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The Kansas City Royals () visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers () on Wednesday, April 2, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm EDT in Milwaukee, WI.
This season, the Royals are 2-3 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 1-4 ATS.
Royals vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Royals starting pitcher: Cole Ragans 0-0, 5.41 ERA
- Brewers starting pitcher: Freddy Peralta 0-1, 3.60 ERA
Royals vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Royals | O | ||
| Brewers | U |
Royals vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 10 away games (+10.65 Units / 107% ROI)
- Cavan Biggio has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 9 away games (+9.50 Units / 106% ROI)
- Cavan Biggio has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 15 away games (+9.15 Units / 31% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 15 away games (+8.95 Units / 49% ROI)
- Michael Massey has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 10 away games (+8.80 Units / 65% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Brice Turang has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 4 games (+11.00 Units / 275% ROI)
- Brice Turang has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.45 Units / 42% ROI)
- Brice Turang has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+6.55 Units / 19% ROI)
- Brice Turang has hit the Total Bases Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+6.25 Units / 45% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the RBIs Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 47% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 33 games (+17.25 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 43 away games (+13.75 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 93 of their last 164 games (+12.70 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 2 of their last 3 games (+0.75 Units / 19% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 83 of their last 161 games (+9.15 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 34 of their last 58 games (+7.90 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 88 of their last 156 games (+7.30 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 41 of their last 72 games at home (+5.50 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 37 of their last 72 games at home (+3.95 Units / 4% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 1-4 against the Run Line (-4 Units / -56.74% ROI).
- 2-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.85 Units / -30.83% ROI
- 3-2 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.9 Units / 16.67% ROI
- 2-3 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.3 Units / -23.21% ROI
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 1-4 against the Run Line (-4.05 Units / -60% ROI).
- 1-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.2 Units / -58.72% ROI
- 3-2 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.85 Units / 15.74% ROI
- 2-3 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.35 Units / -24.11% ROI
Brewers vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
Brewers vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brice Turang (MIL) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Jackson Chourio (MIL) | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +130 |
| Jonathan India (KC) | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +125 |
Brewers vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Brewers vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Freddy Peralta (MIL) | 5.5 -145 | 5.5 +110 |
| Cole Ragans (KC) | 6.5 -115 | 6.5 -110 |
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters had a miss rate of 34% (433/1,255) against Cole Ragans in the 2024 season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 98th Percentile.
Cole Ragans has thrown inside pitches 41% of the time (325/785) on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 2nd highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 28% — 96th Percentile.
Opponents batted just .179 (47-for-263) against Cole Ragans when going through the lineup the first time in a game in the 2024 season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .231 — 96th Percentile.
Cole Ragans has located his fastball inside 56% of the time (23/41) this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 33% — 100th Percentile.
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Freddy Peralta had a strike rate of just 61% (920/1,503) against right-handed batters in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — third Percentile.
Freddy Peralta has a strikeout rate of 31% (174 SO in 566 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2023 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Freddy Peralta has a strike rate of just 61% (939/1,535) against right-handed batters since last season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — third Percentile.
Freddy Peralta has a strike rate of just 58% (618/1,056) in two strike counts since last season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — fifth Percentile.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Royals were just 4-50 (.074) when they allowed 5 or more runs in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .196.
The Royals were just 5-28 (.152) when allowing 2 or more home runs in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .289.
The Royals are just 14-80 (.149) when allowing 2 or more home runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .299.
The Royals were 42-16 (.724) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses in the 2024 season They play the Brewers (sixth best runs scored) today.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Brewers are 47-32 (.595) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since last season They play the Royals (sixth best runs allowed) today.
The Brewers are 49-5 (.907) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .800.
The Brewers are 26-16 (.619) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Brewers are 65-29 (.691) when they’ve scored in the first inning since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .626.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have chased 15% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Royals hitters had an OBP of just .280 (2,958 PA’s) on the road in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Royals hitters have drawn 3 walks in 7 PA’s (43%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
The Royals batted just .214 with two outs in 2023 — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .237.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters had 129 extra-base hits out of 494 total hits (just 26%) with two-strikes in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
Brewers hitters have a swing rate of just 45% against RHP since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Brewers hitters have 55 extra-base hits out of 187 total hits (just 29%) on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Brewers hitters came to the plate with runners in scoring position in 1,726 of their 6,170 plate appearances (28%) in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Royals pitchers picked-off 19 runners from first base in 2023 — best in MLB.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Royals pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The longest HR allowed by the Royals pitchers in the 2024 season traveled 519.4 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 470.4
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 34% with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 27% against Brewers pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
Brewers pitchers have an ERA of 9.64 (42.0 IP) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.04.
The Brewers have allowed 9.40 runs per game (47/5) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.32.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 27% against Brewers pitchers over the last 14 days of the regular season (5 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
More MLB Reading:
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