- The Giants are -140 favorites vs the Royals
- Royals vs Giants Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Royals / Giants TV Channel: NSBA | FDKC | MLBN
The Kansas City Royals (+115) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (-140) on Tuesday, May 20, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 9:45pm EDT in San Francisco, CA.
This season, the Royals are 27-22 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 24-24 ATS.
Royals vs Giants Starting Pitchers Today:
- Royals starting pitcher: Michael Lorenzen 3-4, 3.79 ERA
- Giants starting pitcher: Hayden Birdsong 1-0, 2.28 ERA
Royals vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Royals | +1.5 -185 | O 8 -115 | +115 |
| Giants | -1.5 +150 | U 8 -105 | -140 |
Royals vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 54.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Salvador Perez has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 25 games (+17.65 Units / 43% ROI)
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 away games (+16.20 Units / 180% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 25 games (+8.90 Units / 36% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 10 away games (+8.55 Units / 56% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.40 Units / 77% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jung Hoo Lee has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 games (+17.00 Units / 283% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the RBIs Under in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+12.15 Units / 33% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+10.05 Units / 46% ROI)
- Mike Yastrzemski has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+9.00 Units / 44% ROI)
- Heliot Ramos has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 20 games (+8.65 Units / 43% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 37 of their last 49 games (+24.75 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 41 games (+16.95 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 27 games (+12.50 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 30 of their last 48 games (+11.05 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 11 away games (+9.00 Units / 67% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 21 games at home (+6.75 Units / 28% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 29 games (+6.60 Units / 20% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 46 games (+4.45 Units / 7% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+4.15 Units / 31% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 21 games at home (+4.10 Units / 17% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 25-24 against the Run Line (-6.1 Units / -8.63% ROI).
- 27-22 when betting on the Moneyline for +5 Units / 8.01% ROI
- 16-32 when betting on the total runs Over for -18.67 Units / -34.95% ROI
- 32-16 when betting on the total runs Under for +14.45 Units / 26.57% ROI
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Giants are 24-24 against the Run Line (+0.8 Units / 1.29% ROI).
- 28-20 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.4 Units / 6.61% ROI
- 26-21 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.25 Units / 6.26% ROI
- 21-26 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.05 Units / -15% ROI
Giants vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Willy Adames (SF) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
| Mike Yastrzemski (SF) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
Giants vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Heliot Ramos (SF) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Jung-hoo Lee (SF) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Maikel Garcia (KC) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Wilmer Flores (SF) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Giants vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -220 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Heliot Ramos (SF) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -220 |
Giants vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Michael Lorenzen (KC) | 4.5 +110 | 4.5 -140 |
| Hayden Birdsong (SF) | 4.5 +130 | 4.5 -165 |
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Michael Lorenzen allowed a BABIP of .165 vs left-handed batters in the 2024 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .287 — 100th Percentile.
Michael Lorenzen has allowed an OBP of just .222 (81 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .297 — 96th Percentile.
Michael Lorenzen has allowed a slugging percentage of .548 (34 Total Bases / 62 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .292 — first Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 52% of Michael Lorenzen’s pitches (133/258) with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 60% — second Percentile.
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 22% (7/32) against Hayden Birdsong this season — 2nd lowest among NL Relievers; League Avg: 45% — second Percentile.
Hayden Birdsong has a strike rate of just 57% (585/1,024) vs left-handed batters since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 82 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 0 Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 22% (7/32) against Hayden Birdsong this season — 3rd lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — second Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 39% (34/87) against Hayden Birdsong this season — 4th best among NL Relievers; League Avg: 26% — 96th Percentile.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Royals are just 6-61 (.090) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .191.
The Royals were just 4-50 (.074) when they allowed 5 or more runs in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .196.
The Royals are just 17-86 (.165) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .300.
The Royals are 8-0 (1.000) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .822.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Giants are 4-16 (.200) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .090.
The Giants were just 20-24 (.455) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses in the 2024 season They play the Reds (16th best runs scored) today.
The Giants are 8-6 (.571) vs top 10 scoring offenses this season They play the Royals (12th best runs scored) today.
The Giants are 154-5 (.969) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .950.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have struck out in just 18% of it’s PA’s against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals hitters had an OBP of just .280 (2,958 PA’s) on the road in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
The Royals batted just .214 with two outs in 2023 — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .237.
Royals hitters struck out just 298 times in 1,502 PA’s (20%) against LHP in the 2024 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
The Giants batted just .151 with two-strikes in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .172.
The Giants are just 43-64 (.402) against the run line (-23.3% ROI) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season They play the Royals (12th best runs scored) today.
Giants hitters slugged just .376 against LHP in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .419.
Giants hitters have struck out in 25% of it’s PA’s against LHP since the 2023 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Royals pitchers have walked 4% of batters this month (18 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The longest HR allowed by the Royals pitchers in the 2024 season traveled 519.4 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 470.4
Royals pitchers have walked 4% of batters over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Royals pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 50% against Giants pitchers in 2023 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
More MLB Reading:
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