- The Rays are -160 favorites vs the Royals
- Royals vs Rays Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Royals / Rays TV Channel: FSUN | FDKC
The Kansas City Royals (+135) visit George M. Steinbrenner Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-160) on Tuesday, April 29, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Tampa, FL, FL.
This season, the Royals are 14-15 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 13-15 ATS.
Royals vs Rays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Royals starting pitcher: Michael Lorenzen 2-3, 3.91 ERA
- Rays starting pitcher: Taj Bradley 2-1, 5.09 ERA
Royals vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Royals | +1.5 -170 | O 9 -115 | +135 |
| Rays | -1.5 +140 | U 9 -105 | -160 |
Royals vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 57.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Michael Massey has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 25 games (+16.55 Units / 32% ROI)
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 20 away games (+12.80 Units / 64% ROI)
- Michael Massey has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+12.15 Units / 35% ROI)
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 4 games (+11.00 Units / 275% ROI)
- Kyle Isbel has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 15 away games (+10.25 Units / 56% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Junior Caminero has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 games at home (+13.30 Units / 148% ROI)
- Jonathan Aranda has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+12.30 Units / 43% ROI)
- Jonathan Aranda has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+9.55 Units / 28% ROI)
- Jonathan Aranda has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+9.45 Units / 41% ROI)
- Taj Bradley has hit the Hits Allowed Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.30 Units / 54% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 29 games (+12.80 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 21 games (+9.40 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 28 games (+6.20 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games (+6.00 Units / 55% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.00 Units / 40% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in their last 5 games (+6.00 Units / 115% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 9 games (+5.55 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 28 games (+4.95 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.70 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games at home (+3.70 Units / 27% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 12-17 against the Run Line (-10.4 Units / -25.3% ROI).
- 14-15 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.5 Units / -4.21% ROI
- 10-18 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.4 Units / -29.94% ROI
- 18-10 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.9 Units / 21.3% ROI
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 13-15 against the Run Line (-2.65 Units / -7.56% ROI).
- 14-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.55 Units / -4.31% ROI
- 11-15 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.35 Units / -17.34% ROI
- 15-11 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.1 Units / 10.06% ROI
Rays vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Jonathan Aranda (TB) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Christopher Morel (TB) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
Rays vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Maikel Garcia (KC) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Michael Massey (KC) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Rays vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Yandy Diaz (TB) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Jonathan Aranda (TB) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Rays vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Taj Bradley (TB) | 5.5 -105 | 5.5 -125 |
| Michael Lorenzen (KC) | 4.5 +105 | 4.5 -140 |
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
75% of Michael Lorenzen’s strikeouts are in the zone this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 50% — 100th Percentile.
Michael Lorenzen has a strike rate of just 57% (83/146) in two strike counts this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 27% (22/81) against Michael Lorenzen with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 39% — third Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .286 (14-for-49) against Michael Lorenzen’s non-fastballs this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .211 — fifth Percentile.
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Taj Bradley has a first-pitch strike rate of just 49% (59/120) this season — lowest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 63% — second Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 22% (8/36) against Taj Bradley this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — second Percentile.
Taj Bradley has a first-pitch strike rate of just 47% (46/97) this month (4 games) — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 62% — first Percentile.
Taj Bradley has a first-pitch strike rate of just 47% (46/97) this month (4 games) — lowest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 63% — second Percentile.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Royals are just 4-59 (.063) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .193.
The Royals were just 4-50 (.074) when they allowed 5 or more runs in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .196.
The Royals are just 16-83 (.162) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .300.
The Royals are just 22-67 (.247) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .375.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Rays are 2-11 (.154) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .041.
The Rays are 4-12 (.250) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .113.
The Rays are 14-138 (.092) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Rays are 22-131 (.144) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .098.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters are slugging just .306 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .374.
The Royals are batting just .315 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .340.
Royals hitters had an OBP of just .280 (2,958 PA’s) on the road in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .285 (6,486 PA’s) on the road since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .312.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters are slugging just .315 against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .374.
Rays hitters put just 31% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
The Rays are batting just .206 against LHP this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .236.
Rays hitters had an OPS of just .669 (6,006 PA’s) in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .712.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
The longest HR allowed by the Royals pitchers in the 2024 season traveled 519.4 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 470.4
Batters facing the Royals pitchers have struck out in the zone 59% of the time this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 51%. this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 51%.
Royals pitchers had an ERA of 2.97 (460.2 IP) against division opponents in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.06.
Royals pitchers picked-off 19 runners from first base in 2023 — best in MLB.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 27 double plays in 173 opportunities (16%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rays pitchers have walked 8% of batters this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rays pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 40% against Rays pitchers in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
More MLB Reading:
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