- The Rays are -210 favorites vs the Rockies
- Rockies vs Rays Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Rockies / Rays TV Channel: ROTV | FSUN
The Colorado Rockies (+180) visit George M. Steinbrenner Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-220) on Friday, March 28, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Tampa, FL, USA.
This season, the Rockies are 0-1 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 1-0 ATS.
Rockies vs Rays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rockies starting pitcher: Kyle Freeland 0-0, 0.00 ERA
- Rays starting pitcher: Ryan Pepiot 0-0, 0.00 ERA
Rockies vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rockies | +1.5 -120 | O 8 -115 | +180 |
| Rays | -1.5 +100 | U 8 -105 | -220 |
Rockies vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Friday‘s MLB game with 62.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Kyle Freeland has hit the Hits Allowed Over in 9 of his last 10 away games (+8.50 Units / 67% ROI)
- Kyle Freeland has hit the Walks Allowed Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.20 Units / 40% ROI)
- Jacob Stallings has hit the Hits Over in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 50% ROI)
- Kyle Freeland has hit the Earned Runs Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.85 Units / 38% ROI)
- Jacob Stallings has hit the Total Bases Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+4.85 Units / 51% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ryan Pepiot has hit the Hits Allowed Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.35 Units / 31% ROI)
- Ryan Pepiot has hit the Strikeouts Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+7.05 Units / 40% ROI)
- Jonny Deluca has hit the Runs Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 48% ROI)
- Curtis Mead has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+5.80 Units / 16% ROI)
- Ryan Pepiot has hit the Earned Runs Under in 10 of his last 15 games (+4.95 Units / 27% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 53 of their last 126 games (+8.60 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 10 away games (+5.75 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 6 of their last 7 away games (+5.30 Units / 62% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in their last 2 away games (+4.75 Units / 238% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 10 games (+3.75 Units / 34% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 96 of their last 159 games (+28.56 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 53 of their last 86 games (+22.45 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 90 of their last 153 games (+21.20 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 55 of their last 91 games (+11.80 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 16 games at home (+5.80 Units / 32% ROI)
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 1-0 against the Run Line (+1 Units / 74.07% ROI).
- 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -100% ROI
- 0-1 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
- 1-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 1-0 against the Run Line (+1.35 Units / 135% ROI).
- 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 68.97% ROI
- 0-1 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
- 1-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
Rays vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christopher Morel (TB) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Danny Jansen (TB) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Brenton Doyle (COL) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
Rays vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Curtis Mead (TB) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Christopher Morel (TB) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +170 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Brenton Doyle (COL) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Rays vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christopher Morel (TB) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Yandy Diaz (TB) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Danny Jansen (TB) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -220 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Rays vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Pepiot (: Strikeouts | 6.5 +100 | 6.5 -130 |
| Kyle Freeland (COL) | 4.5 +110 | 4.5 -145 |
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hitters have chased just 107 of Kyle Freeland’s 546 changeups out of the zone (chase rate of 20%) since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 194 total IP; League Avg: 35% — first Percentile.
Kyle Freeland has averaged 88.8 MPH on fastballs in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 93.5 — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .457 (21-for-46) against Kyle Freeland in close and late situations since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 194 total IP; League Avg: .239 — first Percentile.
Kyle Freeland allowed a slugging percentage of .611 (44 Total Bases / 72 ABs) on elevated fastballs in the 2024 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .369 — first Percentile.
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Ryan Pepiot allowed an OBP of just .147 (75 PA’s) vs left-handed batters in 2023 — best among NL Relievers; League Avg: .316 — 100th Percentile.
Ryan Pepiot walked 5 of 159 batters (3%) in 2023 — 3rd best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 9% — 99th Percentile.
Ryan Pepiot allowed an OPS of just .383 (75 PA’s) vs left-handed batters in 2023 — 2nd best among NL Relievers; League Avg: .689 — 98th Percentile.
Left-handed batters hit just .111 (8-for-72) against Ryan Pepiot in 2023 — 2nd best among NL Relievers; League Avg: .229 — 98th Percentile.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Rockies are just 89-23 (.788) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .900.
The Rockies are just 32-28 (.533) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .800.
The Rockies are just 84-35 (.700) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .858.
The Rockies were just 50-9 (.833) when leading entering the 9th inning in 2024 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Rays are 135-6 (.957) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .900.
The Rays are 36-64 (.360) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .261.
The Rays are 12-127 (.086) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Rays are 75-21 (.781) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .700.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 28% on the road since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
The Rockies have won just 47% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 75%.
The Rockies are batting .273 at home since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Rockies won just 48% of road games in which they scored three or more runs in an inning last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 76%.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rays scored first in 64% of their games in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays hitters have put just 31% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Rays hitters slugged just .366 at home in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .404.
Rays hitters have put just 32% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Rockies pitchers since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 18% in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have walked 884 of 12,016 batters (7%) since the 2023 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have walked 1,268 of 17,946 batters (7%) since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have walked 284 of 4,331 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
More MLB Reading:
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