- The Yankees are -150 favorites vs the Royals
- Royals vs Yankees Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Royals / Yankees TV Channel: YES | FDKC | MLBN
The Kansas City Royals (+125) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-150) on Monday, April 14, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Bronx, NY.
This season, the Royals are 8-8 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 7-8 ATS.
Royals vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:
- Royals starting pitcher: Seth Lugo 1-1, 3.38 ERA
- Yankees starting pitcher: Carlos Carrasco 1-1, 7.72 ERA
Royals vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Royals | +1.5 -180 | O 9 -118 | +125 |
| Yankees | -1.5 +145 | U 9 -102 | -150 |
Royals vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Monday‘s MLB game with 53.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 20 away games (+13.55 Units / 63% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 20 away games (+9.65 Units / 40% ROI)
- Seth Lugo has hit the Earned Runs Under in 12 of his last 15 away games (+9.15 Units / 50% ROI)
- Kyle Isbel has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 6 games (+9.00 Units / 150% ROI)
- Michael Massey has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+8.55 Units / 42% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Anthony Volpe has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 games at home (+27.50 Units / 306% ROI)
- Jazz Chisholm has hit the Singles Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 65% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+7.70 Units / 63% ROI)
- Ben Rice has hit the Hits Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.80 Units / 46% ROI)
- Anthony Volpe has hit the Runs Over in 6 of his last 9 games at home (+6.70 Units / 74% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 94 of their last 169 games (+15.05 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.85 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 50 of their last 86 away games (+2.80 Units / 2% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 44 of their last 86 away games (+2.65 Units / 3% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 87 of their last 165 games (+1.95 Units / 1% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 98 of their last 176 games (+19.45 Units / 10% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 89 of their last 176 games (+6.35 Units / 3% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+5.40 Units / 57% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 49 of their last 90 games at home (+4.65 Units / 4% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+4.35 Units / 36% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 6-10 against the Run Line (-6.65 Units / -28.48% ROI).
- 8-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.05 Units / -5.77% ROI
- 7-9 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.7 Units / -15.56% ROI
- 9-7 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.25 Units / 7% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 7-8 against the Run Line (-0.05 Units / -0.31% ROI).
- 8-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.15 Units / -5.4% ROI
- 10-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.75 Units / 35.28% ROI
- 4-10 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.05 Units / -42.22% ROI
Yankees vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -250 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Ben Rice (NYY) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
Yankees vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jonathan India (KC) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Maikel Garcia (KC) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Yankees vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
Yankees vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Carlos Carrasco (NYY) | 3.5 -105 | 3.5 -120 |
| Seth Lugo (KC) | 5.5 +100 | 5.5 -135 |
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 20% (145/712) against Seth Lugo since last season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — eighth Percentile.
Seth Lugo has allowed an OBP of .306 (36 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 10th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .224 — 12th Percentile.
Seth Lugo has an average spin rate of 3221.6 RPM on curveballs since the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 135 total IP; League Avg: 2534.5 — 100th Percentile.
Seth Lugo has thrown his curveball 32% of the time (22/69) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 16% — 100th Percentile.
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Carlos Carrasco has allowed a slugging percentage of .923 (60 Total Bases / 65 ABs) on inside fastballs since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 70 total IP; League Avg: .408 — 0 Percentile.
Carlos Carrasco has allowed a slugging percentage of .629 (210 Total Bases / 334 ABs) on fastballs since the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 135 total IP; League Avg: .435 — first Percentile.
Opponents batted .385 (99-for-257) against Carlos Carrasco on pitches in the strike zone in 2023 — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .289 — 0 Percentile.
Carlos Carrasco has allowed an OPS of .962 (234 PA’s) with runners in scoring position since the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 135 total IP; League Avg: .734 — first Percentile.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Royals were just 4-50 (.074) when they allowed 5 or more runs in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .196.
The Royals are just 14-81 (.147) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .298.
The Royals are just 4-56 (.067) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .194.
The Royals are just 21-67 (.239) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .374.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Yankees are 53-12 (.815) when they’ve scored in the first inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .640.
The Yankees are 84-25 (.771) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .626.
The Yankees are 39-24 (.619) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since last season They play the Royals (sixth best runs allowed) today.
The Yankees were 48-10 (.828) when they scored in the first inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .641.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Royals won only 28% of their road games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
7% of Royals’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (41/577 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 11%.
Royals hitters had an OBP of just .280 (2,958 PA’s) on the road in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .286 (6,229 PA’s) on the road since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .312.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters drew 221 walks in 1,808 PA’s (12%) against LHP in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have a swing rate of just 44% against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Yankees hitters are slugging .573 at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .402.
Yankees hitters have drawn 244 walks in 2,048 PA’s (12%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
The longest HR allowed by the Royals pitchers in the 2024 season traveled 519.4 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 470.4
Royals pitchers picked-off 19 runners from first base in 2023 — best in MLB.
Royals pitchers had an ERA of 2.97 (460.2 IP) against division opponents in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.06.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 16% with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Yankees pitchers have walked 19 of 105 batters (18%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees pitchers have walked 21 of 132 batters (16%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Yankees pitchers have walked 19 of 105 batters (18%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this month (12 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
More MLB Reading:
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