- The Astros are -135 favorites vs the Tigers
- Tigers vs Astros Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Tigers / Astros TV Channel: SCHN | BSDT
The Detroit Tigers (+120) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-145) on Sunday, June 16, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Houston, TX.
This season, the Tigers are 34-36 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 30-41 ATS.
Tigers vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:
- Tigers starting pitcher: Kenta Maeda 2-2, 5.98 ERA
- Astros starting pitcher: Undecided 0-0, 0.00 ERA
Tigers vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | +1.5 -165 | O 8.5 -105 | +120 |
| Astros | -1.5 +140 | U 8.5 -115 | -145 |
Tigers vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 53.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Matt Vierling has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 17 games (+23.90 Units / 141% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 away games (+10.60 Units / 22% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Runs Over in 28 of his last 48 games (+10.60 Units / 21% ROI)
- Zach McKinstry has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+8.90 Units / 61% ROI)
- Zach McKinstry has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+7.95 Units / 40% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Alex Bregman has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 16 games (+16.50 Units / 103% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 16 games (+15.75 Units / 49% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 14 games (+14.25 Units / 83% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the Runs Under in 32 of his last 48 games (+13.25 Units / 22% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the RBIs Under in 36 of his last 50 games (+13.20 Units / 16% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 34 of their last 53 games (+15.15 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 12 away games (+6.80 Units / 54% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 12 away games (+6.00 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games (+3.30 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 away games (+2.35 Units / 38% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 34 of their last 54 games (+14.20 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 40 of their last 71 games (+7.05 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 29 of their last 50 games (+5.40 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 22 games at home (+3.50 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 18 of their last 32 games (+1.75 Units / 4% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 32-38 against the Run Line (-9.35 Units / -9.89% ROI).
- 34-36 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.5 Units / -5.6% ROI
- 39-25 when betting on the total runs Over for +11.25 Units / 15.22% ROI
- 25-39 when betting on the total runs Under for -17.9 Units / -24.3% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 30-41 against the Run Line (-11.05 Units / -13% ROI).
- 32-39 when betting on the Moneyline for -19.3 Units / -19.23% ROI
- 26-42 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.7 Units / -25.4% ROI
- 42-26 when betting on the total runs Under for +13.35 Units / 16.95% ROI
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kenta Maeda has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 48% (67/139) of opposing batters this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 27 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 23% (36/153) against Kenta Maeda’s curve and slider since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 92 total IP; League Avg: 42% — first Percentile.
19 of Kenta Maeda’s 60 breaking pitch strikeouts (32%) have been backdoor since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 92 total IP; League Avg: 13% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 5% (1/21) against Kenta Maeda on low breaking pitches this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 27 total IP; League Avg: 32% — 100th Percentile.
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .210 (111-for-528) against Justin Verlander when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .235 — 85th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 26% (43/167) against Justin Verlander this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 27 total IP; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.
Justin Verlander has thrown elevated pitches 42% of the time (541/1,283) when behind in the count since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 24% (21/88) against Justin Verlander this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 27 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 0 Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Tigers are just 26-4 (.867) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .941.
The Tigers are 13-8 (.619) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Tigers are just 27-151 (.152) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .205.
The Tigers are 16-2 (.889) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .760.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Astros are just 7-35 (.167) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .281.
The Astros are just 0-29 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .059.
The Astros are 65-48 (.575) after a road win since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .486.
The Astros are 16-14 (.533) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .426.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .292 (11,078 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .653 (11,078 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .714.
The Tigers are batting just .220 on pitches 95 mph or greater since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .243.
The Tigers are batting just .311 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .340.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – home
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Tigers pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The Tigers won just 23% of home games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 300 of 3,497 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers have won only 16% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Astros pitchers since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Astros pitchers this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Astros pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Astros pitchers have walked 264 of 2,701 batters (10%) this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Astros vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Grae Kessinger (Houston Astros): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
- Justin Verlander (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Penn Murfee (Houston Astros): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Kendall Graveman (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Jose Abreu (Houston Astros): Hand, Day-To-Day
- Jose Urquidy (Houston Astros): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Oliver Ortega (Houston Astros): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Lance McCullers (Houston Astros): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Bennett Sousa (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Forrest Whitley (Houston Astros): Finger, 7-Day IL
- Shawn Dubin (Houston Astros): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Austin Meadows (Detroit Tigers): Personal, Out
- Matthew Boyd (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
- Sawyer Gipson-Long (Detroit Tigers): Groin, 15-Day IL
- Brendan White (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Day-To-Day
- Freddy Pacheco (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
- Garrett Hill (Detroit Tigers): Lat, Out
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