- The Orioles are -135 favorites vs the Royals
- Royals vs Orioles Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
- Royals / Orioles TV Channel: MASN | FDKC
The Kansas City Royals (+110) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-135) on Friday, May 2, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Baltimore, MD.
This season, the Royals are 17-15 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 11-19 ATS.
Royals vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:
- Royals starting pitcher: Michael Wacha 1-3, 3.38 ERA
- Orioles starting pitcher: Dean Kremer 2-4, 7.13 ERA
Royals vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Royals | +1.5 -190 | O 9.5 -120 | +110 |
| Orioles | -1.5 +155 | U 9.5 +100 | -135 |
Royals vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Friday‘s MLB game with 54.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Michael Massey has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 20 games (+17.40 Units / 40% ROI)
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 games (+15.90 Units / 318% ROI)
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 25 away games (+13.10 Units / 52% ROI)
- Michael Massey has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+11.20 Units / 41% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.30 Units / 35% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ryan O’Hearn has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games (+28.50 Units / 285% ROI)
- Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+14.35 Units / 70% ROI)
- Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+11.85 Units / 74% ROI)
- Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.55 Units / 79% ROI)
- Ryan O’Hearn has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 20 games (+8.50 Units / 43% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 23 of their last 32 games (+13.75 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 24 games (+10.30 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 10 games (+10.15 Units / 73% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 8 games (+6.85 Units / 66% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.65 Units / 55% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 25 games (+8.25 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 9 games (+6.90 Units / 68% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.74 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 8 games at home (+1.75 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+1.70 Units / 18% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 15-17 against the Run Line (-7.4 Units / -16.21% ROI).
- 17-15 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.65 Units / 6.86% ROI
- 11-20 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.6 Units / -30.55% ROI
- 20-11 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.8 Units / 21.85% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 11-19 against the Run Line (-9.1 Units / -23.16% ROI).
- 12-18 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.1 Units / -27.82% ROI
- 14-13 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 13-14 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.3 Units / -6.92% ROI
Orioles vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -525 |
| Cedric Mullins (BAL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| Ramon Laureano (BAL) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
Orioles vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Freddy Fermin (KC) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Adley Rutschman (BAL) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Jackson Holliday (BAL) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
Orioles vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Michael Massey (KC) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Maikel Garcia (KC) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Orioles vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Dean Kremer (BAL) | 3.5 -120 | 3.5 -105 |
| Michael Wacha (KC) | 4.5 -110 | 4.5 -118 |
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Michael Wacha threw his breaking pitches for a strike just 47% (212/452) of the time in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 62% — 0 Percentile.
Hitters swung at 28% of Michael Wacha’s breaking pitches (128/452) in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 46% — 0 Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 31% of Michael Wacha’s breaking pitches (166/533) since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP; League Avg: 46% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .100 (3-for-30) against Michael Wacha with runners in scoring position this season — best among among AL Starters; League Avg: .224 — 100th Percentile.
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 16% (41/263) against Dean Kremer this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .250 (17-for-68) against Dean Kremer with two-strikes this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .162 — second Percentile.
Dean Kremer has a strikeout rate of just 27% (20 SO in 73 PAs) with two-strikes this season — tied for 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — fourth Percentile.
Dean Kremer has a strikeout rate of just 14% (20 SO in 140 PAs) this season — 6th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — sixth Percentile.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Royals were just 4-50 (.074) when they allowed 5 or more runs in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .196.
The Royals are just 4-59 (.063) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .191.
The Royals are just 17-34 (.333) vs top 10 scoring offenses since last season They play the Orioles (fourth best runs scored) today.
The Royals are just 16-83 (.162) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .300.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Orioles are just 1-10 (.091) after a win this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .498.
The Orioles are just 2-17 (.105) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .290.
The Orioles are just 0-17 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .117.
The Orioles are just 4-8 (.333) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .499.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters had an OBP of just .280 (2,958 PA’s) on the road in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
The Royals are batting just .318 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .340.
Royals hitters have an OPS of just .590 (212 PA’s) against LHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .683.
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .293 (1,714 PA’s) against LHP since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters are slugging just .235 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .373.
The Orioles are batting just .171 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .236.
Orioles hitters have an OPS of just .490 (349 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .683.
Orioles hitters have put just 35% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Batters facing the Royals pitchers have struck out in the zone 59% of the time this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 51%. this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 51%.
The longest HR allowed by the Royals pitchers in the 2024 season traveled 519.4 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 470.4
Royals pitchers picked-off 19 runners from first base in 2023 — best in MLB.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% in close and late situations since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Orioles pitchers have walked 14% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 6.38 (127.0 IP) at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.64.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Orioles pitchers this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Orioles pitchers have allowed a run 43% of the time after an opposing score this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
More MLB Reading:
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