Royals vs Cardinals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 4

MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
  • The Cardinals are -135 favorites vs the Royals
  • Royals vs Cardinals Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
  • Royals / Cardinals TV Channel: FDMW | FDKC

The Kansas City Royals (+105) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-125) on Wednesday, June 4, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:45pm EDT in St. Louis, MO, MO.

This season, the Royals are 32-29 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 35-25 ATS.

Royals vs Cardinals Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Royals starting pitcher: Noah Cameron 2-1, 1.05 ERA
  • Cardinals starting pitcher: Miles Mikolas 4-2, 3.88 ERA

Royals vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Royals+1.5 -220O 8 +100+105
Cardinals -1.5 +165U 8 -120-125

Royals vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 54.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Salvador Perez has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 25 games (+15.95 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+15.20 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+10.95 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Maikel Garcia has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.50 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Nick Loftin has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 4 games (+8.00 Units / 200% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Alec Burleson has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games at home (+15.40 Units / 154% ROI)
  • Alec Burleson has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+11.05 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Nolan Arenado has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 20 games (+10.35 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Ivan Herrera has hit the Runs Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Victor Scott II has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 15 games at home (+7.95 Units / 53% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 44 of their last 61 games (+26.80 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 35 of their last 53 games (+16.20 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 17 away games (+12.10 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 39 games (+11.20 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 17 away games (+10.25 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 27 games (+14.20 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 37 games (+11.45 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 28 games at home (+9.57 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games at home (+4.98 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 15 games at home (+4.60 Units / 28% ROI)

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Royals are 32-29 against the Run Line (-6.1 Units / -6.87% ROI).

  • 32-29 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.7 Units / 4.9% ROI
  • 22-38 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.22 Units / -28.94% ROI
  • 38-22 when betting on the total runs Under for +13.7 Units / 20.21% ROI

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 35-25 against the Run Line (+5.4 Units / 6.46% ROI).

  • 33-27 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.8 Units / 8.5% ROI
  • 32-25 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.5 Units / 6.83% ROI
  • 25-32 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.4 Units / -15.72% ROI

Cardinals vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) 0.5 +375 0.5 -500
Willson Contreras (STL) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Nolan Arenado (STL) 0.5 +450 0.5 -625
Salvador Perez (KC) 0.5 +475 0.5 -700
Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) 0.5 +475 0.5 -650

Cardinals vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Salvador Perez (KC) 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Willson Contreras (STL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Jonathan India (KC) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Ivan Herrera (STL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190

Cardinals vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) 0.5 +125 0.5 -160
Willson Contreras (STL) 0.5 +135 0.5 -185
Nolan Arenado (STL) 0.5 +145 0.5 -190
Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) 0.5 +145 0.5 -190
Ivan Herrera (STL) 0.5 +145 0.5 -190

Cardinals vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Miles Mikolas (STL) 2.5 -160 2.5 +125
Noah Cameron (KC) 3.5 -118 3.5 -110

Noah Cameron has induced opposing hitters to ground into 3 double plays in 10 opportunities (30%) this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 23 total IP; League Avg: 10% — 99th Percentile.

Noah Cameron has allowed an OPS of just .437 (98 PA’s) this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 23 total IP; League Avg: .706 — 100th Percentile.

Noah Cameron has thrown inside pitches 44% of the time (148/334) this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 23 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 99th Percentile.

Noah Cameron has allowed a slugging percentage of just .222 (20 Total Bases / 90 ABs) this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 23 total IP; League Avg: .397 — 100th Percentile.

Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents had a two strike miss rate of just 14% (74/529) against Miles Mikolas in the 2024 season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — first Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 15% (134/896) against Miles Mikolas since last season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — second Percentile.

Opponents batted .307 (104-for-339) against Miles Mikolas’ non-fastballs in the 2024 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .217 — first Percentile.

Opponents had a miss rate of just 16% (221/1,347) against Miles Mikolas in the 2024 season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.

Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

The Royals were just 4-50 (.074) when they allowed 5 or more runs in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .196.

The Royals are just 7-65 (.097) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .192.

The Royals are just 27-142 (.160) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .204.

The Royals are 21-1 (.955) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .865.

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Royals

The Cardinals were 69-1 (.986) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .949.

The Cardinals are just 6-83 (.067) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .098.

The Cardinals are just 10-160 (.059) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .099.

The Cardinals are just 0-19 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .095.

Royals hitters had an OBP of just .280 (2,958 PA’s) on the road in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.

Royals hitters struck out just 298 times in 1,502 PA’s (20%) against LHP in the 2024 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Royals hitters have struck out in just 19% of it’s PA’s since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Royals hitters have struck out in just 18% of it’s PA’s against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.

Cardinals hitters have an OBP of .324 (10,627 PA’s) against RHP since the 2023 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .316.

Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .740 (1,624 PA’s) against RHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .719.

The Cardinals are batting .178 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .148.

The Cardinals have scored first in 72% of their road games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 55%.

Royals pitchers picked-off 19 runners from first base in 2023 — best in MLB.

The longest HR allowed by the Royals pitchers in the 2024 season traveled 519.4 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 470.4

Royals pitchers had an ERA of 5.39 (674.0 IP) on the road in 2023 — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.44.

Royals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 21% in 2023 — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Opponents had a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Cardinals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 19% in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Cardinals pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.