- The Padres are -190 favorites vs the Rockies
- Rockies vs Padres Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Rockies / Padres TV Channel: ROTV | PDTV | MLBN
The Colorado Rockies (+150) visit Petco Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-185) on Friday, August 2, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in San Diego, CA.
This season, the Rockies are 40-70 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 58-52 ATS.
Rockies vs Padres Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rockies starting pitcher: Austin Gomber 2-7, 4.85 ERA
- Padres starting pitcher: Randy Vasquez 3-6, 4.84 ERA
Rockies vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rockies | +1.5 -145 | O 8 +100 | +150 |
| Padres | -1.5 +120 | U 8 -120 | -185 |
Rockies vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Friday‘s MLB game with 60.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Michael Toglia has hit the Home Runs Over in 13 of his last 41 games (+36.10 Units / 88% ROI)
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 18 games (+15.15 Units / 47% ROI)
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+12.00 Units / 54% ROI)
- Jake Cave has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 17 away games (+10.05 Units / 26% ROI)
- Hunter Goodman has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+9.30 Units / 74% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jackson Merrill has hit the Home Runs Over in 9 of his last 39 games (+37.00 Units / 95% ROI)
- Jurickson Profar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 29 of his last 42 games (+14.35 Units / 29% ROI)
- Xander Bogaerts has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+14.25 Units / 53% ROI)
- Xander Bogaerts has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+13.25 Units / 33% ROI)
- Jurickson Profar has hit the Walks Under in 26 of his last 34 games (+11.55 Units / 17% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 16 away games (+7.75 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 74 games (+6.40 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Over in 23 of their last 38 away games (+5.90 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 31 of their last 74 games (+4.80 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 28 games (+3.55 Units / 10% ROI)
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 23 games at home (+12.55 Units / 50% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 44 of their last 78 games (+11.25 Units / 11% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 33 games (+11.10 Units / 28% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 23 games at home (+7.85 Units / 29% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 16 of their last 24 games at home (+7.45 Units / 26% ROI)
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 55-55 against the Run Line (-12.2 Units / -8.89% ROI).
- 40-70 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.5 Units / -7.75% ROI
- 56-52 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.95 Units / -0.79% ROI
- 52-56 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.7 Units / -8.06% ROI
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Padres are 58-52 against the Run Line (+8.15 Units / 5.86% ROI).
- 59-51 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.7 Units / -0.5% ROI
- 59-50 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.65 Units / 3.88% ROI
- 50-59 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.55 Units / -12.7% ROI
Padres vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Michael Toglia (COL) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Ezequiel Tovar (COL) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Brenton Doyle (COL) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
| Ryan McMahon (COL) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
Padres vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jurickson Profar (SD) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Jake Cronenworth (SD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Jackson Merrill (SD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Luis Campusano (SD) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Padres vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Xander Bogaerts (SD) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Jake Cronenworth (SD) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Jackson Merrill (SD) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Luis Campusano (SD) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Padres vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Gomber (COL) | 3.5 +105 | 3.5 -140 |
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Austin Gomber has allowed a slugging percentage of .771 (37 Total Bases / 48 ABs) on low fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .393 — first Percentile.
Austin Gomber has allowed a slugging percentage of .633 (345 Total Bases / 545 ABs) on fastballs since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 172 total IP; League Avg: .436 — first Percentile.
Austin Gomber has allowed a slugging percentage of .640 (240 Total Bases / 375 ABs) on fastballs since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 107 total IP; League Avg: .442 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .417 (20-for-48) against Austin Gomber on low fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .270 — first Percentile.
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .321 (92-for-287) against Randy Vasquez this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 42 total IP; League Avg: .244 — first Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 31% (55/176) against Randy Vasquez since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 107 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 28% (101/354) against Randy Vasquez since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 107 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 19% (171/919) against Randy Vasquez since last season — 9th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 107 total IP; League Avg: 25% — fifth Percentile.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Rockies are just 50-36 (.581) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .799.
The Rockies are just 27-25 (.519) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .797.
The Rockies are just 69-30 (.697) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .858.
The Rockies are just 74-20 (.787) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .897.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Padres are just 2-112 (.018) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .053.
The Padres are just 13-16 (.448) after a home loss this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .538.
The Padres are 45-4 (.918) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .856.
The Padres are 105-19 (.847) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .789.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
Rockies hitters have an OBP of just .298 (2,857 PA’s) against LHP since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .321.
The Rockies have won just 43% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 75%.
The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 36% since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Rockies have won just 49% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 71%.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
The Padres are batting .279 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .241.
Padres hitters are slugging .426 against RHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .398.
Padres hitters have missed on just 20% of swings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The Padres are batting .277 against division opponents this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Rockies pitchers since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
Padres pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 38% of their games since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Padres pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.9 MPH (3,921 batted balls) in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
The Padres pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.9 MPH in the 2023 season (3,921 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0
Padres pitchers have a strikeout rate of 51% with two-strikes over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Padres vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Glenn Otto (San Diego Padres): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Reiss Knehr (San Diego Padres): Elbow, Out
- Drew Carlton (San Diego Padres): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Yu Darvish (San Diego Padres): Personal, Out
- Rougned Odor (San Diego Padres): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Luis Patino (San Diego Padres): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Tom Cosgrove (San Diego Padres): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Tucupita Marcano (San Diego Padres): Suspension, Suspension
- Joe Musgrove (San Diego Padres): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Fernando Tatis (San Diego Padres): Quadriceps, 10-Day IL
- Nolan Jones (Colorado Rockies): Back, 10-Day IL
- German Marquez (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Antonio Senzatela (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Daniel Bard (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
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