- The Yankees are -150 favorites vs the Royals
- Royals vs Yankees Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Royals / Yankees TV Channel: AMZP | FDKC
The Kansas City Royals (+125) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-150) on Wednesday, April 16, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Bronx, NY.
This season, the Royals are 8-10 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 9-8 ATS.
Royals vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:
- Royals starting pitcher: Kris Bubic 2-1, 0.95 ERA
- Yankees starting pitcher: Clarke Schmidt 0-0, 0.00 ERA
Royals vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Royals | +1.5 -155 | O 8 -110 | +125 |
| Yankees | -1.5 +130 | U 8 -110 | -150 |
Royals vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 59.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 25 away games (+13.55 Units / 51% ROI)
- Cavan Biggio has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 20 away games (+10.55 Units / 27% ROI)
- Michael Massey has hit the Runs Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 46% ROI)
- Michael Massey has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+9.20 Units / 65% ROI)
- Michael Massey has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.35 Units / 43% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jazz Chisholm has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 10 games at home (+21.70 Units / 217% ROI)
- Jazz Chisholm has hit the Singles Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 62% ROI)
- Ben Rice has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+7.95 Units / 35% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+7.70 Units / 63% ROI)
- Jazz Chisholm has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 10 games at home (+6.90 Units / 69% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 94 of their last 169 games (+15.05 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.85 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 43 of their last 86 away games (+0.75 Units / 1% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 10 games (+0.55 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 49 of their last 86 away games (+0.20 Units / 0% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 97 of their last 176 games (+17.35 Units / 9% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 91 of their last 176 games (+11.65 Units / 6% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 11 games at home (+4.90 Units / 41% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 50 of their last 92 games at home (+4.35 Units / 4% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games at home (+2.95 Units / 19% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 6-12 against the Run Line (-9.25 Units / -35.65% ROI).
- 8-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.05 Units / -15.1% ROI
- 7-11 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.9 Units / -25.06% ROI
- 11-7 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.25 Units / 16.21% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 9-8 against the Run Line (+2.35 Units / 12.63% ROI).
- 10-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.85 Units / 3.37% ROI
- 10-6 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.55 Units / 19.19% ROI
- 6-10 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.05 Units / -26.72% ROI
Yankees vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -285 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Ben Rice (NYY) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Yankees vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +160 |
| Anthony Volpe (NYY) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +125 |
Yankees vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Anthony Volpe (NYY) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -250 |
Yankees vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Clarke Schmidt (NYY) | 4.5 -130 | 4.5 +100 |
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kris Bubic has a strike rate of 74% (64/86) in two strike counts this season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 95th Percentile.
Kris Bubic has walked 2 of 130 batters (1%) versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order since last season — 2nd best among AL Relievers; League Avg: 9% — 98th Percentile.
Kris Bubic has a strike rate of 70% (524/753) since last season — 9th highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 65% — 96th Percentile.
Kris Bubic has an ERA of 0.99 (27.1 IP) on the road since last season — 3rd best among AL Relievers; League Avg: 3.67 — 97th Percentile.
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
The average home run distance against Clarke Schmidt since the 2023 season is 382.9 feet — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 135 total IP; League Avg: 398.9
Hitters have swung at 42% of Clarke Schmidt’s non-fastballs (808/1,939) since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 135 total IP; League Avg: 48% — first Percentile.
Clarke Schmidt has struck out 32% (58/184) of left-handed batters he faced since last season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 70 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 98th Percentile.
Clarke Schmidt struck out 32% (58/184) of left-handed batters he faced in the 2024 season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 98th Percentile.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Royals are just 14-82 (.146) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .298.
The Royals were just 4-50 (.074) when they allowed 5 or more runs in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .196.
The Royals are just 21-67 (.239) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .374.
The Royals are just 5-32 (.135) when allowing 2 or more home runs since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .287.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Yankees were 48-10 (.828) when they scored in the first inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .641.
The Yankees are 84-25 (.771) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .626.
The Yankees are 53-12 (.815) when they’ve scored in the first inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .640.
The Yankees were 37-21 (.638) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams in the 2024 season They play the Tigers (fifth best runs allowed) today.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
7% of Royals’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (46/644 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 11%.
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .296 (1,625 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Royals hitters have an OPS of just .377 (143 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this month (14 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .656.
Royals hitters have an OPS of just .571 (521 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .702.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have drawn 246 walks in 2,061 PA’s (12%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters drew 221 walks in 1,808 PA’s (12%) against LHP in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters are slugging .952 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .579.
Yankees hitters have a swing rate of just 45% against RHP since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
The longest HR allowed by the Royals pitchers in the 2024 season traveled 519.4 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 470.4
Royals pitchers picked-off 19 runners from first base in 2023 — best in MLB.
Royals pitchers had an ERA of 5.39 (674.0 IP) on the road in 2023 — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.44.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% in close and late situations since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Yankees pitchers have walked 23 of 150 batters (15%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Yankees pitchers have walked 61 of 471 batters (13%) over the last 14 days — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a swing rate of just 43% against the Yankees pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Yankees pitchers have walked 18 of 114 batters (16%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
More MLB Reading:
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