- The Padres are -225 favorites vs the Rockies
- Rockies vs Padres Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Rockies / Padres TV Channel: ROTV | PDTV
The Colorado Rockies (+170) visit Petco Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-210) on Saturday, August 3, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:40pm EDT in San Diego, CA.
This season, the Rockies are 41-70 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 58-53 ATS.
Rockies vs Padres Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rockies starting pitcher: Tanner Gordon 0-3, 8.81 ERA
- Padres starting pitcher: Martin Perez 2-5, 5.14 ERA
Rockies vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rockies | +1.5 -120 | O 8.5 -110 | +170 |
| Padres | -1.5 +100 | U 8.5 -110 | -210 |
Rockies vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 64.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Michael Toglia has hit the Home Runs Over in 13 of his last 42 games (+35.10 Units / 84% ROI)
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 19 games (+16.15 Units / 47% ROI)
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 19 games (+13.00 Units / 56% ROI)
- Jake Cave has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 18 away games (+11.05 Units / 26% ROI)
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 19 games (+9.75 Units / 47% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jackson Merrill has hit the Home Runs Over in 9 of his last 40 games (+36.00 Units / 90% ROI)
- Xander Bogaerts has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 21 games (+13.25 Units / 48% ROI)
- Jurickson Profar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 29 of his last 43 games (+12.85 Units / 25% ROI)
- Xander Bogaerts has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 21 games (+12.25 Units / 30% ROI)
- Ha-Seong Kim has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 31 games (+10.35 Units / 32% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 75 games (+7.95 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Over in 24 of their last 39 away games (+6.90 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 17 away games (+6.65 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 29 games (+4.55 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games (+4.15 Units / 45% ROI)
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 24 games at home (+11.45 Units / 44% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 44 of their last 79 games (+10.25 Units / 10% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 34 games (+9.30 Units / 22% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 24 games at home (+6.55 Units / 23% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 16 of their last 25 games at home (+6.45 Units / 22% ROI)
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 56-55 against the Run Line (-11.2 Units / -8.08% ROI).
- 41-70 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.95 Units / -6.28% ROI
- 56-53 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.05 Units / -1.7% ROI
- 53-56 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.7 Units / -7.16% ROI
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Padres are 58-53 against the Run Line (+7.15 Units / 5.11% ROI).
- 59-52 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.5 Units / -1.76% ROI
- 59-51 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.55 Units / 2.94% ROI
- 51-59 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.55 Units / -11.78% ROI
Padres vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Michael Toglia (COL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Ezequiel Tovar (COL) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
| Brenton Doyle (COL) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Hunter Goodman (COL) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Padres vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brenton Doyle (COL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Brendan Rodgers (COL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Xander Bogaerts (SD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| David Peralta (SD) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Ezequiel Tovar (COL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Padres vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Jackson Merrill (SD) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Jake Cronenworth (SD) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Xander Bogaerts (SD) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| David Peralta (SD) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Padres vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Martin Perez (SD) | 4.5 -165 | 4.5 +125 |
| Tanner Gordon (COL) | 2.5 -145 | 2.5 +110 |
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tanner Gordon allowed an OPS of .943 (25 PA’s) in his last start — 9th highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .683 — ninth Percentile.
Opponents batted .375 (9-for-24) against Tanner Gordon in his last start — 4th highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .234 — fourth Percentile.
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Martin Perez has allowed an OBP of .341 (182 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 43 total IP; League Avg: .241 — 0 Percentile.
Martin Perez has allowed a slugging percentage of .788 (63 Total Bases / 80 ABs) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 43 total IP; League Avg: .429 — 0 Percentile.
Martin Perez has allowed a slugging percentage of .524 (44 Total Bases / 84 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 43 total IP; League Avg: .309 — first Percentile.
Martin Perez has allowed an OPS of 1.247 (87 PA’s) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 43 total IP; League Avg: .753 — first Percentile.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Rockies are just 50-36 (.581) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .798.
The Rockies are just 70-42 (.625) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .789.
The Rockies are just 75-20 (.789) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .897.
The Rockies are just 27-25 (.519) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .796.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Padres are just 2-113 (.017) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .053.
The Padres are just 13-16 (.448) after a home loss this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .535.
The Padres are 45-4 (.918) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .856.
The Padres are 105-19 (.847) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .789.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies have won just 50% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 71%.
The Rockies have an average HR distance of 409.3 feet since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.6.
The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 28% on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
The Rockies have won just 46% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 75%.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
The Padres are batting .279 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .242.
Padres hitters have just 221 strikeouts in 1,273 PA’s (17%) against LHP this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Padres are batting .205 with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .169.
Padres hitters have just 749 strikeouts in 4,166 PA’s (18%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Rockies pitchers since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers have an ERA of 5.80 (1219.0 IP) at home since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.12.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
The Padres pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 88.1 MPH since last season (6,589 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.9
The Padres pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.9 MPH in the 2023 season (3,921 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0
Padres pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.9 MPH (3,921 batted balls) in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
Padres pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Padres vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Glenn Otto (San Diego Padres): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Reiss Knehr (San Diego Padres): Elbow, Out
- Drew Carlton (San Diego Padres): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Yu Darvish (San Diego Padres): Personal, Out
- Rougned Odor (San Diego Padres): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Luis Patino (San Diego Padres): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Tom Cosgrove (San Diego Padres): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Tucupita Marcano (San Diego Padres): Suspension, Suspension
- Joe Musgrove (San Diego Padres): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Fernando Tatis (San Diego Padres): Quadriceps, 10-Day IL
- Nolan Jones (Colorado Rockies): Back, 10-Day IL
- German Marquez (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Antonio Senzatela (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Daniel Bard (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
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