Royals vs Giants Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 19

FILE -San Francisco Giants third baseman J.D. Davis throws to first to get Los Angeles Dodgers designated hitter J.D. Martinez on a ground out during the first inning of a baseball game in Los Angeles, Friday, Sept. 22, 2023. Utilityman J.D. Davis went to a hearing Wednesday, Feb. 7, 2024 asking for a raise from $4.21 million to $6.9 million rather than the San Francisco Giants' $6.55 million offer.(AP Photo/Alex Gallardo, File)
(AP Photo/Alex Gallardo)
  • The Giants are -130 favorites vs the Royals
  • Royals vs Giants Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
  • Royals / Giants TV Channel: NSBA | FDKC | MLBN

The Kansas City Royals (+110) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (-130) on Monday, May 19, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 9:45pm EDT in San Francisco, CA.

This season, the Royals are 26-22 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 24-23 ATS.

Royals vs Giants Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Royals starting pitcher: Kris Bubic 4-2, 1.65 ERA
  • Giants starting pitcher: Robbie Ray 6-0, 3.06 ERA

Royals vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Royals+1.5 -190O 7.5 -120+110
Giants -1.5 +160U 7.5 +100-130

Royals vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Monday‘s MLB game with 52.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Salvador Perez has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 25 games (+17.65 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Maikel Garcia has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 away games (+15.50 Units / 388% ROI)
  • Salvador Perez has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 15 away games (+8.15 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 25 away games (+7.65 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Jonathan India has hit the Total Bases Over in 8 of his last 9 away games (+7.55 Units / 55% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Jung Hoo Lee has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 games (+18.00 Units / 360% ROI)
  • Matt Chapman has hit the RBIs Under in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+12.15 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Matt Chapman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+10.05 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Mike Yastrzemski has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+9.00 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Heliot Ramos has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 20 games (+8.70 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 36 of their last 48 games (+23.75 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 40 games (+15.95 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 26 games (+11.30 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 29 of their last 47 games (+10.05 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 10 away games (+8.00 Units / 67% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 45 games (+5.85 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 20 games at home (+5.60 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 28 games (+5.60 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+5.15 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 45 games (+4.35 Units / 9% ROI)

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Royals are 24-24 against the Run Line (-7.1 Units / -10.33% ROI).

  • 26-22 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.8 Units / 6.19% ROI
  • 16-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -17.67 Units / -33.71% ROI
  • 31-16 when betting on the total runs Under for +13.45 Units / 25.29% ROI

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Giants are 24-23 against the Run Line (+1.8 Units / 2.94% ROI).

  • 28-19 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.8 Units / 8.9% ROI
  • 26-20 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.25 Units / 8.34% ROI
  • 20-26 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.05 Units / -17.25% ROI

Giants vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Matt Chapman (SF) 0.5 +375 0.5 -500
Salvador Perez (KC) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Heliot Ramos (SF) 0.5 +475 0.5 -700
Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) 0.5 +500 0.5 -700
Willy Adames (SF) 0.5 +525 0.5 -750

Giants vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jung-hoo Lee (SF) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Matt Chapman (SF) 0.5 -235 0.5 +180
Wilmer Flores (SF) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Salvador Perez (KC) 0.5 -210 0.5 +160
Maikel Garcia (KC) 0.5 -200 0.5 +150

Giants vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Matt Chapman (SF) 0.5 +140 0.5 -185
Salvador Perez (KC) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) 0.5 +165 0.5 -220
Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) 0.5 +170 0.5 -225
Heliot Ramos (SF) 0.5 +185 0.5 -250

Giants vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Robbie Ray (SF) 5.5 -118 5.5 -110
Kris Bubic (KC) 5.5 +110 5.5 -145

Kris Bubic has a strike rate of 69% (426/619) against right-handed batters this season — 9th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 89th Percentile.

Hitters have swung at 68% of Kris Bubic’s pitches (165/244) with two-strikes this season — tied for 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 60% — 95th Percentile.

Kris Bubic has allowed three-ball counts to 14% of batters he faced (30/219 PA’s) this season — 7th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 19% — 93rd Percentile.

Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 33% (22/67) against Kris Bubic on fastballs this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 47% — 97th Percentile.

Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Robbie Ray has walked 12% of batters this season — tied for highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.

Robbie Ray has walked 11% of batters when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — seventh Percentile.

Robbie Ray has walked 14% of batters when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — sixth Percentile.

Robbie Ray has a first-pitch in-zone of just 49% (103/209) this season — tied for 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 56% — sixth Percentile.

Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Giants

The Royals were just 4-50 (.074) when they allowed 5 or more runs in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .196.

The Royals are just 6-61 (.090) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .191.

The Royals are just 17-86 (.165) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .300.

The Royals are 8-0 (1.000) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .823.

Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Royals

The Giants are 4-16 (.200) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .088.

The Giants are 154-5 (.969) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .950.

The Giants are 10-3 (.769) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .616.

The Giants are 26-154 (.144) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .098.

Royals hitters had an OBP of just .280 (2,958 PA’s) on the road in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.

The Royals are batting .172 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .150.

Royals hitters have an OBP of just .287 (6,833 PA’s) on the road since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .312.

Royals hitters had an OBP of just .300 (4,459 PA’s) against RHP in the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.

Giants hitters had an OPS of just .475 (3,303 PA’s) with two-strikes in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .523.

Giants hitters slugged just .376 against LHP in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .419.

The Giants are just 43-63 (.406) against the run line (-22.5% ROI) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season They play the Royals (12th best runs scored) today.

The Giants batted just .216 with two outs in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .234.

Royals pitchers have walked 4% of batters this month (17 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The longest HR allowed by the Royals pitchers in the 2024 season traveled 519.4 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 470.4

Royals pitchers have walked 3% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this month (17 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Royals pitchers have walked 4% of batters over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents had a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents had a groundball rate of 50% against Giants pitchers in 2023 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.