- The Tigers are + favorites vs the Blue Jays
- Tigers vs Blue Jays Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Tigers / Blue Jays TV Channel: ATV+
The Detroit Tigers (+) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (+) on Friday, July 19, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07pm EDT in Toronto, ON.
This season, the Tigers are 47-50 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 45-51 ATS.
Tigers vs Blue Jays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Tigers starting pitcher: Jack Flaherty 6-5, 3.16 ERA
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Chris Bassitt 8-7, 3.52 ERA
Tigers vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | -1.5 +155 | O 7.5 -110 | + |
| Blue Jays | +1.5 -190 | U 7.5 -110 | + |
Tigers vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Friday‘s MLB game with 53.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Matt Vierling has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 26 games (+22.00 Units / 85% ROI)
- Matt Vierling has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 19 games (+14.45 Units / 41% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+13.15 Units / 41% ROI)
- Gio Urshela has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 18 games (+12.60 Units / 34% ROI)
- Matt Vierling has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 19 games (+11.95 Units / 56% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Singles Over in 34 of his last 50 games (+13.05 Units / 20% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Over in 30 of his last 50 games (+10.35 Units / 12% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+10.25 Units / 205% ROI)
- Alejandro Kirk has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+10.05 Units / 31% ROI)
- Daulton Varsho has hit the RBIs Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+9.65 Units / 30% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 45 of their last 80 games (+9.40 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 10 games (+8.85 Units / 67% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 26 away games (+8.60 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+7.15 Units / 55% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 26 away games (+6.55 Units / 21% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 26 games (+12.40 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 54 of their last 95 games (+9.35 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 16 of their last 26 games at home (+5.30 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.20 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games (+3.05 Units / 38% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 47-50 against the Run Line (-8.3 Units / -6.37% ROI).
- 47-50 when betting on the Moneyline for -6 Units / -5.36% ROI
- 50-40 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.5 Units / 5.3% ROI
- 40-50 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.1 Units / -14.62% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 45-51 against the Run Line (-17.1 Units / -12.9% ROI).
- 44-52 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.4 Units / -11.89% ROI
- 48-45 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.6 Units / -1.52% ROI
- 45-48 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.9 Units / -7.48% ROI
Blue Jays vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Danny Jansen (TOR) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -800 |
| George Springer (TOR) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Daulton Varsho (TOR) | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -1100 |
Blue Jays vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Colt Keith (DET) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Matt Vierling (DET) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Ernie Clement (TOR) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Justin Turner (TOR) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Blue Jays vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Matt Vierling (DET) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Carson Kelly (DET) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Bo Bichette (TOR) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Blue Jays vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jack Flaherty (DET) | 5.5 -130 | 5.5 +100 |
| Chris Bassitt (TOR) | 5.5 -105 | 5.5 -120 |
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jack Flaherty has thrown breaking pitches 51% of the time (550/1,086) when behind in the count since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 167 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 97th Percentile.
Jack Flaherty has thrown breaking pitches 50% of the time (141/282) when behind in the count this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 38 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 99th Percentile.
Jack Flaherty has allowed an OBP of just .259 (371 PAs) this season — 11th best among starting pitchers with at least 38 total IP– 93rd Percentile. He allowed an OBP of .370 (649 PAs) last season — tied for 10th worst among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP– sixth Percentile.
Jack Flaherty has a strikeout rate of 32% (119 SO in 371 PAs) this season — 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 38 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 96th Percentile.
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Chris Bassitt has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 74.5 MPH on pitches out of the zone since the 2022 season (258 balls in play) — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 163 total IP; League Avg: 80.6
Chris Bassitt has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 73.7 MPH on pitches out of the zone since last season (154 balls in play) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 102 total IP; League Avg: 80.9
Chris Bassitt has averaged 70.8 MPH on curveballs since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 102 total IP; League Avg: 79.7 — first Percentile.
Chris Bassitt has averaged 77.7 MPH on sliders since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 163 total IP; League Avg: 84.9 — first Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Tigers are 11-34 (.244) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .140.
The Tigers are just 30-9 (.769) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .860.
The Tigers are just 37-4 (.902) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .944.
The Tigers are just 31-8 (.795) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .896.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Blue Jays are just 8-46 (.148) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .276.
The Blue Jays are 30-26 (.536) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .415.
The Blue Jays are 25-14 (.641) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Blue Jays are just 15-66 (.185) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .292 (11,837 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
The Tigers are batting just .220 on pitches 95 mph or greater since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .244.
The Tigers are batting just .309 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .340.
The Tigers are batting just .308 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .342.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters have just 655 strikeouts in 3,406 PA’s (19%) against LHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays hitters have just 409 strikeouts in 2,167 PA’s (19%) against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays hitters have just 141 strikeouts in 762 PA’s (18%) against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays hitters are slugging just .227 on breaking pitches against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .350.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have walked 319 of 3,734 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Tigers pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The Tigers have won just 23% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 262 of 3,600 batters (7%) this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 44% with two-strikes since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Blue Jays pitchers have allowed a run just 26% of the time after an opposing score since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 251 of 3,750 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Erik Swanson (Toronto Blue Jays): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Jordan Romano (Toronto Blue Jays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Bo Bichette (Toronto Blue Jays): Neck, Day-To-Day
- Danny Jansen (Toronto Blue Jays): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Alek Manoah (Toronto Blue Jays): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Austin Meadows (Detroit Tigers): Personal, Out
- Matthew Boyd (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
- Sawyer Gipson-Long (Detroit Tigers): Groin, 15-Day IL
- Brendan White (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Day-To-Day
- Freddy Pacheco (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
- Garrett Hill (Detroit Tigers): Lat, Out
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