- The Royals are +100 favorites vs the Brewers
- Royals vs Brewers Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Royals / Brewers TV Channel: FDKC | FDWI
The Kansas City Royals (+105) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-125) on Tuesday, April 1, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Milwaukee, WI.
This season, the Royals are 2-2 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 0-4 ATS.
Royals vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Royals starting pitcher: Michael Lorenzen 0-0, 0.00 ERA
- Brewers starting pitcher: Chad Patrick 0-0, 18.02 ERA
Royals vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Royals | +1.5 -200 | O 8.5 -110 | +105 |
| Brewers | -1.5 +165 | U 8.5 -110 | -125 |
Royals vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 51.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Michael Massey has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 10 away games (+11.05 Units / 82% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 25 away games (+10.85 Units / 43% ROI)
- Cavan Biggio has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 8 away games (+10.50 Units / 131% ROI)
- Cavan Biggio has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 15 away games (+9.15 Units / 32% ROI)
- Michael Massey has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 9 of his last 10 away games (+8.20 Units / 69% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Brice Turang has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 3 games (+12.00 Units / 400% ROI)
- Brice Turang has hit the Hits Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.45 Units / 42% ROI)
- Brice Turang has hit the Singles Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.85 Units / 46% ROI)
- Sal Frelick has hit the Total Bases Over in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+5.50 Units / 42% ROI)
- Brice Turang has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+4.95 Units / 43% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 33 games (+17.25 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 43 away games (+13.75 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 93 of their last 164 games (+12.70 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 2 of their last 3 games (+0.75 Units / 19% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 83 of their last 161 games (+9.15 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 34 of their last 58 games (+7.90 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 88 of their last 156 games (+7.30 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 41 of their last 72 games at home (+5.50 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 37 of their last 72 games at home (+3.95 Units / 4% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 1-3 against the Run Line (-2 Units / -39.6% ROI).
- 2-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.85 Units / -17% ROI
- 3-1 when betting on the total runs Over for +2 Units / 46.51% ROI
- 1-3 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.3 Units / -51.11% ROI
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 0-4 against the Run Line (-5.75 Units / -100% ROI).
- 0-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.2 Units / -100% ROI
- 3-1 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.95 Units / 45.35% ROI
- 1-3 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.35 Units / -52.22% ROI
Brewers vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -525 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Hunter Renfroe (KC) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Brewers vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brice Turang (MIL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Christian Yelich (MIL) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +160 |
Brewers vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Christian Yelich (MIL) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Brewers vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Chad Patrick (MIL) | 2.5 -150 | 2.5 +115 |
| Michael Lorenzen (KC) | 4.5 +125 | 4.5 -165 |
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Michael Lorenzen walked 29 of 202 batters (14%) versus the top of the order in the 2024 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 0 Percentile.
Michael Lorenzen allowed a BABIP of .165 vs left-handed batters in the 2024 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .287 — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a chase rate of just 23% (127/562) against Michael Lorenzen since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 66 total IP; League Avg: 30% — second Percentile.
Michael Lorenzen has walked 59 of 535 batters (11%) since last season — tied for 10th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 66 total IP; League Avg: 7% — sixth Percentile.
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Chad Patrick has a strike rate of just 50% (11/22) this season — tied for 11th lowest among among 235 qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — seventh Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 32% of Chad Patrick’s pitches (7/22) this season — 14th lowest among among 235 qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 47% — fifth Percentile.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Royals were just 4-50 (.074) when they allowed 5 or more runs in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .196.
The Royals are just 46-48 (.489) when they’ve scored in the first inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .626.
The Royals are just 14-79 (.151) when allowing 2 or more home runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .299.
The Royals were 32-56 (.364) when they scored 4 or fewer runs in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .276.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Brewers were 18-45 (.286) when they allowed 5 or more runs in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .196.
The Brewers are 37-87 (.298) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .207.
The Brewers are 65-29 (.691) when they’ve scored in the first inning since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .626.
The Brewers are 185-143 (.564) since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have just 885 strikeouts in 4,620 PA’s (19%) against RHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Royals hitters are averaging 4.42 pitches per plate appearance against LHP this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Royals hitters struck out just 298 times in 1,502 PA’s (20%) against LHP in the 2024 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .303 (3,047 PA’s) against LHP since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters had 129 extra-base hits out of 494 total hits (just 26%) with two-strikes in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
Brewers hitters had a swing rate of just 45% in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Brewers hitters have a swing rate of just 45% against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Brewers hitters have drawn 176 walks in 1,741 PA’s (10%) against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
The longest HR allowed by the Royals pitchers in the 2024 season traveled 519.4 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 470.4
Royals pitchers picked-off 19 runners from first base in 2023 — best in MLB.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% in close and late situations since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Royals pitchers this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 24% against Brewers pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 24% against Brewers pitchers over the last 14 days of the regular season (4 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 24% against Brewers pitchers over the last week of the regular season (4 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Brewers pitchers have an ERA of 12.27 (33.0 IP) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.21.
More MLB Reading:
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