- The Tigers are -150 favorites vs the Royals
- Royals vs Tigers Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Royals / Tigers TV Channel: FS1 | FDDX | FDKC
The Kansas City Royals (+125) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (-150) on Thursday, April 17, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Detroit, MI.
This season, the Royals are 8-11 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 11-7 ATS.
Royals vs Tigers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Royals starting pitcher: Michael Lorenzen 1-2, 3.71 ERA
- Tigers starting pitcher: Reese Olson 1-1, 6.00 ERA
Royals vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Royals | +1.5 -185 | O 8 -115 | +125 |
| Tigers | -1.5 +150 | U 8 -105 | -150 |
Royals vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 55.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 25 away games (+13.55 Units / 51% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 away games (+9.70 Units / 27% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 7 away games (+9.30 Units / 133% ROI)
- Kyle Isbel has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 15 away games (+7.30 Units / 28% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 14 of his last 20 away games (+7.10 Units / 30% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Zach McKinstry has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 games at home (+19.00 Units / 380% ROI)
- Spencer Torkelson has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+10.20 Units / 36% ROI)
- Trey Sweeney has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+9.85 Units / 29% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+9.70 Units / 121% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 76% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 95 of their last 170 games (+16.05 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 19 games (+8.85 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 50 of their last 87 away games (+1.20 Units / 1% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 games (+0.80 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.45 Units / 7% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 97 of their last 170 games (+15.25 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 90 of their last 170 games (+7.60 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 42 of their last 80 games at home (+3.70 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 39 of their last 80 games at home (+3.40 Units / 3% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 7-12 against the Run Line (-8.25 Units / -30.05% ROI).
- 8-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.05 Units / -19.1% ROI
- 7-12 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.9 Units / -28.71% ROI
- 12-7 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.25 Units / 20% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 11-7 against the Run Line (+2.3 Units / 9.33% ROI).
- 10-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.7 Units / 11.59% ROI
- 8-9 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.95 Units / -9.7% ROI
- 9-8 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.5 Units / 2.56% ROI
Tigers vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kerry Carpenter (DET) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -1000 |
Tigers vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Maikel Garcia (KC) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Kerry Carpenter (DET) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Jonathan India (KC) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
Tigers vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
| Kerry Carpenter (DET) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Tigers vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Reese Olson (DET) | 4.5 -115 | 4.5 -110 |
| Michael Lorenzen (KC) | 4.5 +115 | 4.5 -150 |
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Michael Lorenzen has allowed a slugging percentage of .882 (15 Total Bases / 17 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: .307 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .529 (9-for-17) against Michael Lorenzen on low non-fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: .193 — 0 Percentile.
Michael Lorenzen allowed a BABIP of .165 vs left-handed batters in the 2024 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .287 — 100th Percentile.
Michael Lorenzen has allowed a slugging percentage of just .270 (68 Total Bases / 252 ABs) vs left-handed batters since last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 71 total IP; League Avg: .408 — 99th Percentile.
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opposing hitters have a chase rate of 35% (121/346) against Reese Olson when he’s behind in the count since the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 136 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Reese Olson has a strike rate of just 54% (100/184) over the last 14 days — lowest among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 64% — first Percentile.
Opposing hitters have a chase rate of 36% (70/192) against Reese Olson when he’s behind in the count since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 71 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Opposing hitters had a chase rate of 38% (62/163) against Reese Olson when he was behind in the count in the 2024 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Royals were just 4-50 (.074) when they allowed 5 or more runs in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .196.
The Royals are just 21-67 (.239) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .374.
The Royals are just 14-82 (.146) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .297.
The Royals are just 4-56 (.067) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .192.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Tigers were 13-55 (.191) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .100.
The Tigers are 14-62 (.184) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .097.
The Tigers were 6-59 (.092) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Tigers are 7-67 (.095) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .048.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .285 (6,329 PA’s) on the road since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .312.
Royals hitters have an OPS of just .373 (153 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this month (15 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .654.
Royals hitters have an OPS of just .391 (133 PA’s) in innings 7-9 over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .669.
7% of Royals’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (49/677 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 11%.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters are slugging just .378 against LHP since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .406.
The Tigers are batting just .099 with two-strikes this month (14 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .160.
The Tigers batted just .229 against LHP in the 2024 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .683 (3,015 PA’s) against LHP since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .724.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
The longest HR allowed by the Royals pitchers in the 2024 season traveled 519.4 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 470.4
Royals pitchers picked-off 19 runners from first base in 2023 — best in MLB.
Royals pitchers had an ERA of 2.97 (460.2 IP) against division opponents in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.06.
Royals pitchers had an ERA of 5.39 (674.0 IP) on the road in 2023 — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.44.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have walked 469 of 6,613 batters (7%) since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 945 of 12,688 batters (7%) since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers had an ERA of 2.93 (464.0 IP) against division opponents in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.32.
Tigers pitchers walked 416 of 5,969 batters (7%) in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
More MLB Reading:
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