- The Royals are +110 favorites vs the Tigers
- Royals vs Tigers Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Royals / Tigers TV Channel: FDDT | FDKC | MLBN
The Kansas City Royals (+100) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (-120) on Saturday, April 19, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm EDT in Detroit, MI, MI.
This season, the Royals are 8-13 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 13-7 ATS.
Royals vs Tigers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Royals starting pitcher: Seth Lugo 1-2, 3.97 ERA
- Tigers starting pitcher: Casey Mize 2-1, 2.60 ERA
Royals vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Royals | -1.5 +165 | O 8 -115 | +100 |
| Tigers | +1.5 -200 | U 8 -105 | -120 |
Royals vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 51.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 25 away games (+16.15 Units / 61% ROI)
- Michael Massey has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 20 games (+14.15 Units / 35% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.65 Units / 60% ROI)
- Kyle Isbel has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 15 away games (+10.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Kyle Isbel has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 15 away games (+8.75 Units / 53% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Zach McKinstry has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 7 games at home (+17.00 Units / 243% ROI)
- Spencer Torkelson has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+11.85 Units / 40% ROI)
- Spencer Torkelson has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+11.80 Units / 59% ROI)
- Spencer Torkelson has hit the RBIs Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+11.10 Units / 74% ROI)
- Spencer Torkelson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+10.40 Units / 44% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 94 of their last 170 games (+13.95 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 21 games (+10.85 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 48 of their last 87 away games (+2.50 Units / 2% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 99 of their last 170 games (+20.35 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 92 of their last 170 games (+12.35 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 43 of their last 80 games at home (+5.80 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 41 of their last 80 games at home (+5.75 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 44 of their last 80 games at home (+3.65 Units / 4% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 7-14 against the Run Line (-10.9 Units / -36.21% ROI).
- 8-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.5 Units / -27.48% ROI
- 8-13 when betting on the total runs Over for -6 Units / -26.37% ROI
- 13-8 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.15 Units / 17.7% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 13-7 against the Run Line (+4.75 Units / 17.53% ROI).
- 12-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.95 Units / 19.19% ROI
- 9-10 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.05 Units / -9.19% ROI
- 10-9 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.4 Units / 1.84% ROI
Tigers vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -625 |
| Kerry Carpenter (DET) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
Tigers vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Maikel Garcia (KC) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Jonathan India (KC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Kerry Carpenter (DET) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Dillon Dingler (DET) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Tigers vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -235 |
| Kerry Carpenter (DET) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Tigers vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Seth Lugo (KC) | 4.5 -155 | 4.5 +120 |
| Casey Mize (DET) | 3.5 -130 | 3.5 +100 |
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 18% (54/297) against Seth Lugo on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — fifth Percentile.
Seth Lugo has a first-pitch strike rate of 73% (71/97) this season — 3rd highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 62% — 96th Percentile.
Seth Lugo has located his pitches away 69% of the time (49/71) when behind in the count this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 19% (32/172) against Seth Lugo this season — 10th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — ninth Percentile.
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 17% (3/18) against Casey Mize in his last two starts — tied for lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 43% — third Percentile.
Casey Mize has allowed an OBP of just .148 (27 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (3 games) — tied for 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .286 — 97th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 24% (5/21) against Casey Mize this month (3 games) — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — sixth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .080 (2-for-25) against Casey Mize when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: .235 — 99th Percentile.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Royals are just 4-58 (.065) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .192.
The Royals are just 14-82 (.146) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .298.
The Royals were just 4-50 (.074) when they allowed 5 or more runs in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .196.
The Royals are just 5-32 (.135) when allowing 2 or more home runs since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .287.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Tigers are 1-8 (.111) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .026.
The Tigers were 13-55 (.191) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .100.
The Tigers are 14-62 (.184) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .096.
The Tigers are 7-67 (.095) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .048.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .262 (490 PA’s) against RHP this month (17 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .312.
The Royals are batting just .317 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .341.
Royals hitters are slugging just .323 at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .407.
Royals hitters are slugging just .304 against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .392.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Tigers are batting just .235 against LHP since the 2023 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .685 (3,045 PA’s) against LHP since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .724.
Tigers hitters had an OPS of just .659 (1,395 PA’s) against LHP in the 2024 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .711.
The Tigers are batting just .230 against LHP since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Royals pitchers picked-off 19 runners from first base in 2023 — best in MLB.
Royals pitchers had an ERA of 5.39 (674.0 IP) on the road in 2023 — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.44.
Royals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 20% in close and late situations in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Royals pitchers won only 14% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers walked 416 of 5,969 batters (7%) in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 7% of batters since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 7% of batters since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers have an ERA of 3.30 (174.1 IP) this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 3.96.
More MLB Reading:
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