies / Mets TV Channel: WPIX | ROTV
The Colorado Rockies (+310) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-400) on Saturday, May 31, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Flushing, NY.
This season, the Rockies are 9-48 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 29-28 ATS.
Rockies vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rockies starting pitcher: Antonio Senzatela 1-9, 6.67 ERA
- Mets starting pitcher: Kodai Senga 5-3, 1.47 ERA
Rockies vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rockies | +2.5 -115 | O 8.5 -120 | +310 |
| Mets | -2.5 -105 | U 8.5 +100 | -400 |
Rockies vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 71.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Michael Toglia has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 15 away games (+12.25 Units / 36% ROI)
- Mickey Moniak has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+10.90 Units / 272% ROI)
- Michael Toglia has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 15 away games (+9.75 Units / 54% ROI)
- Antonio Senzatela has hit the Hits Allowed Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.00 Units / 61% ROI)
- Jordan Beck has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+6.95 Units / 23% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Brett Baty has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games at home (+25.90 Units / 259% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+12.25 Units / 26% ROI)
- Jeff McNeil has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+10.50 Units / 24% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the Walks Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+10.10 Units / 24% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+9.80 Units / 32% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 39 of their last 56 games (+19.55 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 38 of their last 57 games (+16.52 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 29 away games (+11.30 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 6 away games (+3.30 Units / 55% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 35 of their last 57 games (+12.80 Units / 20% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 29 games at home (+9.55 Units / 19% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 29 games at home (+8.00 Units / 23% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 31 of their last 52 games (+6.74 Units / 11% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.15 Units / 34% ROI)
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 20-37 against the Run Line (-15.7 Units / -24.71% ROI).
- 9-48 when betting on the Moneyline for -30.95 Units / -53.69% ROI
- 22-33 when betting on the total runs Over for -14 Units / -22.45% ROI
- 33-22 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.7 Units / 13.79% ROI
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mets are 29-28 against the Run Line (+1.29 Units / 1.78% ROI).
- 35-22 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.85 Units / 4.37% ROI
- 20-35 when betting on the total runs Over for -18.7 Units / -29.71% ROI
- 35-20 when betting on the total runs Under for +12.8 Units / 20.48% ROI
Mets vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -325 |
| Hunter Goodman (COL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -525 |
| Mark Vientos (NYM) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Jordan Beck (COL) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Mets vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mark Vientos (NYM) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Juan Soto (NYM) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Brett Baty (NYM) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Jeff McNeil (NYM) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Ezequiel Tovar (COL) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Mets vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 -105 | 0.5 -120 |
| Mark Vientos (NYM) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Juan Soto (NYM) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Brandon Nimmo (NYM) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -220 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
Mets vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kodai Senga (NYM) | 7.5 +100 | 7.5 -130 |
| Antonio Senzatela (COL) | 3.5 +130 | 3.5 -165 |
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .375 (90-for-240) against Antonio Senzatela this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 22 total IP; League Avg: .244 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .429 (39-for-91) against Antonio Senzatela when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 22 total IP; League Avg: .240 — 0 Percentile.
Hitters batting in the top of the order have hit .464 against Antonio Senzatela this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 22 total IP; League Avg: .255 — 0 Percentile.
Antonio Senzatela has allowed an OPS of 1.269 (97 PA’s) versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 22 total IP; League Avg: .740 — 0 Percentile.
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .522 (12-for-23) against Kodai Senga’s low fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .261 — first Percentile.
Kodai Senga has allowed a slugging percentage of .913 (21 Total Bases / 23 ABs) on low fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .389 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .110 (10-for-91) against Kodai Senga’s non-fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .212 — 100th Percentile.
2-3-4 Hitters have hit just .114 against Kodai Senga this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .241 — 100th Percentile.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Rockies are just 59-9 (.855) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .951.
The Rockies are just 27-81 (.248) on the road since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .468.
The Rockies are just 49-18 (.721) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .859.
The Rockies are just 3-23 (.115) vs top 10 scoring offenses this season They play the Mets (seventh best runs scored) today.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Mets were 8-60 (.118) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Mets are 8-79 (.092) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .048.
The Mets are 4-2 (.667) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season They play the Rockies (30th best runs allowed) today.
The Mets are just 0-19 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .041.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 24% on the road since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
The Rockies are batting just .193 on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .240.
Rockies hitters have an OBP of just .255 (1,030 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .310.
The Rockies have won just 25% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 73%.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
Mets hitters have a groundball batting average of just .168 with runners on base this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .258.
Mets hitters have an OPS of .762 (2,151 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .705.
The Mets batted just .238 against LHP in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Mets hitters slugged .440 against LHP in the 2024 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .397.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Rockies pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Rockies pitchers since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 51% against Mets pitchers over the last 14 days — highest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Mets pitchers walked 586 of 6,098 batters (10%) in the 2024 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets pitchers have walked 10% of batters since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets pitchers walked 591 of 6,084 batters (10%) in 2023 — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
More MLB Reading:
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